Modeling Markets
Modeling Markets

Author: Peter S.H. Leeflang

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2014-11-12

Total Pages: 417

ISBN-13: 1493920863

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This book is about how models can be developed to represent demand and supply on markets, where the emphasis is on demand models. Its primary focus is on models that can be used by managers to support marketing decisions. Modeling Markets presents a comprehensive overview of the tools and methodologies that managers can use in decision making. It has long been known that even simple models outperform judgments in predicting outcomes in a wide variety of contexts. More complex models potentially provide insights about structural relations not available from casual observations. In this book, the authors present a wealth of insights developed at the forefront of the field, covering all key aspects of specification, estimation, validation and use of models. The most current insights and innovations in quantitative marketing are presented, including in-depth discussion of Bayesian estimation methods. Throughout the book, the authors provide examples and illustrations. This book will be of interest to researchers, analysts, managers and students who want to understand, develop or use models of marketing phenomena.

Market Response Models
Market Response Models

Author: Dominique M. Hanssens

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2005-12-19

Total Pages: 507

ISBN-13: 0306475944

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From 1976 to the beginning of the millennium—covering the quarter-century life span of this book and its predecessor—something remarkable has happened to market response research: it has become practice. Academics who teach in professional fields, like we do, dream of such things. Imagine the satisfaction of knowing that your work has been incorporated into the decision-making routine of brand managers, that category management relies on techniques you developed, that marketing management believes in something you struggled to establish in their minds. It’s not just us that we are talking about. This pride must be shared by all of the researchers who pioneered the simple concept that the determinants of sales could be found if someone just looked for them. Of course, economists had always studied demand. But the project of extending demand analysis would fall to marketing researchers, now called marketing scientists for good reason, who saw that in reality the marketing mix was more than price; it was advertising, sales force effort, distribution, promotion, and every other decision variable that potentially affected sales. The bibliography of this book supports the notion that the academic research in marketing led the way. The journey was difficult, sometimes halting, but ultimately market response research advanced and then insinuated itself into the fabric of modern management.

Advanced Methods for Modeling Markets
Advanced Methods for Modeling Markets

Author: Peter S. H. Leeflang

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2018-05-13

Total Pages: 733

ISBN-13: 9783319851600

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This volume presents advanced techniques to modeling markets, with a wide spectrum of topics, including advanced individual demand models, time series analysis, state space models, spatial models, structural models, mediation, models that specify competition and diffusion models. It is intended as a follow-on and companion to Modeling Markets (2015), in which the authors presented the basics of modeling markets along the classical steps of the model building process: specification, data collection, estimation, validation and implementation. This volume builds on the concepts presented in Modeling Markets with an emphasis on advanced methods that are used to specify, estimate and validate marketing models, including structural equation models, partial least squares, mixture models, and hidden Markov models, as well as generalized methods of moments, Bayesian analysis, non/semi-parametric estimation and endogeneity issues. Specific attention is given to big data. The market environment is changing rapidly and constantly. Models that provide information about the sensitivity of market behavior to marketing activities such as advertising, pricing, promotions and distribution are now routinely used by managers for the identification of changes in marketing programs that can improve brand performance. In today’s environment of information overload, the challenge is to make sense of the data that is being provided globally, in real time, from thousands of sources. Although marketing models are now widely accepted, the quality of the marketing decisions is critically dependent upon the quality of the models on which those decisions are based. This volume provides an authoritative and comprehensive review, with each chapter including: · an introduction to the method/methodology · a numerical example/application in marketing · references to other marketing applications · suggestions about software. Featuring contributions from top authors in the field, this volume will explore current and future aspects of modeling markets, providing relevant and timely research and techniques to scientists, researchers, students, academics and practitioners in marketing, management and economics.

SABR and SABR LIBOR Market Models in Practice
SABR and SABR LIBOR Market Models in Practice

Author: Christian Crispoldi

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2016-04-29

Total Pages: 274

ISBN-13: 1137378646

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Interest rate traders have been using the SABR model to price vanilla products for more than a decade. However this model suffers however from a severe limitation: its inability to value exotic products. A term structure model à la LIBOR Market Model (LMM) is often employed to value these more complex derivatives, however the LMM is unable to capture the volatility smile. A joint SABR LIBOR Market Model is the natural evolution towards a consistent pricing of vanilla and exotic products. Knowledge of these models is essential to all aspiring interest rate quants, traders and risk managers, as well an understanding of their failings and alternatives. SABR and SABR Libor Market Models in Practice is an accessible guide to modern interest rate modelling. Rather than covering an array of models which are seldom used in practice, it focuses on the SABR model, the market standard for vanilla products, the LIBOR Market Model, the most commonly used model for exotic products and the extended SABR LIBOR Market Model. The book takes a hands-on approach, demonstrating simply how to implement and work with these models in a market setting. It bridges the gap between the understanding of the models from a conceptual and mathematical perspective and the actual implementation by supplementing the interest rate theory with modelling specific, practical code examples written in Python.

Efficiency Wage Models of the Labor Market
Efficiency Wage Models of the Labor Market

Author: George A. Akerlof

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 1986-11-28

Total Pages: 196

ISBN-13: 9780521312844

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The contributors explore the reasons why involuntary unemployment happens when supply equals demand.

