Evidential Decision Theory

Evidential Decision Theory

Author: Arif Ahmed

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2021-10-21

Total Pages: 112

ISBN-13: 1108607861

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Evidential Decision Theory is a radical theory of rational decision-making. It recommends that instead of thinking about what your decisions *cause*, you should think about what they *reveal*. This Element explains in simple terms why thinking in this way makes a big difference, and argues that doing so makes for *better* decisions. An appendix gives an intuitive explanation of the measure-theoretic foundations of Evidential Decision Theory.


The Foundations of Causal Decision Theory

The Foundations of Causal Decision Theory

Author: James M. Joyce

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 1999-04-13

Total Pages: 300

ISBN-13: 9780521641647

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The book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true.


An Introduction to Decision Theory

An Introduction to Decision Theory

Author: Martin Peterson

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2017-03-30

Total Pages: 351

ISBN-13: 1107151597

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A comprehensive and accessible introduction to all aspects of decision theory, now with new and updated discussions and over 140 exercises.


Decision Theory with a Human Face

Decision Theory with a Human Face

Author: Richard Bradley

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2017-10-26

Total Pages: 351

ISBN-13: 1107003210

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Explores how decision-makers can manage uncertainty that varies in both kind and severity by extending and supplementing Bayesian decision theory.


Newcomb's Problem

Newcomb's Problem

Author: Arif Ahmed

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2018-10-03

Total Pages: 244

ISBN-13: 1316853004

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Newcomb's problem is a controversial paradox of decision theory. It is easily explained and easily understood, and there is a strong chance that most of us have actually faced it in some form or other. And yet it has proven as thorny and intractable a puzzle as much older and better-known philosophical problems of consciousness, scepticism and fatalism. It brings into very sharp and focused disagreement several long-standing philosophical theories on practical rationality, on the nature of free will, and on the direction and analysis of causation. This volume introduces readers to the nature of Newcomb's problem, and ten chapters by leading scholars present the most recent debates around the problem and analyse its ramifications for decision theory, metaphysics, philosophical psychology and political science. Their chapters highlight the status of Newcomb's problem as a live and continuing issue in modern philosophy.


Self-Control, Decision Theory, and Rationality

Self-Control, Decision Theory, and Rationality

Author: José Luis Bermúdez

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2018-12-06

Total Pages: 281

ISBN-13: 1108420095

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A distinguished group of philosophers, decision theorists, and psychologists offer new interdisciplinary perspectives on the rationality of self-control.


Decision Theory as Philosophy

Decision Theory as Philosophy

Author: Mark Kaplan

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 1996

Total Pages: 250

ISBN-13: 9780521624961

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Kaplan presents an accessible new variant on Bayesian decision theory.


Probability and the Art of Judgment

Probability and the Art of Judgment

Author: Richard C. Jeffrey

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 1992-03-27

Total Pages: 262

ISBN-13: 9780521397704

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Spanning a period of 35 years, this collection of essays includes some of the classic works of one of the most distinquished and influential philosophers working in the field of decision theory and the theory of knowledge.


The Logic of Decision

The Logic of Decision

Author: Richard C. Jeffrey

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

Published: 1990-07-15

Total Pages: 245

ISBN-13: 0226395820

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"[This book] proposes new foundations for the Bayesian principle of rational action, and goes on to develop a new logic of desirability and probabtility."—Frederic Schick, Journal of Philosophy


The Logic of Strategy

The Logic of Strategy

Author: Cristina Bicchieri

Publisher: Oxford University Press

Published: 1999-09-02

Total Pages: 208

ISBN-13: 019535365X

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Edited by three leading figures in the field, this exciting volume presents cutting-edge work in decision theory by a distinguished international roster of contributors. These mostly unpublished papers address a host of crucial areas in the contemporary philosophical study of rationality and knowledge. Topics include causal versus evidential decision theory, game theory, backwards induction, bounded rationality, counterfactual reasoning in games and in general, analyses of the famous common knowledge assumptions in game theory, and evaluations of the normal versus extensive form formulations of complex decision problems.