In the aftermath of the recent financial crisis, the federal government has pursued significant regulatory reforms, including proposals to measure and monitor systemic risk. However, there is much debate about how this might be accomplished quantitatively and objectively—or whether this is even possible. A key issue is determining the appropriate trade-offs between risk and reward from a policy and social welfare perspective given the potential negative impact of crises. One of the first books to address the challenges of measuring statistical risk from a system-wide persepective, Quantifying Systemic Risk looks at the means of measuring systemic risk and explores alternative approaches. Among the topics discussed are the challenges of tying regulations to specific quantitative measures, the effects of learning and adaptation on the evolution of the market, and the distinction between the shocks that start a crisis and the mechanisms that enable it to grow.
Hier kommt der Nachfolger des viel gepriesenen Bestsellers "The Education of a Speculator" vom gleichen Autor. (ebenfalls bei Wiley erschienen, 0471 13747 2) "Practical Speculation" ist die Fortsetzungsgeschichte einer echten Finanzmarkt-Legende. Niederhoffer war im Futures-Handel äußerst erfolgreich, bis unvorhergesehene Verluste ihn 1997 zur Aufgabe seines Unternehmens zwangen. Wie Phönix aus der Asche kehrte Niederhoffer 1999 in die Welt des Aktien-, Futures- und Optionshandels zurück - allerdings mit einer neuen Kollegin und einer neuen Methode. Dieses Buch erzählt die spannende und inspirierende Geschichte eines Top-Händlers, der sich selbst neu erfunden hat. Hier enthüllt er - gemeinsam mit Coautorin Laurel Kenner - seine einzigartigen Ideen, wie man auch in volatilen Märkten Gewinne machen kann. Eine aufregende Lektüre, die sowohl den "alten Hasen" als auch den Neulingen unter den Händlern und Anlegern zeigt, wo und wie sie die ungewöhnlichsten Marktchancen aufspüren können.
In this paper we identify some of the main factors behind systemic risk in a set of international large-scale complex banks using the novel CoVaR approach. We find that short-term wholesale funding is a key determinant in triggering systemic risk episodes. In contrast, we find no evidence that a larger size increases systemic risk within the class of large global banks. We also show that the sensitivity of system-wide risk to an individual bank is asymmetric across episodes of positive and negative asset returns. Since short-term wholesale funding emerges as the most relevant systemic factor, our results support the Basel Committee's proposal to introduce a net stable funding ratio, penalizing excessive exposure to liquidity risk.
A history of this historic avenue of Westward emigration, from the first explorations through the Indian Wars. Over this route the Mormons made their lonely migration to the Great Salt Lake Valley. Also there were expeditions by Fremont, Stansbury, Lander. A final chapter describes the building of the transcontinental railroad.
This volume provides practical solutions and introduces recent theoretical developments in risk management, pricing of credit derivatives, quantification of volatility and copula modeling. This third edition is devoted to modern risk analysis based on quantitative methods and textual analytics to meet the current challenges in banking and finance. It includes 14 new contributions and presents a comprehensive, state-of-the-art treatment of cutting-edge methods and topics, such as collateralized debt obligations, the high-frequency analysis of market liquidity, and realized volatility. The book is divided into three parts: Part 1 revisits important market risk issues, while Part 2 introduces novel concepts in credit risk and its management along with updated quantitative methods. The third part discusses the dynamics of risk management and includes risk analysis of energy markets and for cryptocurrencies. Digital assets, such as blockchain-based currencies, have become popular b ut are theoretically challenging when based on conventional methods. Among others, it introduces a modern text-mining method called dynamic topic modeling in detail and applies it to the message board of Bitcoins. The unique synthesis of theory and practice supported by computational tools is reflected not only in the selection of topics, but also in the fine balance of scientific contributions on practical implementation and theoretical concepts. This link between theory and practice offers theoreticians insights into considerations of applicability and, vice versa, provides practitioners convenient access to new techniques in quantitative finance. Hence the book will appeal both to researchers, including master and PhD students, and practitioners, such as financial engineers. The results presented in the book are fully reproducible and all quantlets needed for calculations are provided on an accompanying website. The Quantlet platform quantlet.de, quantlet.com, quantlet.org is an integrated QuantNet environment consisting of different types of statistics-related documents and program codes. Its goal is to promote reproducibility and offer a platform for sharing validated knowledge native to the social web. QuantNet and the corresponding Data-Driven Documents-based visualization allows readers to reproduce the tables, pictures and calculations inside this Springer book.
Leverage Python for expert-level volatility and variance derivative trading Listed Volatility and Variance Derivatives is a comprehensive treatment of all aspects of these increasingly popular derivatives products, and has the distinction of being both the first to cover European volatility and variance products provided by Eurex and the first to offer Python code for implementing comprehensive quantitative analyses of these financial products. For those who want to get started right away, the book is accompanied by a dedicated Web page and a Github repository that includes all the code from the book for easy replication and use, as well as a hosted version of all the code for immediate execution. Python is fast making inroads into financial modelling and derivatives analytics, and recent developments allow Python to be as fast as pure C++ or C while consisting generally of only 10% of the code lines associated with the compiled languages. This complete guide offers rare insight into the use of Python to undertake complex quantitative analyses of listed volatility and variance derivatives. Learn how to use Python for data and financial analysis, and reproduce stylised facts on volatility and variance markets Gain an understanding of the fundamental techniques of modelling volatility and variance and the model-free replication of variance Familiarise yourself with micro structure elements of the markets for listed volatility and variance derivatives Reproduce all results and graphics with IPython/Jupyter Notebooks and Python codes that accompany the book Listed Volatility and Variance Derivatives is the complete guide to Python-based quantitative analysis of these Eurex derivatives products.