Complementarity Modeling in Energy Markets
Complementarity Modeling in Energy Markets

Author: Steven A. Gabriel

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-07-20

Total Pages: 637

ISBN-13: 1441961232

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This addition to the ISOR series introduces complementarity models in a straightforward and approachable manner and uses them to carry out an in-depth analysis of energy markets, including formulation issues and solution techniques. In a nutshell, complementarity models generalize: a. optimization problems via their Karush-Kuhn-Tucker conditions b. on-cooperative games in which each player may be solving a separate but related optimization problem with potentially overall system constraints (e.g., market-clearing conditions) c. conomic and engineering problems that aren’t specifically derived from optimization problems (e.g., spatial price equilibria) d. roblems in which both primal and dual variables (prices) appear in the original formulation (e.g., The National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) or its precursor, PIES). As such, complementarity models are a very general and flexible modeling format. A natural question is why concentrate on energy markets for this complementarity approach? s it turns out, energy or other markets that have game theoretic aspects are best modeled by complementarity problems. The reason is that the traditional perfect competition approach no longer applies due to deregulation and restructuring of these markets and thus the corresponding optimization problems may no longer hold. Also, in some instances it is important in the original model formulation to involve both primal variables (e.g., production) as well as dual variables (e.g., market prices) for public and private sector energy planning. Traditional optimization problems can not directly handle this mixing of primal and dual variables but complementarity models can and this makes them all that more effective for decision-makers.

Building Models for Marketing Decisions
Building Models for Marketing Decisions

Author: Peter S.H. Leeflang

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2013-06-29

Total Pages: 642

ISBN-13: 146154050X

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This book is about marketing models and the process of model building. Our primary focus is on models that can be used by managers to support marketing decisions. It has long been known that simple models usually outperform judgments in predicting outcomes in a wide variety of contexts. For example, models of judgments tend to provide better forecasts of the outcomes than the judgments themselves (because the model eliminates the noise in judgments). And since judgments never fully reflect the complexities of the many forces that influence outcomes, it is easy to see why models of actual outcomes should be very attractive to (marketing) decision makers. Thus, appropriately constructed models can provide insights about structural relations between marketing variables. Since models explicate the relations, both the process of model building and the model that ultimately results can improve the quality of marketing decisions. Managers often use rules of thumb for decisions. For example, a brand manager will have defined a specific set of alternative brands as the competitive set within a product category. Usually this set is based on perceived similarities in brand characteristics, advertising messages, etc. If a new marketing initiative occurs for one of the other brands, the brand manager will have a strong inclination to react. The reaction is partly based on the manager's desire to maintain some competitive parity in the mar keting variables.

MARKET MODELS: A GUIDE TO FINANCIAL DATA ANALYSIS (With CD )
MARKET MODELS: A GUIDE TO FINANCIAL DATA ANALYSIS (With CD )

Author: Carol Alexander

Publisher:

Published: 2009-01-01

Total Pages: 516

ISBN-13: 9788126523702

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Market_Desc: Primarily this book has been written for financial institutions (investment banks, asset management companies, investment analysis personnel, corporate treasuries, insurance companies, pension funds, risk management companies/consultants and regulatory bodies.) Special Features: "The author uses an applications-based approach."Includes the latest developments in VaR. About The Book: Models play a crucial role in today's financial markets and an understanding and appreciation of how to model financial data is key to any finance practitioner's skill set. Model developers are faced with many decisions, about the data, methodology, model specification and testing, prior to the final model implementation. This is costly and how many media reports in recent years have highlighted the mismanagement of such resources! It is crucial to make the right choices at every stage of model development. But this is as much an 'art' as a 'science'. The talented interpretation of results is just as critical for success as the mathematical foundation. This new book is the first of its kind. As well as providing numerous real world examples to illustrate concepts in an accessible manner, the accompanying CD will allow the reader to implement the examples themselves and adapt them for their own purposes. Professor Carol Alexander, Chair of Risk Management at the ISMA Centre and one of the best known names in financial data analysis, provides an authoritative and up-to-date treatment of model development. She brings many new insights to the practicalities of volatility and correlation analysis, modelling the market risk of portfolios and statistical models. New models that are based on cointegration, principal component analysis, normal mixture densities, GARCH and many other areas are elegantly and rigorously explained, with an emphasis on concepts that makes this text accessible to a very wide audience. The book is also designed to be self contained, with many technical appendices. Market Models is the ideal reference for all those involved in model selection and development

Stochastic Modelling of Electricity and Related Markets
Stochastic Modelling of Electricity and Related Markets

Author: Fred Espen Benth

Publisher: World Scientific

Published: 2008

Total Pages: 352

ISBN-13: 981281230X

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The markets for electricity, gas and temperature have distinctive features, which provide the focus for countless studies. For instance, electricity and gas prices may soar several magnitudes above their normal levels within a short time due to imbalances in supply and demand, yielding what is known as spikes in the spot prices. The markets are also largely influenced by seasons, since power demand for heating and cooling varies over the year. The incompleteness of the markets, due to nonstorability of electricity and temperature as well as limited storage capacity of gas, makes spot-forward hedging impossible. Moreover, futures contracts are typically settled over a time period rather than at a fixed date. All these aspects of the markets create new challenges when analyzing price dynamics of spot, futures and other derivatives.This book provides a concise and rigorous treatment on the stochastic modeling of energy markets. Ornstein?Uhlenbeck processes are described as the basic modeling tool for spot price dynamics, where innovations are driven by time-inhomogeneous jump processes. Temperature futures are studied based on a continuous higher-order autoregressive model for the temperature dynamics. The theory presented here pays special attention to the seasonality of volatility and the Samuelson effect. Empirical studies using data from electricity, temperature and gas markets are given to link theory to practice.

Spin Sucks
Spin Sucks

Author: Gini Dietrich

Publisher: Pearson Education

Published: 2014

Total Pages: 165

ISBN-13: 078974886X

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Go beyond PR spin! Master better ways to communicate honestly and regain the trust of your customers and stakeholders with this book.