Unexpected Expectations

Unexpected Expectations

Author: Leonard M. Wapner

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2012-06-04

Total Pages: 216

ISBN-13: 1439867674

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Unexpected Expectations: The Curiosities of a Mathematical Crystal Ball explores how paradoxical challenges involving mathematical expectation often necessitate a reexamination of basic premises. The author takes you through mathematical paradoxes associated with seemingly straightforward applications of mathematical expectation and shows how these


Unexpected Expectations

Unexpected Expectations

Author: Leonard M. Wapner

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2012-06-04

Total Pages: 222

ISBN-13: 1568817215

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Unexpected Expectations: The Curiosities of a Mathematical Crystal Ball explores how paradoxical challenges involving mathematical expectation often necessitate a reexamination of basic premises. The author takes you through mathematical paradoxes associated with seemingly straightforward applications of mathematical expectation and shows how these unexpected contradictions may push you to reconsider the legitimacy of the applications. The book requires only an understanding of basic algebraic operations and includes supplemental mathematical background in chapter appendices. After a history of probability theory, it introduces the basic laws of probability as well as the definition and applications of mathematical expectation/expected value (E). The remainder of the text covers unexpected results related to mathematical expectation, including: The roles of aversion and risk in rational decision making A class of expected value paradoxes referred to as envelope problems Parrondo’s paradox—how negative (losing) expectations can be combined to give a winning result Problems associated with imperfect recall Non-zero-sum games, such as the game of chicken and the prisoner’s dilemma Newcomb’s paradox—a great philosophical paradox of free will Benford’s law and its use in computer design and fraud detection While useful in areas as diverse as game theory, quantum mechanics, and forensic science, mathematical expectation generates paradoxes that frequently leave questions unanswered yet reveal interesting surprises. Encouraging you to embrace the mysteries of mathematics, this book helps you appreciate the applications of mathematical expectation, "a statistical crystal ball." Listen to an interview with the author on NewBooksinMath.com.


Cross-Cultural Connections

Cross-Cultural Connections

Author: Duane Elmer

Publisher: InterVarsity Press

Published: 2009-08-20

Total Pages: 222

ISBN-13: 0830874828

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Duane Elmer offers the tools needed to reduce apprehension, communicate effectively and establish genuine trust and acceptance between cultures while demonstrating how we can avoid being cultural imperialists and instead become authentic ambassadors for Christ.


Planning by Design (PxD)-Based Systematic Methodologies

Planning by Design (PxD)-Based Systematic Methodologies

Author: Hakan Butuner

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2017-04-07

Total Pages: 180

ISBN-13: 1351795864

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The book shows how to use Planning by Design (PxD) for developing working models to any type of subject area. Section 1 describes the nature of planning in general, the formula of planning, the features that make it systematic, the essence of PxD, and developing and using the working model. Section 2 demonstrates personal application of creative planning to real life cases and practical working models on different subject areas. The book provides a general planning "master guide" that shows how to develop a working model of any definable subject matter. This objective will be accomplished by introducing the concepts, the process, and the methodology of PxD.


Process-Based Facilitation

Process-Based Facilitation

Author: Wayne J. Vick MBA CPF

Publisher: iUniverse

Published: 2015-04-27

Total Pages: 449

ISBN-13: 1491763116

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Socrates used facilitative methods in teaching philosophy, and for good reason: They work! Fast forward to today, and managers, supervisors, consultants, trainers, and others are learning to use facilitative techniques to improve performance in the workplace and other areas that demand results. The authors of this series, led by an expert with twenty-five years of experience as a professional facilitator, provide a complete model of group facilitation in Process-Based Facilitation. In this first volume, they introduce the basic skills of facilitation, the process-based facilitation model, many facilitation methods, and evaluation of the facilitators methods and assessment of style. Inside, youll get: ? tested and proven facilitation planning methods, including dozens of worksheets; ? explanations on elements of the process-based facilitation model; ? Discussion reviews the seven values of facilitation and twelve core principles of facilitation; ? multiple methods to guide intervention as a facilitator; ? sixty-five articles describing concept models, frameworks, tools, and techniques of facilitation. Loaded with figures, tables, and worksheets, this book is easy to read, review, and most importantuse. Whether youre a novice or a professional, this book will help you apply facilitative techniques to succeed in and out of work.