Benford's law states that the leading digits of many data sets are not uniformly distributed from one through nine, but rather exhibit a profound bias. This bias is evident in everything from electricity bills and street addresses to stock prices, population numbers, mortality rates, and the lengths of rivers. Here, Steven Miller brings together many of the world’s leading experts on Benford’s law to demonstrate the many useful techniques that arise from the law, show how truly multidisciplinary it is, and encourage collaboration. Beginning with the general theory, the contributors explain the prevalence of the bias, highlighting explanations for when systems should and should not follow Benford’s law and how quickly such behavior sets in. They go on to discuss important applications in disciplines ranging from accounting and economics to psychology and the natural sciences. The contributors describe how Benford’s law has been successfully used to expose fraud in elections, medical tests, tax filings, and financial reports. Additionally, numerous problems, background materials, and technical details are available online to help instructors create courses around the book. Emphasizing common challenges and techniques across the disciplines, this accessible book shows how Benford’s law can serve as a productive meeting ground for researchers and practitioners in diverse fields.
A bulletproof trading system is essential for trading success. You also need an effective system for trading to implement that trading system consistently. Otherwise, your trading experience will be stressful at best and insanely inconsistent at worst. Though you can always get a "canned" black-box trading system, few traders ever stick with them for long: experts agree that the ideal system for each trader is unique to his or her trading style—proprietary systems created by the individual. Now acclaimed system developer Tushar Chande shows you how to create "real-world" systems that meet your trading needs. A stimulating mix of cutting-edge techniques, timeless principles, and practical guidelines, Beyond Technical Analysis offers a comprehensive methodology to develop and implement your own system, bridging the gap between analysis and execution. Chande begins with a crucial first step: assessing your trading beliefs. As he points out, "Your beliefs about price action must be at the core of your trading system. This allows the trading system to reflect your personality, and you are more likely to succeed with such a system over the long run." Once you've pinpointed your beliefs, you can then build effective systems around them. To help you construct and use these systems, Chande starts with the basics and ends at the state of the art. With easy-to-read charts and numerous examples, Chande explores the following: Foundations: diagnosing market trends, the perils of optimization, setting initial stops, selecting data, choosing orders, and understanding the summary test results New systems: trend following, pattern-based, trend/anti-trend, inter-market, filtered and extraordinary market opportunity systems, plus variations Equity curve analysis: measuring smoothness, portfolio strategies, monthly equity curves, and triggering effects Money management: risk of ruin, projecting drawdowns, changing bet size Data scrambling: a new method to generate synthetic data for testing A system for trading: starting, risk control, compliance, full traceability To foster consistent execution, Beyond Technical Analysis provides software that enables you to "paper trade" your system. A demo disk of Chande's $ecure trade management software and data scrambling utility will let you test your system on "true" out-of-sample data and track your emotions and P&L as you transition the system from computer table to trading desk. A complete, concise, and thorough reference, Beyond Technical Analysis takes you step-by-step through the intricacies of customized system design, from initial concept through actual implementation. Acclaim for Tushar Chande's revolutionary approach for developing and implementing your own winning trading system "Tushar Chande provides insightful but clear-cut techniques which will enlighten the savant as well as the newcomer. I would urge traders of all levels of experience to apply Chande's tremendously useful strategies!" — Charles Le Beau President, Island View Financial Group Inc., author, Computer Analysis of the Futures Market "The chapter on 'Equity Curve Analysis' alone will share with you concepts which have cost large trading houses millions of dollars to discover." —Murray A. Ruggiero, Jr. Contributing Editor, Futures Magazine President, Ruggiero Associates "Tushar Chande is an accomplished quantitative technician, but in this book he's gone far beyond grinding numbers. His coverage of system development is the first thorough treatment disclosing both specific trading systems and the practicalities of their implementation." — John Sweeney Technical Editor, Technical Analysis of Stocks & Commodities magazine author, Maximum Adverse Excursion: Analyzing Price Fluctuations for Trading Management "For any aspiring CTA, this is a must-read on developing [his or her] trading system." — Rick Leesley Jack Carl Futures
Backpacker brings the outdoors straight to the reader's doorstep, inspiring and enabling them to go more places and enjoy nature more often. The authority on active adventure, Backpacker is the world's first GPS-enabled magazine, and the only magazine whose editors personally test the hiking trails, camping gear, and survival tips they publish. Backpacker's Editors' Choice Awards, an industry honor recognizing design, feature and product innovation, has become the gold standard against which all other outdoor-industry awards are measured.
