The second part is multivariate volatility estimation in high frequency. I propose an estimator that extends the realized kernel method, which was introduced for univariate data. I look at the estimator from a different view and suggest a natural extension. Several asymptotic properties are discussed. I also investigate the optimal kernels and provide a regularization method that produces positive-definite covariance matrix. I conduct a simulation study to verify the asymptotic theory and the finite sample performance of the proposed method.
This book presents covariance matrix estimation and related aspects of random matrix theory. It focuses on the sample covariance matrix estimator and provides a holistic description of its properties under two asymptotic regimes: the traditional one, and the high-dimensional regime that better fits the big data context. It draws attention to the deficiencies of standard statistical tools when used in the high-dimensional setting, and introduces the basic concepts and major results related to spectral statistics and random matrix theory under high-dimensional asymptotics in an understandable and reader-friendly way. The aim of this book is to inspire applied statisticians, econometricians, and machine learning practitioners who analyze high-dimensional data to apply the recent developments in their work.
Recently, considerable attention has been placed on the development and application of tools useful for the analysis of the high-dimensional and/or high-frequency datasets that now dominate the landscape. The purpose of this Special Issue is to collect both methodological and empirical papers that develop and utilize state-of-the-art econometric techniques for the analysis of such data.
Methods for estimating sparse and large covariance matrices Covariance and correlation matrices play fundamental roles in every aspect of the analysis of multivariate data collected from a variety of fields including business and economics, health care, engineering, and environmental and physical sciences. High-Dimensional Covariance Estimation provides accessible and comprehensive coverage of the classical and modern approaches for estimating covariance matrices as well as their applications to the rapidly developing areas lying at the intersection of statistics and machine learning. Recently, the classical sample covariance methodologies have been modified and improved upon to meet the needs of statisticians and researchers dealing with large correlated datasets. High-Dimensional Covariance Estimation focuses on the methodologies based on shrinkage, thresholding, and penalized likelihood with applications to Gaussian graphical models, prediction, and mean-variance portfolio management. The book relies heavily on regression-based ideas and interpretations to connect and unify many existing methods and algorithms for the task. High-Dimensional Covariance Estimation features chapters on: Data, Sparsity, and Regularization Regularizing the Eigenstructure Banding, Tapering, and Thresholding Covariance Matrices Sparse Gaussian Graphical Models Multivariate Regression The book is an ideal resource for researchers in statistics, mathematics, business and economics, computer sciences, and engineering, as well as a useful text or supplement for graduate-level courses in multivariate analysis, covariance estimation, statistical learning, and high-dimensional data analysis.
In this paper, we consider a robust method of estimating a realized covariance matrix calculated as the sum of cross products of intraday high-frequency returns. According to recent papers in financial econometrics, the realized covariance matrix is essentially contaminated with market microstructure noise. Although techniques for removing noise from the matrix have been studied since the early 2000s, they have primarily investigated a low-dimensional covariance matrix with statistically significant sample sizes. We focus on noise-robust covariance estimation under converse circumstances; that is, a high-dimensional covariance matrix possibly with a small sample size. For the estimation, we utilize a statistical hypothesis test based on the characteristic that the largest eigenvalue of the covariance matrix asymptotically follows a Tracy-Widom distribution. The null hypothesis assumes that log returns are not pure noises. If a sample eigenvalue is larger than the relevant critical value, then we fail to reject the null hypothesis. The simulation results show that the estimator studied here performs better than others as measured by mean squared error. The empirical analysis shows that our proposed estimator can be adopted to forecast future covariance matrices using real data.
Excerpt from Estimating the Covariance Matrix From Unsynchronized High Frequency Financial Data The estimation of the covariance matrix of financial prices is necessary in port folio optimization and risk management. Besides sample covariance, many other estimators have been proposed (stein 1975, Dey and Srinivasan However, estimating the covariance matrix from daily data can have serious problems. Jobson and Korkie (1980) indicated that, in some cases, it is better to use the identical matrix instead of the sample covariance matrix in the port folio selection. The problem is that the number of observations is not enough to estimate all entries of a big covariance matrix. To get around the problem, one may want to collect more data over longer time interval. However, the changing condition of markets may prevent us to do so. Another approach is to impose constrains on the covariance matrix to reduce the number of free parameters (frost and Savaino, The constrain may be subjective and not reflect the reality of the market. This paper explores another possibility of using high frequency data. Because of fast-growing computer power, data is now available in ultra - high frequency, such as tick-by - tick. Exchange rates, for example, can easily have over one million observations in one year. About the Publisher Forgotten Books publishes hundreds of thousands of rare and classic books. Find more at www.forgottenbooks.com This book is a reproduction of an important historical work. Forgotten Books uses state-of-the-art technology to digitally reconstruct the work, preserving the original format whilst repairing imperfections present in the aged copy. In rare cases, an imperfection in the original, such as a blemish or missing page, may be replicated in our edition. We do, however, repair the vast majority of imperfections successfully; any imperfections that remain are intentionally left to preserve the state of such historical works.
The aim of the book is to introduce basic concepts, main results, and widely applied mathematical tools in the spectral analysis of large dimensional random matrices. The core of the book focuses on results established under moment conditions on random variables using probabilistic methods, and is thus easily applicable to statistics and other areas of science. The book introduces fundamental results, most of them investigated by the authors, such as the semicircular law of Wigner matrices, the Marcenko-Pastur law, the limiting spectral distribution of the multivariate F matrix, limits of extreme eigenvalues, spectrum separation theorems, convergence rates of empirical distributions, central limit theorems of linear spectral statistics, and the partial solution of the famous circular law. While deriving the main results, the book simultaneously emphasizes the ideas and methodologies of the fundamental mathematical tools, among them being: truncation techniques, matrix identities, moment convergence theorems, and the Stieltjes transform. Its treatment is especially fitting to the needs of mathematics and statistics graduate students and beginning researchers, having a basic knowledge of matrix theory and an understanding of probability theory at the graduate level, who desire to learn the concepts and tools in solving problems in this area. It can also serve as a detailed handbook on results of large dimensional random matrices for practical users. This second edition includes two additional chapters, one on the authors' results on the limiting behavior of eigenvectors of sample covariance matrices, another on applications to wireless communications and finance. While attempting to bring this edition up-to-date on recent work, it also provides summaries of other areas which are typically considered part of the general field of random matrix theory.
In practice, observations are often contaminated by noise, making the resulting sample covariance matrix a signal-plus-noise sample covariance matrix. Aiming to make inferences about the spectral distribution of the population covariance matrix under such a situation, we establish an asymptotic relationship that describes how the limiting spectral distribution of (signal) sample covariance matrices depends on that of signal-plus-noise-type sample covariance matrices. As an application, we consider inferences about the spectral distribution of integrated covolatility (ICV) matrices of high-dimensional diffusion processes based on high-frequency data with microstructure noise. The (slightly modified) pre-averaging estimator is a signal-plus-noise sample covariance matrix, and the aforementioned result, together with a (generalized) connection between the spectral distribution of signal sample covariance matrices and that of the population covariance matrix, enables us to propose a two-step procedure to consistently estimate the spectral distribution of ICV for a class of diffusion processes. An alternative approach is further proposed, which possesses several desirable properties: it is more robust, it eliminates the effects of microstructure noise, and the asymptotic relationship that enables consistent estimation of the spectral distribution of ICV is the standard Mar v{c}enko-Pastur equation. The performance of the two approaches is examined via simulation studies under both synchronous and asynchronous observation settings.