Fate Of Schrodinger's Cat, The: Using Math And Computers To Explore The Counterintuitive

Fate Of Schrodinger's Cat, The: Using Math And Computers To Explore The Counterintuitive

Author: James D Stein

Publisher: World Scientific

Published: 2020-07-14

Total Pages: 171

ISBN-13: 981121817X

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Can we correctly predict the flip of a fair coin more than half the time — or the decay of a single radioactive atom? Our intuition, based on a lifetime of experience, tells us that we cannot, as these are classic examples of what are known to be 50-50 guesses.But mathematics is filled with counterintuitive results — and this book discusses some surprising and entertaining examples. It is possible to devise experiments in which a flipped coin lands heads completely at random half the time, but we can also correctly predict when it will land heads more than half the time. The Fate of Schrodinger's Cat shows how high-school algebra and basic probability theory, with the invaluable assistance of computer simulations, can be used to investigate both the intuitive and the counterintuitive.This book explores fascinating and controversial questions involving prediction, decision-making, and statistical analysis in a number of diverse areas, ranging from whether there is such a thing as a 'hot hand' in shooting a basketball, to how we can successfully predict, more than half the time, the decay of the radioactive atom that determines the fate of Schrodinger's Cat.


Time X Time

Time X Time

Author: Saleena Landers

Publisher: Saleena Landers

Published: 2019-08-04

Total Pages: 50

ISBN-13:

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Saleena has put together this amazing poetry book Time After Time which is a collection of thoughts that are inspired by true life events and encounters that she has experienced. Saleena has been using writing as a form of therapy since the age of 13. She enjoys sharing her emotions and being nothing less than raw, uncut, authentic and 100% real with her audience through true storytelling and poems.


Risk

Risk

Author: Jakob Arnoldi

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2013-04-17

Total Pages: 188

ISBN-13: 0745641938

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This book gives a comprehensive yet easily accessible introduction to risk and uncertainty as they have been analysed in sociology and related social sciences. The book draws extensively on the wide array of contemporary social theories of risk and relates these to the many and diverse areas in contemporary society where risk plays an important role. It will be an invaluable for both students and researchers interested in risk in relation to politics, the environment, health, media, science and technology and finance. Written in a clear and accessible language, the book gives a balanced account of the many theoretical approaches taken to the diverse phenomenon of risk, using concrete examples to illustrate abstract points. The book highlights some key themes such as uncertainty and individual responsibility which emerge as common to different theories and fields of study. The book is perfectly suited as an introduction for new students in sociology, political science, anthropology, media studies and health studies.


Rethinking Talent Decisions

Rethinking Talent Decisions

Author: Sharna Wiblen

Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH & Co KG

Published: 2024-03-18

Total Pages: 278

ISBN-13: 3110756358

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Talent management is a linchpin of organisational triumph in our dynamic and swiftly evolving business world. As a key decision-maker, your capacity to craft astute talent decisions holds the potential to transcend your company from mere mediocrity to unparalleled excellence. However, brace yourself for a revelation: Many of your long-held convictions about talent may be profoundly flawed. What if we shared a secret that could revolutionise your perspective? What if the gateway to unleashing your team’s boundless talents resides within your thoughts and judgments? Imagine the possibilities if you could harness exponential outcomes by elevating the calibre of your decision-making. In ReThinking Talent Decisions, Sharna Wiblen, PhD, presents an uncomfortable truth: Talent decisions are always subjective. Drawing on examples from business, sports, movies and everyday interactions, Sharna emphasises the importance of understanding complexity and encourages deliberate, intentional, and informed decisions and conversations around talent. This indispensable guide will give you insight into: The Power of Personal Judgment: Learn how your own perspectives shape the today and the future of work. The Complexity of Talent Decisions: Recognise the critical need for key decision-makers to collectively define talent in your unique context. The Human Element: Understand how harnessing your mind can propel you, your team, and your organisation to new heights. Perceptions and Values: Learn how aligning perceptions and values can revolutionise your approach. A New Paradigm: Realise that talent management is a judgment-oriented endeavour. Navigating the Intersection of Talent and Technology: Delve into the world of technology systems and understand how they bolster and shape talent decisions in today’s digital age. ReThinking Talent Decisions is your secret weapon for achieving unparalleled success in the ever-competitive corporate arena. Whether you’re a seasoned executive or a rising star, the wisdom within these pages will empower you to master the art and science of talent decisions.


Vital Christian Community

Vital Christian Community

Author: Philip Brochard

Publisher: Church Publishing, Inc.

Published: 2022-09-20

Total Pages: 146

ISBN-13: 1640655212

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Twelve characteristics of healthy Christian communities and the congregational and personal practices that develop them. Congregations have been the bedrock of mainline Christian life and practice for centuries but in recent years many have dwindled in energy and impact. Leaders conclude that change is needed, that they can’t keep applying the same models and practices that have served in the past but no longer seem to work. At a time when all kinds of institutions are being buffeted by swift and strong cultural forces, Brochard and Newton believe the congregation to be a primary site for the transformation of individuals, communities, and the world and that the measures for congregational vitality begin with health, faithfulness, and effectiveness as local expressions of the Church. The authors offer readers insights into developing a sense of purpose, building trust, encouraging curiosity, becoming more collaborative, appreciating productive conflict, and other vital skills.