This book presents a current review of the science of monsoon research and forecasting. The contents are based on the invited reviews presented at the World Meteorological Organization''s Fourth International Workshop on Monsoons in late 2008, with subsequent manuscripts revised from 2009 to early 2010. The book builds on the concept that the monsoons in various parts of the globe can be viewed as components of an integrated global monsoon system, while emphasizing that significant region-specific characteristics are present in individual monsoon regions. The topics covered include all major monsoon regions and time scales (mesoscale, synoptic, intraseasonal, interannual, decadal, and climate change). It is intended to provide an updated comprehensive review of the current status of knowledge, modeling capability, and future directions in the research of monsoon systems around the world.
This volume presents a survey of our state of knowledge of the physical and dynamical processes involved in the Asian monsoon. Although traditionally the main emphasis has been on the study of the atmospheric component, it has long been known that the oceans play a vitally important part in determining the occurrence of this spectacular seasonal event. A scientific study of this phenomenon involves a detailed investigation of the dynamical processes which occur in both the atmosphere and the ocean, on timescales on up to at least a year and on spatial scales from a few hundred kilometres or so up to that of the global atmospheric and oceanic circulations. The editors present a coherent survey of each of the meteorological, oceanographic and hydrological aspects and of their implications for weather forecasting and flood prediction. Monsoon Dynamics is a timely survey of a dramatic meteorological phenomenon which will interest meteorologists, climatologists and geophysicists.
The Multiscale Global Monsoon System is the 4th and most up-to-date edition of the global monsoon book series produced by a group of leading international experts invited by the World Meteorological Organization's Working Group on Tropical Meteorology Research. The contents reflect the state of the knowledge of all scales of monsoon in the world's monsoon regions. It includes 31 chapters in five parts: Regional Monsoons, Extreme Weather, Intraseasonal Variations, Climate Change, and Field Experiments.
This Publication Presents A Collection Of 16 Selected Research/ Review Papers On Various Aspects Of Monsoons Those Were Discussed During The International Roundtable On Understanding And Prediction Of Summer And Winter Monsoons Held At Jakarta/ Bandung, Indonesia During 21-24 November, 2005. Monsoons Modulate The Rhythm Of Life In Several Countries. The Amount Of Rain Received During Monsoons Critically Controls The Way Of Life, Culture And Economy. The Word Monsoon Indicates A Rainy Season But The Domain Of Monsoon Encompasses Seasonal Changes In Prevailing Surface Wind Direction Especially Between Summer And Winter. The Ability To Anticipate How Monsoon And The Resultant Climate, Will Behave From One Year To The Next Will Lead To Better Management Of Agriculture, Water Supplies, Fisheries And Other Resources. Prediction Of Monsoon However Is One Of The Major Challenges Of Climate Research As It Is An Extremely Complex Phenomenon Involving Variabilities Over A Wide Range Of Spatial And Temporal Scales. The Topics Covered In This Volume Include Observed Aspects Of Monsoons In Several Countries, Analyses Of Model Simulations And Forecasts, Survey Of Instrumentation And Analysis Techniques And Projections Of Monsoon In The Future Climate. Hence, The Publication Is Undoubtedly, A Useful Reference Material For The Meteorologists And Experts Working In The Area Of Monsoon Prediction And Will Help The Developing Countries In Working Out Appropriate Plans And Programmes On Understanding And Prediction Of Monsoons. Contents Chapter 1: Short And Long Range Forecasting In India By S R Kalsi; Chapter 2: Medium And Extended Range Forecasting Of Indian Monsoon By A K Bohra, G Iyengar, E N Rajagopal, M Dasgupta, R Ashrit, S Basu And A K Mitra; Chapter 3: Prediction Of Local Rainfall From Gcm Output Using Projection Pursuit Technique By A H Wigena, Aunuddin And Rizaldi Boer; Chapter 4: Long-Range, High-Resolution Forecast Of Monsoon Rainfall By P Goswami, G K Patra, K C Gouda And V S Prakash; Chapter 5: An Overview Of Advanced Instrumentation And Network: Present Status And Future Modernisation Plan Of The National Meteorological Service Of India By S K Banerjee; Chapter 6: Data Assimilation At Ncmrwf: Case Study Of Recent Monsoon System By M Das Gupta, John P George, R Ashrit; Chapter 7: Development Of Statistical-Dynamical Models At Ncmrwf For Predicting Location Specific Weather During Monsoon By P Maini And Ashok Kumar; Chapter 8: A Tropical Mid-Range Forecast Model Based On The Single Value Decomposition Of The Madden-Julian Oscillation Chien Wan Tham; Chapter 9: Association Between Indonesian Rainfall And The Indian Ocean Dipole By P N Vinayachandran And Ravi S Nanjundiah; Chapter 10: Decadal To Interdecadal Time Scale Climate Variability: In Context Of Asian/ Indian Monsoon System By R K Tiwari And S Sri Lakshmi; Chapter 11: Influence Of Eurasian And Tibetan Snow On Indian Summer Monsoon By S K Dash, P Parth Sarthi And M S Shekhar; Chapter 12: Influence Of Enso On The Southwest Monsoon Rainfall Over Pakistan: A Review By Tariq Masood Ali Khan, Arif Mahmood, M M Rabbani, S Moazzam Ali And Nadeem Faisal; Chapter 13: The Monsoonal Climatic Profile Of Sri Lanka By Chandima Gomes; Chapter 14: Impact Of Monsoons To Tanzania By E Matari; Chapter 15: Prediction Of Extreme Weather And Climate In The Indonesian Maritime Continent Based On Sunspot Numbers By The Houw Liong And Plato Martuani Siregar; Chapter 16: Characteristics Of India Summer Monsoon In The Warming Scenario By S K Patwardhan, K Krishna Kumar, K Kamala, Preethi Bhaskar, J V Revadekar And K Rupa Kumar.
The Asian Summer Monsoon: Characteristics, Variability, Teleconnections and Projection focuses on the connections between the Indian Summer and East Asian Summer Monsoons, also including the South China Sea Summer Monsoon. While these systems have profound differences, their interactions have significant impacts on the climatic regimes in the region and throughout the world. In summer, the ASM engine pumps moisture transported across thousands of miles from the Indian and Pacific Oceans to the monsoon regions, producing heavy rains over south and east Asia and its adjacent marginal seas. This book reviews the different subsystems and their impact, providing guidance to enhance prediction models. - Synthesizes the connections between the East Asian Summer Monsoon, the Indian Summer Monsoon and the Asian Summer Monsoon system - Includes subsections on holistic characteristics, sub-seasonal and interannual variability, teleconnection patterns, and projections of future change - Connects current theory and practice on Asian Monsoon forecasting, providing researchers with new skills and information to use in climate and weather forecasting
This book is the third edition of a book series on the state of the science of monsoon research and forecasting. The series is updated approximately every five years based on the invited reviews of the World Meteorological Organization's International Workshop on Monsoons (IWM). The third edition is an outgrowth of the reviews initially presented in late 2013 at IWM-V, with manuscripts revised and updated through 2015 and early 2016. As in previous editions, the book builds on the concept that the monsoon in various parts of the globe can be viewed as components of an integrated global monsoon system, while also emphasizing that significant region-specific characteristics are present in individual monsoon regions. In addition to the regional monsoons, the current volume covers contemporary topics with emphasis on intraseasonal oscillations, extreme weather, decadal variability, climate change, and summary of recent field experiments including CINDY/DYNAMO in the Indian Ocean and the Asian Monsoon Years.World Scientific Series on Asia-Pacific Weather and Climate is indexed in SCOPUS.
This book is designed as an introductory course in Tropical Meteorology for the graduate or advanced level undergraduate student. The material within can be covered in a one-semester course program. The text starts from the global scale-view of the Tropics, addressing the zonally symmetric and asymmetric features of the tropical circulation. It then goes on to progressively smaller spatial and time scales – from the El Niño Southern Oscillation and the Asian Monsoon, down to tropical waves, hurricanes, sea breezes, and tropical squall lines. The emphasis in most chapters is on the observational aspects of the phenomenon in question, the theories regarding its nature and maintenance, and the approaches to its numerical modeling. The concept of scale interactions is also presented as a way of gaining insight into the generation and redistribution of energy for the maintenance of oscillations of a variety of spatial and temporal scales.
As the nation's economic activities, security concerns, and stewardship of natural resources become increasingly complex and globally interrelated, they become ever more sensitive to adverse impacts from weather, climate, and other natural phenomena. For several decades, forecasts with lead times of a few days for weather and other environmental phenomena have yielded valuable information to improve decision-making across all sectors of society. Developing the capability to forecast environmental conditions and disruptive events several weeks and months in advance could dramatically increase the value and benefit of environmental predictions, saving lives, protecting property, increasing economic vitality, protecting the environment, and informing policy choices. Over the past decade, the ability to forecast weather and climate conditions on subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) timescales, i.e., two to fifty-two weeks in advance, has improved substantially. Although significant progress has been made, much work remains to make S2S predictions skillful enough, as well as optimally tailored and communicated, to enable widespread use. Next Generation Earth System Predictions presents a ten-year U.S. research agenda that increases the nation's S2S research and modeling capability, advances S2S forecasting, and aids in decision making at medium and extended lead times.
More accurate forecasts of climate conditions over time periods of weeks to a few years could help people plan agricultural activities, mitigate drought, and manage energy resources, amongst other activities; however, current forecast systems have limited ability on these time- scales. Models for such climate forecasts must take into account complex interactions among the ocean, atmosphere, and land surface. Such processes can be difficult to represent realistically. To improve the quality of forecasts, this book makes recommendations about the development of the tools used in forecasting and about specific research goals for improving understanding of sources of predictability. To improve the accessibility of these forecasts to decision-makers and researchers, this book also suggests best practices to improve how forecasts are made and disseminated.
Improving the reliability of long-range forecasts of natural disasters, such as severe weather, droughts and floods, in North America, South America, Africa and the Asian/Australasian monsoon regions is of vital importance to the livelihood of millions of people who are affected by these events. In recent years the significance of major short-term climatic variability, and events such as the El Nino/Southern Oscillation in the Pacific, with its worldwide effect on rainfall patterns, has been all to clearly demonstrated. Understanding and predicting the intra-seasonal variability (ISV) of the ocean and atmosphere is crucial to improving long range environmental forecasts and the reliability of climate change projects through climate models. In the second edition of this classic book on the subject, the authors have updated the original chapters, where appropriate, and added a new chapter that includes short subjects representing substantial new development in ISV research since the publication of the first edition.
