Wealth Inequality and the Distributional Effects of Maximum Loan-to-value Ratio Policy

Wealth Inequality and the Distributional Effects of Maximum Loan-to-value Ratio Policy

Author: William Gatt

Publisher:

Published: 2023

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

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Macroprudential policy improves economic outcomes by reducing the likelihood and severity of financial crises. Yet it is pertinent to ask, are there unintended long run consequences to the introduction of a macroprudential policy regime, and are these consequences conditional on the a priori level of wealth inequality? This paper answers these questions by looking at the effect of a reduction in the maximum loan-to-value (LTV) ratio on homeownership rates, house prices and housing wealth inequality across two economies with different initial wealth dispersion. It uses a heterogeneous agent model in which households face uninsurable income risk and an endogenous borrowing limit in the form of a collateral constraint. This constraint is initially loose, allowing households to lever up against the collateral value of their housing. A reduction in the LTV limit tightens the borrowing constraint, and lowers homeownership as a greater share of households no longer afford the downpayment. The key finding of this paper is that initial conditions matter; the lower is wealth inequality ex-ante, the higher is the fall in house prices and the greater is the rise in the share of constrained homeowners and housing wealth inequality ex-post. The effects are also non-linear in the LTV ratio, with progressively stronger effects at lower LTV ratios, especially when inequality is comparatively low.


Inequality in Human Capital and Endogenous Credit Constraints

Inequality in Human Capital and Endogenous Credit Constraints

Author: Rong Hai

Publisher:

Published: 2017

Total Pages: 67

ISBN-13:

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This paper investigates the determinants of inequality in human capital with an emphasis on the role of the credit constraints. We develop and estimate a model in which individuals face uninsured human capital risks and invest in education, acquire work experience, accumulate assets and smooth consumption. Agents can borrow from the private lending market and from government student loan programs. The private market credit limit is explicitly derived by extending the natural borrowing limit of Aiyagari (1994) to incorporate endogenous labor supply, human capital accumulation, psychic costs of working, and age. We quantify the effects of cognitive ability, noncognitive ability, parental education, and parental wealth on educational attainment, wages, and consumption. We conduct counterfactual experiments with respect to tuition subsidies and enhanced student loan limits and evaluate their effects on educational attainment and inequality. We compare the performance of our model with an influential ad hoc model in the literature with education-specific fixed loan limits. We find evidence of substantial life cycle credit constraints that affect human capital accumulation and inequality. The constrained fall into two groups: those who are permanently poor over their lifetimes and a group of well-endowed individuals with rising high levels of acquired skills who are constrained early in their life cycles. Equalizing cognitive and noncognitive ability has dramatic effects on inequality. Equalizing parental backgrounds has much weaker effects. Tuition costs have weak effects on inequality.


Essays on Wealth Inequality and Macroeconomics

Essays on Wealth Inequality and Macroeconomics

Author: Rodolfo Erasmo Oviedo Moguel

Publisher:

Published: 2018

Total Pages: 51

ISBN-13:

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The role of credit on wealth inequality in the USA: 1980 - 2012. In the USA, the share of total household wealth held by the richest 1% increased from 23.5 % in 1980 to 41.8% in 2012. A sharp reduction in the saving rate of the bottom 90% accounts for approximately 40% of this change. I construct a quantitative model that, under a reasonable calibration, is able to replicate this fact. I then use the model to decompose the total variation among some of the most likely candidates: (i) changes in credit conditions, (ii) increase in the concentration and riskiness of labor income and, (iii) reforms to the tax code. This decomposition exercise shows that, in the context of my model, the relaxation of the borrowing constraint explains approximately 45% of the increase in the share of wealth going to the top 1%. I also show that, in the absence of the credit constraint, the exogenous changes under (ii) and (iii) would have brought about a counterfactual increase in the aggregate saving rate. The effect of housing on the distribution of wealth in the USA. Wealth inequality increased dramatically in the previous 40 years. We construct a heterogeneous agent model with two types of assets: housing and productive capital and evaluate the effect of the observed increase in the price of housing on the saving behavior of different groups and hence on the wealth distribution. A percentage of the equity in housing can be posted as collateral to issue non-mortgage debt and the increase in the price of housing effectively relaxed the borrowing constraints and increased the permanent income of households. The result is an increase in Non-Mortgage debt for the households that were originally constrained in line with the findings of Mian and Sufi (2014).


Financial Development and Economic Growth

Financial Development and Economic Growth

Author: Mr.Pablo Emilio Guidotti

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1992-12-01

Total Pages: 38

ISBN-13: 1451852452

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This paper examines the empirical relationship between long–run growth and the degree of financial development, proxied by the ratio of bank credit to the private sector as a fraction of GDP. We find that this proxy enters significantly and with a positive sign in growth regressions on a large cross–country sample, but with a negative sign using panel data for Latin America. Our findings suggest that the main channel of transmission from financial development to growth is the efficiency of investment, rather than its volume. We also present a model where the negative correlation between financial intermediation and growth results from financial liberalization in a poor regulatory environment.


Inequality, Leverage and Crises

Inequality, Leverage and Crises

Author: Mr.Michael Kumhof

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2010-11-01

Total Pages: 39

ISBN-13: 1455210757

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The paper studies how high leverage and crises can arise as a result of changes in the income distribution. Empirically, the periods 1920-1929 and 1983-2008 both exhibited a large increase in the income share of the rich, a large increase in leverage for the remainder, and an eventual financial and real crisis. The paper presents a theoretical model where these features arise endogenously as a result of a shift in bargaining powers over incomes. A financial crisis can reduce leverage if it is very large and not accompanied by a real contraction. But restoration of the lower income group's bargaining power is more effective.


Finance, Growth, and Public Policy

Finance, Growth, and Public Policy

Author: Mark Gertler

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 1991

Total Pages: 50

ISBN-13:

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A thriving financial market depends not only on a prudent regulatory regime but also on having enough creditworthy borrowers. Policies in the real sector- macroeconomic, public finance, and trade policies- that directly stimulate growth and stability should be pursued in concert with financial reform.