How should thinkers cope with uncertainty? Julia Staffel breaks new ground in the study of rationality by answering this question and many others. She also explains how it is better to be less irrational, because less irrational degrees of belief are generally more accurate and better at guiding our actions.
In this updated and expanded edition of climate scientist Steven Koonin’s groundbreaking book, go behind the headlines to discover the latest eye-opening data about climate change—with unbiased facts and realistic steps for the future. "Greenland’s ice loss is accelerating." "Extreme temperatures are causing more fatalities." "Rapid 'climate action' is essential to avoid a future climate disaster." You've heard all this presented as fact. But according to science, all of these statements are profoundly misleading. With the new edition of Unsettled, Steven Koonin draws on decades of experience—including as a top science advisor to the Obama administration—to clear away the fog and explain what science really says (and doesn't say). With a new introduction, this edition now features reflections on an additional three years of eye-opening data, alternatives to unrealistic “net zero” solutions, global energy inequalities, and the energy crisis arising from the war in Ukraine. When it comes to climate change, the media, politicians, and other prominent voices have declared that “the science is settled.” In reality, the climate is changing, but the why and how aren’t as clear as you’ve probably been led to believe. Koonin takes readers behind the headlines, dispels popular myths, and unveils little-known truths: Despite rising greenhouse gas emissions, global temperatures decreased from 1940 to 1970 Models currently used to predict the future do not accurately describe the climate of the past, and modelers themselves strongly doubt their regional predictions There is no compelling evidence that hurricanes are becoming more frequent—or that predictions of rapid sea level rise have any validity Unsettled is a reality check buoyed by hope, offering the truth about climate science—what we know, what we don’t, and what it all means for our future.
A Bank Street Best Children’s Book of the Year · Kid's Indie Next List · Featured in Today Show’s AAPI Heritage Month list · A Kirkus Children's Best Book of 2021 · A National Council of Teachers of English Notable Verse Novel · Jane Addams 2022 Children’s Book Award Finalist · 2021 Nerdy Award Winner · Muslim Bookstagram Award Winner for Best Middle School Book For fans of Other Words for Home and Front Desk, this powerful, charming immigration story follows a girl who moves from Karachi, Pakistan, to Peachtree City, Georgia, and must find her footing in a new world. Reem Faruqi is the ALA Notable author of award-winning Lailah's Lunchbox. "A lyrical coming of age story exploring family, immigration, and most of all belonging.” —Aisha Saeed, New York Times bestselling author of Amal Unbound “This empowering story will resonate with people who have struggled to both fit in and stay true to themselves.” —Veera Hiranandani, Newbery Honor author of The Night Diary “A gorgeously written story, filled with warmth and depth." —Hena Khan, author of Amina’s Voice When her family moves from Pakistan to Peachtree City, all Nurah wants is to blend in, yet she stands out for all the wrong reasons. Nurah’s accent, floral-print kurtas, and tea-colored skin make her feel excluded, until she meets Stahr at swimming tryouts. And in the water Nurah doesn’t want to blend in. She wants to win medals like her star athlete brother, Owais—who is going through struggles of his own in the U.S. Yet when sibling rivalry gets in the way, she makes a split-second decision of betrayal that changes their fates. Ultimately Nurah slowly gains confidence in the form of strong swimming arms, and also gains the courage to stand up to bullies, fight for what she believes in, and find her place.
Far reaching, intellectually rich, and passionately written, Unsettled takes the whole history of Western civilization as its canvas and places onto it the Jewish people and faith. With historical insight and vivid storytelling, renowned anthropologist Melvin Konner charts how the Jews endured largely hostile (but at times accepting) cultures to shape the world around them and make their mark throughout history—from the pastoral tribes of the Bronze Age to enslavement in the Roman Empire, from the darkness of the Holocaust to the creation of Israel and the flourishing of Jews in America. With fresh interpretations of the antecedents of today's pressing conflicts, Unsettled is a work whose modern-day reverberations could not be more relevant or timely.
“Who built this house? Whose money? Whose blood?” Ghosts aren’t the only thing that can haunt a house. Trynne Delaney’s debut novel explores the insidious legacies of violence and oppression—and how Black, queer love and resistance can disrupt them. With her dad’s incarceration, escalating fights with her mom, and an overbearing stepdad she’s not sure she can trust, Asha is desperate for the fresh start promised by a move to the country. Her great aunt Aggie’s crumbling, pest-ridden house isn’t exactly what she had in mind, but the immediate connection she makes with her new neighbor Cole seems like a good sign. Soon, though, Asha’s optimism is shadowed by strange and disturbing occurrences within the old house’s walls: footsteps stalking the halls; a persistent chill; cold hands around her neck in the middle of the night . . . Fearing for her loved ones’ safety—and her own—Asha seeks out the source of these terrifying incidents and uncovers secrets from the past that connect her and Cole’s families and reach into the present. But as tensions with her mom and stepdad rise and Cole withdraws, Asha is left alone to try and break the cycle of violence that holds them all in its haunting grip.
