Warning Analysis for the Information Age

Warning Analysis for the Information Age

Author: John W. Bodnar

Publisher: Joint Military Intelligence College Center for Strategic Intelligence Research

Published: 2003

Total Pages: 208

ISBN-13:

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Looks at the challenges posed to the intelligence community by the changed strategic circumstances of the information age.


Intelligence Analysis in the Digital Age

Intelligence Analysis in the Digital Age

Author: Stig Stenslie

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2021-08-05

Total Pages: 176

ISBN-13: 1000426610

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This book examines intelligence analysis in the digital age and demonstrates how intelligence has entered a new era. While intelligence is an ancient activity, the digital age is a relatively new phenomenon. This volume uses the concept of the "digital age" to highlight the increased change, complexity, and pace of information that is now circulated, as new technology has reduced the time it takes to spread news to almost nothing. These factors mean that decision-makers face an increasingly challenging threat environment, which in turn increases the demand for timely, relevant, and reliable intelligence to support policymaking. In this context, the book demonstrates that intelligence places greater demands on analysis work, as the traditional intelligence cycle is no longer adequate as a process description. In the digital age, it is not enough to accumulate as much information as possible to gain a better understanding of the world. To meet customers’ needs, the intelligence process must be centred around the analysis work – which in turn has increased the demand for analysts. Assessments, not least predictions, are now just as important as revealing someone else’s secrets. This volume will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, security studies, and international relations.


Strategic Warning Intelligence

Strategic Warning Intelligence

Author: John A. Gentry

Publisher: Georgetown University Press

Published: 2019-03-01

Total Pages: 289

ISBN-13: 1626166552

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John A. Gentry and Joseph S. Gordon update our understanding of strategic warning intelligence analysis for the twenty-first century. Strategic warning—the process of long-range analysis to alert senior leaders to trending threats and opportunities that require action—is a critical intelligence function. It also is frequently misunderstood and underappreciated. Gentry and Gordon draw on both their practitioner and academic backgrounds to present a history of the strategic warning function in the US intelligence community. In doing so, they outline the capabilities of analytic methods, explain why strategic warning analysis is so hard, and discuss the special challenges strategic warning encounters from senior decision-makers. They also compare how strategic warning functions in other countries, evaluate why the United States has in recent years emphasized current intelligence instead of strategic warning, and recommend warning-related structural and procedural improvements in the US intelligence community. The authors examine historical case studies, including postmortems of warning failures, to provide examples of the analytic points they make. Strategic Warning Intelligence will interest scholars and practitioners and will be an ideal teaching text for intermediate and advanced students.


Terrorism Forecasting

Terrorism Forecasting

Author: Sundri Khalsa

Publisher:

Published: 2004

Total Pages: 100

ISBN-13:

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Accompanying CD-ROM includes a web-based interface and "a 45-minute video that provides an executive summary of the forecasting methodology"--P. 1.


Warning Analysis for the Information Age

Warning Analysis for the Information Age

Author: John W. Bodnar

Publisher: Joint Military Intelligence College Center for Strategic Intelligence Research

Published: 2003

Total Pages: 208

ISBN-13:

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Looks at the challenges posed to the intelligence community by the changed strategic circumstances of the information age.


Cognitive Bias in Intelligence Analysis

Cognitive Bias in Intelligence Analysis

Author: Martha Whitesmith

Publisher: Edinburgh University Press

Published: 2020-09-21

Total Pages: 304

ISBN-13: 1474466362

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This book critiques the reliance of Western intelligence agencies on the use of a method for intelligence analysis developed by the CIA in the 1990s, the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH).