Ruin Probabilities (2nd Edition)
Ruin Probabilities (2nd Edition)

Author: Soren Asmussen

Publisher: World Scientific

Published: 2010-09-09

Total Pages: 621

ISBN-13: 9814466921

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The book gives a comprehensive treatment of the classical and modern ruin probability theory. Some of the topics are Lundberg's inequality, the Cramér-Lundberg approximation, exact solutions, other approximations (e.g., for heavy-tailed claim size distributions), finite horizon ruin probabilities, extensions of the classical compound Poisson model to allow for reserve-dependent premiums, Markov-modulation, periodicity, change of measure techniques, phase-type distributions as a computational vehicle and the connection to other applied probability areas, like queueing theory. In this substantially updated and extended second version, new topics include stochastic control, fluctuation theory for Levy processes, Gerber-Shiu functions and dependence.

Ruin Probabilities
Ruin Probabilities

Author: S?ren Asmussen

Publisher: World Scientific

Published: 2000

Total Pages: 399

ISBN-13: 9812779310

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The text is a treatment of classical and modern ruin probability theory. Some of the topics are Lundberg's inequality, the Cramer-Lundberg approximation, exact solutions, other approximations (for example, for heavy-tailed claim size distributions), finite horizon ruin probabilities, extensions of the classical compound Poisson model to allow for reserve-dependent premiums, Markov-modulation or periodicity. Special features of the book are the emphasis on change of measure techniques, phase-type distributions as computational vehicle and the connection to other applied probability areas like queueing theory.

Change Of Time And Change Of Measure (Second Edition)
Change Of Time And Change Of Measure (Second Edition)

Author: Ole E Barndorff-nielsen

Publisher: World Scientific Publishing Company

Published: 2015-05-07

Total Pages: 345

ISBN-13: 9814678600

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Change of Time and Change of Measure provides a comprehensive account of two topics that are of particular significance in both theoretical and applied stochastics: random change of time and change of probability law.Random change of time is key to understanding the nature of various stochastic processes, and gives rise to interesting mathematical results and insights of importance for the modeling and interpretation of empirically observed dynamic processes. Change of probability law is a technique for solving central questions in mathematical finance, and also has a considerable role in insurance mathematics, large deviation theory, and other fields.The book comprehensively collects and integrates results from a number of scattered sources in the literature and discusses the importance of the results relative to the existing literature, particularly with regard to mathematical finance.In this Second Edition a Chapter 13 entitled 'A Wider View' has been added. This outlines some of the developments that have taken place in the area of Change of Time and Change of Measure since the publication of the First Edition. Most of these developments have their root in the study of the Statistical Theory of Turbulence rather than in Financial Mathematics and Econometrics, and they form part of the new research area termed 'Ambit Stochastics'.

Introduction To Stochastic Calculus With Applications (2nd Edition)
Introduction To Stochastic Calculus With Applications (2nd Edition)

Author: Fima C Klebaner

Publisher: World Scientific Publishing Company

Published: 2005-06-20

Total Pages: 431

ISBN-13: 1848168225

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This book presents a concise treatment of stochastic calculus and its applications. It gives a simple but rigorous treatment of the subject including a range of advanced topics, it is useful for practitioners who use advanced theoretical results. It covers advanced applications, such as models in mathematical finance, biology and engineering.Self-contained and unified in presentation, the book contains many solved examples and exercises. It may be used as a textbook by advanced undergraduates and graduate students in stochastic calculus and financial mathematics. It is also suitable for practitioners who wish to gain an understanding or working knowledge of the subject. For mathematicians, this book could be a first text on stochastic calculus; it is good companion to more advanced texts by a way of examples and exercises. For people from other fields, it provides a way to gain a working knowledge of stochastic calculus. It shows all readers the applications of stochastic calculus methods and takes readers to the technical level required in research and sophisticated modelling.This second edition contains a new chapter on bonds, interest rates and their options. New materials include more worked out examples in all chapters, best estimators, more results on change of time, change of measure, random measures, new results on exotic options, FX options, stochastic and implied volatility, models of the age-dependent branching process and the stochastic Lotka-Volterra model in biology, non-linear filtering in engineering and five new figures.Instructors can obtain slides of the text from the author./a

Applied Statistical Methods
Applied Statistical Methods

Author: David D. Hanagal

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2022-04-13

Total Pages: 318

ISBN-13: 9811679320

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This book collects select contributions presented at the International Conference on Importance of Statistics in Global Emerging (ISGES 2020) held at the Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Pune, Maharashtra, India, from 2–4 January 2020. It discusses recent developments in several areas of statistics with applications of a wide range of key topics, including small area estimation techniques, Bayesian models for small areas, ranked set sampling, fuzzy supply chain, probabilistic supply chain models, dynamic Gaussian process models, grey relational analysis and multi-item inventory models, and more. The possible use of other models, including generalized Lindley shared frailty models, Benktander Gibrat risk model, decision-consistent randomization method for SMART designs and different reliability models are also discussed. This book includes detailed worked examples and case studies that illustrate the applications of recently developed statistical methods, making it a valuable resource for applied statisticians, students, research project leaders and practitioners from various marginal disciplines and interdisciplinary research.