Now a National Bestseller! Climate change is real but it’s not the end of the world. It is not even our most serious environmental problem. Michael Shellenberger has been fighting for a greener planet for decades. He helped save the world’s last unprotected redwoods. He co-created the predecessor to today’s Green New Deal. And he led a successful effort by climate scientists and activists to keep nuclear plants operating, preventing a spike of emissions. But in 2019, as some claimed “billions of people are going to die,” contributing to rising anxiety, including among adolescents, Shellenberger decided that, as a lifelong environmental activist, leading energy expert, and father of a teenage daughter, he needed to speak out to separate science from fiction. Despite decades of news media attention, many remain ignorant of basic facts. Carbon emissions peaked and have been declining in most developed nations for over a decade. Deaths from extreme weather, even in poor nations, declined 80 percent over the last four decades. And the risk of Earth warming to very high temperatures is increasingly unlikely thanks to slowing population growth and abundant natural gas. Curiously, the people who are the most alarmist about the problems also tend to oppose the obvious solutions. What’s really behind the rise of apocalyptic environmentalism? There are powerful financial interests. There are desires for status and power. But most of all there is a desire among supposedly secular people for transcendence. This spiritual impulse can be natural and healthy. But in preaching fear without love, and guilt without redemption, the new religion is failing to satisfy our deepest psychological and existential needs.
This boxed set contains all three of the Midnight Sun Series of standalone but connected dark action-adventure romantic suspense novels. Wilderness: A Dark Romantic Suspense Novel A man searching for peace. A woman determined to save her family name. Fulfillment is attainable for both ... but at a price neither are willing to pay. Wildling: A Noir Domestic Thriller Novel A timid woman desperate for love. A wild, young man born of the wilderness. Off-limits desire spirals them toward sure danger—and conflict that will end in death. Wildfire: A Second Chance Romantic Suspense Novel A woman striving to make her dreams come true. A man who took from her without asking. Can a second chance save them from the consuming wildfire? If you're a reader of romantic suspense and dark trigger warning love stories, you're going to love the Midnight Sun series boxset that takes place in the wilds of Alaska. HEA guaranteed, these books include possessive, protective alpha heroes who will move mountains to save the women they love.
An immersive video game tester finds his latest assignment is all too real. A pair of fairy tale conmen meet their match. A trickster god discovers the joke might be on him where love is concerned. A giant with a human infestation in his cloud castle can’t keep his eyes off the exterminator. These ten stories span genres while consistently lingering on high adventure and sizzling romance. Contains the stories: Riding Red: Big and Red are conmen and lovers a bit down on their luck when they learn of an easy mark, a rich old woman who lives alone in the woods. Things get complicated, though, when they find Jack, a trickster himself, already on the scene. And when it turns out the little old woman is running a con of her own, all bets are off and the fur, and clothing, will fly as everyone scrambles to survive. Beta Tester: Noah is a tester of immersive video games, and one of the best, though his personality makes him rather difficult to work with. In fact, his only friend (and serious crush) is his manager, Malik, and when Noah suspects that Mal has been working with someone else, he crosses a line that could ruin even that. Can Noah level up his game and show Malik how he feels, or will it be game over for them? Questing: Given immortality thanks to a sip from the Holy Grail, Lancelot and Palomides are rivals in the Game, a series of world-spanning quests worth points to the knights to complete them. But when they join forces to track down a lost legend, Lancelot finds his attention isn’t on the quest so much as it’s on Palomides. Can he keep his mind in the Game, or is there another way he’ll end up scoring? Taste of the Forest, Dark and Sweet: Bastian's kitchen, normally his sanctuary, has become anything but since Colin began working with him. There's just something distracting about the line chef that Bastian is drawn to. But when a series of disasters draw Bastian into a magical world he never knew existed -- a world Colin is part of -- will attraction and amazing food be enough to overcome the barriers keeping the two men apart? A Friendly Ghostbusting: When Cas, known to the internet as paranormal vlogger Caspar the Friendly Ghostbuster, arrives at a shuttered psychiatric prison slated for demolition, he finds that he’s not the only one investigating. Can he contain his own stubborn attraction around his friend-turned-rival, Yasahiro, and be the first to get footage of supernatural activity? Or will the ghost hunters become the ghost hunted? Luc Orphelin and the Hodag of Rhinelander: For the great (and dapper) detective Luc Orphelin, getting sent out to the Northwoods of Wisconsin seems a punishment, but needs must your specialty is supernatural mysteries like monster sightings at a remote logging camp. Can he find the truth and deal with a devilishly attractive monster hunter at the same time, or will he end up the next victim of the fiendish hodag of Rhinelander? Fieldwork: Agent Ignacio Ritter is happy serving the CXO from the safety of his desk. Ever since his parents died in the field, danger is the last thing he wants to be a part of. At least, until the charming and dangerous tiger-shifter Agent Reed Daily chooses Ignacio to help close the book on the gang responsible for his parents’ deaths. Faced with his greatest fears, will he prove himself man or ... Trickster69: April Fool's Day is like Christmas for Loki, god of mischief, and this year he's planned something grand: humiliating the noble Thor by provoking his wrath among a town of unwitting mortals. Even Norse gods can surprise each other, though, and when Thor lets slip that he might have feelings for a certain devious trickster, Loki's plans take a sudden, and sexy, turn. The Assistant's Contraption: Rascan, world-renowned inventor (or so he likes to think), is worried. His normally diligent and obedient assistant, Friday, has been hiding something from him. When he breaks into Friday’s rooms to find out what, though, what he discovery will fundamentally change his relationship with Friday, but will it push the two men apart forever, or bring them together in a steamy new partnership? A Giant Problem: Ben’s cloud-based castle has been invaded. By humans. And though he’s a giant, a human infestation is nothing he wants to be a part of. He’s not expecting the exterminator to be quite so hot, though. Or funny. Or kind. But Drake is all of those, and with the humans proving more persistent than expected, and Ben and Drake’s flirting turning into something serious, Ben’s problems seem giant indeed.