Endogenous Econometric Models and Multi-Stage Estimation in High-Dimensional Settings

Endogenous Econometric Models and Multi-Stage Estimation in High-Dimensional Settings

Author: Ying Zhu

Publisher:

Published: 2015

Total Pages: 225

ISBN-13:

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Econometric models based on observational data are often endogenous due to measurement error, autocorrelated errors, simultaneity and omitted variables, non-random sampling, self-selection, etc. Parameter estimates of these models without corrective measures may be inconsistent. The potential high-dimensional feature of these models (where the dimension of the parameters of interests is comparable to or even larger than the sample size) further complicates the statistical estimation and inference. My dissertation studies two different types of high-dimensional endogenous econometrics problems in depth and develops statistical tools together with their theoretical guarantees. The first essay in this dissertation explores the validity of the two-stage regularized least squares estimation procedure for sparse linear models in high-dimensional settings with possibly many endogenous regressors. The second essay is focused on the semiparametric sample selection model in high-dimensional settings under a weak nonparametric restriction on the form of the selection correction, for which a multi-stage projection-based regularized procedure is proposed. The number of regressors in the main equation, p, and the number of regressors in the first-stage equation, d, can grow with and exceed the sample size n in the respective models. The analysis considers the sparsity case where the number of non-zero components in the vectors of coefficients is bounded above by some integer which is allowed to grow with n but slowly compared to n, or the vectors of coefficients can be approximated by exactly sparse vectors. Simulations are conducted to gain insight on the small-sample performance of these high-dimensional multi-stage estimators. The proposed estimators in the second essay are also applied to study the pricing decisions of the gasoline retailers in the Greater Saint Louis area. The main theoretical results of both essays are finite-sample bounds from which sufficient scaling conditions on the sample size for estimation consistency and variable selection consistency (i.e., the multi-stage high-dimensional estimation procedures correctly select the non-zero coefficients in the main equation with high probability) are established. A technical issue regarding the so-called "restricted eigenvalue (RE) condition" for estimation consistency and the "mutual incoherence (MI) condition" for selection consistency arises in these multi-stage estimation procedures from allowing the number of regressors in the main equation to exceed n and this paper provides analysis to verify these RE and MI conditions. In particular, for the semiparametric sample selection model, these verifications also provide a finite-sample guarantee of the population identification condition required by the semiparametric sample selection models. In the second essay, statistical efficiency of the proposed estimators is studied via lower bounds on minimax risks and the result shows that, for a family of models with exactly sparse structure on the coefficient vector in the main equation, one of the proposed estimators attains the smallest estimation error up to the (n, d, p)-scaling among a class of procedures in worst-case scenarios. Inference procedures for the coefficients of the main equation, one based on a pivotal Dantzig selector to construct non-asymptotic confidence sets and one based on a post-selection strategy (when perfect or near-perfect selection of the high-dimensional coefficients is achieved), are discussed. Other theoretical contributions of this essay include establishing the non-asymptotic counterpart of the familiar asymptotic "oracle" type of results from previous literature: the estimator of the coefficients in the main equation behaves as if the unknown nonparametric component were known, provided the nonparametric component is sufficiently smooth.


Dealing with Endogeneity in Regression Models with Dynamic Coefficients

Dealing with Endogeneity in Regression Models with Dynamic Coefficients

Author: Chang-Jin Kim

Publisher: Now Publishers Inc

Published: 2010

Total Pages: 116

ISBN-13: 1601983123

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The purpose of this monograph is to present a unified econometric framework for dealing with the issues of endogeneity in Markov-switching models and time-varying parameter models, as developed by Kim (2004, 2006, 2009), Kim and Nelson (2006), Kim et al. (2008), and Kim and Kim (2009). While Cogley and Sargent (2002), Primiceri (2005), Sims and Zha (2006), and Sims et al. (2008) consider estimation of simultaneous equations models with stochastic coefficients as a system, we deal with the LIML (limited information maximum likelihood) estimation of a single equation of interest out of a simultaneous equations model. Our main focus is on the two-step estimation procedures based on the control function approach, and we show how the problem of generated regressors can be addressed in second-step regressions.


Econometric Models and Economic Forecasts

Econometric Models and Economic Forecasts

Author: Robert S. Pindyck

Publisher:

Published: 1998

Total Pages: 664

ISBN-13:

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This updated edition of the text has been restructured into four parts: multiple regression model; single-equation regression models; revised exposition and a small macroeconomic model; and a revised treatment of time-series analysis.


Econometric Models For Industrial Organization

Econometric Models For Industrial Organization

Author: Matthew Shum

Publisher: World Scientific

Published: 2016-12-14

Total Pages: 154

ISBN-13: 981310967X

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Economic Models for Industrial Organization focuses on the specification and estimation of econometric models for research in industrial organization. In recent decades, empirical work in industrial organization has moved towards dynamic and equilibrium models, involving econometric methods which have features distinct from those used in other areas of applied economics. These lecture notes, aimed for a first or second-year PhD course, motivate and explain these econometric methods, starting from simple models and building to models with the complexity observed in typical research papers. The covered topics include discrete-choice demand analysis, models of dynamic behavior and dynamic games, multiple equilibria in entry games and partial identification, and auction models.


High Dimensional Econometrics and Identification

High Dimensional Econometrics and Identification

Author: Chihwa Kao

Publisher: World Scientific Publishing Company

Published: 2019

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9789811200151

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In many applications of econometrics and economics, a large proportion of the questions of interest are identification. An economist may be interested in uncovering the true signal when the data could be very noisy, such as time-series spurious regression and weak instruments problems, to name a few. In this book, High Dimensional Econometrics and Identification, we illustrate the true signal and, hence, identification can be recovered even with noisy data in high-dimensional data, e.g., large panels. High-dimensional data in econometrics is the rule rather than the exception. One of the tools to analyze large, high-dimensional data is the panel data model. High Dimensional Econometrics and Identification grew out of research work on the identification and high-dimensional econometrics that we have collaborated on over the years, and it aims to provide an up-to-date presentation of the issues of identification and high-dimensional econometrics, as well as insights into the use of these results in empirical studies. This book is designed for high-level graduate courses in econometrics and statistics, as well as used as a reference for researchers.


Advanced Econometrics. Dynamic Models. Exercises with SPSS, SAS, Stata and Eviews

Advanced Econometrics. Dynamic Models. Exercises with SPSS, SAS, Stata and Eviews

Author: César Pérez López

Publisher: CreateSpace

Published: 2013-10

Total Pages: 222

ISBN-13: 9781493628193

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Usually variables that appear how explanatory in econometric models are supposed related at one time with the endogenous variable, so usually the temporary subscripts of all variables are equal. However, economic theory, econometrics, and other sciences lead us to relationship dynamic between the variables, since the impacts between variables can become manifest in later periods or extended to many periods. In this way appear dynamic models with variables out in time. Dynamic models usually seen three different situations according to the variables affected by delays. It may be that the delays involved only to exogenous variables, only the endogenous variable or simultaneously to endogenous and exogenous variables. This book covers a wide typology of dynamic models including models with distributed delays, models with stochastic regressors, models with structural change and dynamic panel data models. Widely is the theory of unit roots, the Cointegration and error correction models. And all this from a perspective multi-software, using the latest software on the market suitable for these non-trivial econometric tasks (SAS, EVIEWS, SPSS and STATA). The book develops the following themes: Dynamic models Dynamic models with delays in exogenous variables Dynamic models with delays in the endogenous variable Dynamic models with delays in the endogenous variable and the exogenous variables simultaneously Special types of dynamic models Models with finite distributed delays Models with distributed delays infinite EVIEWS and the specific dynamic models SPSS and the dynamic models SPSS and dynamic models with stochastic regressors. instrumental variables EVIEWS and dynamic models with stochastic regressors. instrumental variables SAS and the dynamic models Stable models. Structural change, unit roots and cointegration Structural stability in econometric models Parameters constant in time and prediction of Chow test Chow prediction test Structural Change and Chow test Recursive models: contrasts based on recursive estimation CUSUM and CUSUMQ tests Unstable models: spurious regressions Stationary time series. Detecting stationarity Seasonality detection Unit roots test Dickey-Fuller Unit Roots Tests Phillips-Perron Unit Roots Test Stable models in the long term: the cointegration analysis Phillips-Oularis for the Cointegration Test Error correction models mce Unit roots and cointegration in seasonal series Unit roots and cointegration in series with structural change Stationary and seasonality with EVIEWS Unit roots, cointegration and structural change with EVIEWS Panel data models. Unit roots and cointegration in panel. Dynamic panels Econometric models with panel data Panel data models with constant coefficients Panel data models with fixed effects Panel data models with random -effects Dynamic panel data models Logit and probit panel data models Unit roots and cointegration in panel data models EVIEWS and panel data models SPSS and panel data models Panel data models with SAS EVIEWS and dynamic models with panel data. methodology of ARELLANO and BOND EVIEWS and the contrasts of unit roots with panel data. Cointegration in panel


Inference for High-dimensional Sparse Econometric Models

Inference for High-dimensional Sparse Econometric Models

Author: Alexandre Belloni

Publisher:

Published: 2011

Total Pages:

ISBN-13:

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This article is about estimation and inference methods for high dimensional sparse (HDS) regression models in econometrics. High dimensional sparse models arise in situations where many regressors (or series terms) are available and the regression function is well-approximated by a parsimonious, yet unknown set of regressors. The latter condition makes it possible to estimate the entire regression function effectively by searching for approximately the right set of regressors. We discuss methods for identifying this set of regressors and estimating their coefficients based on l1 -penalization and describe key theoretical results. In order to capture realistic practical situations, we expressly allow for imperfect selection of regressors and study the impact of this imperfect selection on estimation and inference results. We focus the main part of the article on the use of HDS models and methods in the instrumental variables model and the partially linear model. We present a set of novel inference results for these models and illustrate their use with applications to returns to schooling and growth regression. -- inference under imperfect model selection ; structural effects ; high-dimensional econometrics ; instrumental regression ; partially linear regression ; returns-to-schooling ; growth regression