Inhomogeneous Random Evolutions and Their Applications
Inhomogeneous Random Evolutions and Their Applications

Author: Anatoliy Swishchuk

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2019-12-11

Total Pages: 253

ISBN-13: 0429855052

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Inhomogeneous Random Evolutions and Their Applications explains how to model various dynamical systems in finance and insurance with non-homogeneous in time characteristics. It includes modeling for: financial underlying and derivatives via Levy processes with time-dependent characteristics; limit order books in the algorithmic and HFT with counting price changes processes having time-dependent intensities; risk processes which count number of claims with time-dependent conditional intensities; multi-asset price impact from distressed selling; regime-switching Levy-driven diffusion-based price dynamics. Initial models for those systems are very complicated, which is why the author’s approach helps to simplified their study. The book uses a very general approach for modeling of those systems via abstract inhomogeneous random evolutions in Banach spaces. To simplify their investigation, it applies the first averaging principle (long-run stability property or law of large numbers [LLN]) to get deterministic function on the long run. To eliminate the rate of convergence in the LLN, it uses secondly the functional central limit theorem (FCLT) such that the associated cumulative process, centered around that deterministic function and suitably scaled in time, may be approximated by an orthogonal martingale measure, in general; and by standard Brownian motion, in particular, if the scale parameter increases. Thus, this approach allows the author to easily link, for example, microscopic activities with macroscopic ones in HFT, connecting the parameters driving the HFT with the daily volatilities. This method also helps to easily calculate ruin and ultimate ruin probabilities for the risk process. All results in the book are new and original, and can be easily implemented in practice.

An Intermediate Course in Probability
An Intermediate Course in Probability

Author: Allan Gut

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2009-06-06

Total Pages: 310

ISBN-13: 1441901620

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This is the only book that gives a rigorous and comprehensive treatment with lots of examples, exercises, remarks on this particular level between the standard first undergraduate course and the first graduate course based on measure theory. There is no competitor to this book. The book can be used in classrooms as well as for self-study.

Risk Theory: A Heavy Tail Approach
Risk Theory: A Heavy Tail Approach

Author: Dimitrios George Konstantinides

Publisher: #N/A

Published: 2017-07-07

Total Pages: 507

ISBN-13: 9813223162

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'Heavy-tailed risk modelling plays a central role in modern risk theory; within this perspective, the book provides an excellent guide concerning problems and solutions in risk theory.'zbMATHThis book is written to help graduate students and young researchers to enter quickly into the subject of Risk Theory. It can also be used by actuaries and financial practitioners for the optimization of their decisions and further by regulatory authorities for the stabilization of the insurance industry. The topic of extreme claims is especially presented as a crucial feature of the modern ruin probability.

Compound Renewal Processes
Compound Renewal Processes

Author: A. A. Borovkov

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2022-06-30

Total Pages:

ISBN-13: 100911560X

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Compound renewal processes (CRPs) are among the most ubiquitous models arising in applications of probability. At the same time, they are a natural generalization of random walks, the most well-studied classical objects in probability theory. This monograph, written for researchers and graduate students, presents the general asymptotic theory and generalizes many well-known results concerning random walks. The book contains the key limit theorems for CRPs, functional limit theorems, integro-local limit theorems, large and moderately large deviation principles for CRPs in the state space and in the space of trajectories, including large deviation principles in boundary crossing problems for CRPs, with an explicit form of the rate functionals, and an extension of the invariance principle for CRPs to the domain of moderately large and small deviations. Applications establish the key limit laws for Markov additive processes, including limit theorems in the domains of normal and large deviations.

Probability
Probability

Author: Rick Durrett

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2010-08-30

Total Pages:

ISBN-13: 113949113X

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This classic introduction to probability theory for beginning graduate students covers laws of large numbers, central limit theorems, random walks, martingales, Markov chains, ergodic theorems, and Brownian motion. It is a comprehensive treatment concentrating on the results that are the most useful for applications. Its philosophy is that the best way to learn probability is to see it in action, so there are 200 examples and 450 problems. The fourth edition begins with a short chapter on measure theory to orient readers new to the subject.