Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts

Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts

Author: Stéphane Vannitsem

Publisher: Elsevier

Published: 2018-05-17

Total Pages: 364

ISBN-13: 012812248X

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Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts brings together chapters contributed by international subject-matter experts describing the current state of the art in the statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts. The book illustrates the use of these methods in several important applications including weather, hydrological and climate forecasts, and renewable energy forecasting. After an introductory section on ensemble forecasts and prediction systems, the second section of the book is devoted to exposition of the methods available for statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts: univariate and multivariate ensemble postprocessing are first reviewed by Wilks (Chapters 3), then Schefzik and Möller (Chapter 4), and the more specialized perspective necessary for postprocessing forecasts for extremes is presented by Friederichs, Wahl, and Buschow (Chapter 5). The second section concludes with a discussion of forecast verification methods devised specifically for evaluation of ensemble forecasts (Chapter 6 by Thorarinsdottir and Schuhen). The third section of this book is devoted to applications of ensemble postprocessing. Practical aspects of ensemble postprocessing are first detailed in Chapter 7 (Hamill), including an extended and illustrative case study. Chapters 8 (Hemri), 9 (Pinson and Messner), and 10 (Van Schaeybroeck and Vannitsem) discuss ensemble postprocessing specifically for hydrological applications, postprocessing in support of renewable energy applications, and postprocessing of long-range forecasts from months to decades. Finally, Chapter 11 (Messner) provides a guide to the ensemble-postprocessing software available in the R programming language, which should greatly help readers implement many of the ideas presented in this book. Edited by three experts with strong and complementary expertise in statistical postprocessing of ensemble forecasts, this book assesses the new and rapidly developing field of ensemble forecast postprocessing as an extension of the use of statistical corrections to traditional deterministic forecasts. Statistical Postprocessing of Ensemble Forecasts is an essential resource for researchers, operational practitioners, and students in weather, seasonal, and climate forecasting, as well as users of such forecasts in fields involving renewable energy, conventional energy, hydrology, environmental engineering, and agriculture. - Consolidates, for the first time, the methodologies and applications of ensemble forecasts in one succinct place - Provides real-world examples of methods used to formulate forecasts - Presents the tools needed to make the best use of multiple model forecasts in a timely and efficient manner


Weather Girl

Weather Girl

Author: Rachel Lynn Solomon

Publisher: Random House

Published: 2022-04-18

Total Pages: 309

ISBN-13: 1405954736

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THE FUNNY AND ADDICTIVELY ROMANTIC FEEL-GOOD TIKTOK SENSATION 'My forecast: read it, and you'll be on cloud nine' ALI HAZELWOOD, Sunday Times bestselling author of THE LOVE HYPOTHESIS 'A sexy storm of a book' Sophie Cousens 'Probably my favourite romcom ever' 5* Reader Review *BUSINESS OR PLEASURE, the sizzling new rom com from Rachel Lynn Solomon is available to pre-order now!* ________ Ari Abrams loves working as a TV meteorologist. But unfortunately, her boss is so busy fighting with her ex - who happens to be the station's news director - that there's always a storm brewing inside the newsroom! So after a particularly explosive showdown, Ari and shy sports reporter Russell hatch a plan to get their bosses back together, fast . . . As they work to help the sparring exes fall back in love, Ari finds herself telling Russell things that she has always kept hidden - and soon realises there's more to her quiet colleague than meets the eye. It seems like love might have been in front of Ari all along. But will Russell be able to embrace her dark clouds, as well as her clear skies? ________ One of... Amazon's Best Romances of January Apple Books' Best Books of January Goodreads' Hottest Romances of January Buzzfeed's Most Anticipated Books of 2022 Popsugar, Parade.com, The Nerd Daily, and Fangirlish's Most Anticipated Books of 2022 'The forecast predicts a 100% chance of heartfelt rom-com charm' Kirkus Reviews 'Cosy, comforting, thought provoking, it'll make you feel warm from the inside out' Jasmine Guillory, New York Times bestselling author of While We Were Dating 'A tender, hilarious, and heartfelt love story you'll read in one sitting!' Tessa Bailey, New York Times bestselling author of It Happened One Summe


Mesoscale Meteorology in Midlatitudes

Mesoscale Meteorology in Midlatitudes

Author: Paul Markowski

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2011-09-20

Total Pages: 435

ISBN-13: 1119966671

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Mesoscale Meteorology in Mid-Latitudes presents the dynamics of mesoscale meteorological phenomena in a highly accessible, student-friendly manner. The book's clear mathematical treatments are complemented by high-quality photographs and illustrations. Comprehensive coverage of subjects including boundary layer mesoscale phenomena, orographic phenomena and deep convection is brought together with the latest developments in the field to provide an invaluable resource for mesoscale meteorology students. Mesoscale Meteorology in Mid-Latitudes functions as a comprehensive, easy-to-use undergraduate textbook while also providing a useful reference for graduate students, research scientists and weather industry professionals. Illustrated in full colour throughout Covers the latest developments and research in the field Comprehensive coverage of deep convection and its initiation Uses real life examples of phenomena taken from broad geographical areas to demonstrate the practical aspects of the science


Aviation Weather Services

Aviation Weather Services

Author:

Publisher: Federal Aviation Administration

Published: 1999

Total Pages: 220

ISBN-13:

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Explains weather service in general. Also explains the details interpreting and using coded weather reports, forecasts, and observed and prognostic weather charts.


Weather Words and What They Mean (New Edition)

Weather Words and What They Mean (New Edition)

Author: Gail Gibbons

Publisher: Holiday House

Published: 2019-01-15

Total Pages: 34

ISBN-13: 0823441717

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A perfect introduction to how we talk and think about the weather. Everyone talks about the weather, but what does it all mean? In clear, accessible language, Gail Gibbons introduces many common terms--like moisture, air pressure, and temperature--and their definitions. Simple, kid-friendly text explains the origins of fog, clouds, frost, thunderstorms, snow, fronts, hurricanes, reinforcing the explanations with clear, well-labeled drawings and diagrams. Newly revised, this edition of Weather Words and What They Mean has been vetted by an expert from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association. Best of all, the book features a fun list of weird weather facts!


The Weather Machine

The Weather Machine

Author: Andrew Blum

Publisher: HarperCollins

Published: 2019-06-25

Total Pages: 191

ISBN-13: 1443438618

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From the acclaimed author of Tubes, a lively and surprising tour through the global network that predicts our weather, the people behind it, and what it reveals about our climate and our planet The weather is the foundation of our daily lives. It’s a staple of small talk, the app on our smartphones, and often the first thing we check each morning. Yet, behind all these humble interactions is the largest and most elaborate piece of infrastructure human beings have ever constructed—a triumph of both science and global cooperation. But what is the weather machine, and who created it? In The Weather Machine, Andrew Blum takes readers on a fascinating journey through the people, places, and tools of forecasting, exploring how the weather went from something we simply observed to something we could actually predict. As he travels across the planet, he visits some of the oldest and most important weather stations and watches the newest satellites blast off. He explores the dogged efforts of forecasters to create a supercomputer model of the atmosphere, while trying to grasp the ongoing relevance of TV weather forecasters. In the increasingly unpredictable world of climate change, correctly understanding the weather is vital. Written with the sharp wit and infectious curiosity Andrew Blum is known for, The Weather Machine pulls back the curtain on a universal part of our everyday lives, illuminating our changing relationships with technology, the planet, and our global community.