Travel Demand Forecasting: Parameters and Techniques

Travel Demand Forecasting: Parameters and Techniques

Author:

Publisher: Transportation Research Board

Published: 2012

Total Pages: 170

ISBN-13: 0309214009

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TRB’s National Cooperative Highway Research Program (NCHRP) Report 716: Travel Demand Forecasting: Parameters and Techniques provides guidelines on travel demand forecasting procedures and their application for helping to solve common transportation problems.


Long-distance and Rural Travel Transferable Parameters for Statewide Travel Forecasting Models

Long-distance and Rural Travel Transferable Parameters for Statewide Travel Forecasting Models

Author: Robert G. Schiffer

Publisher: Transportation Research Board

Published: 2012

Total Pages: 144

ISBN-13: 0309258790

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"TRB's National Cooperative Highway Research Program (NCHRP) Report 735: Long-Distance and Rural Travel Transferable Parameters for Statewide Travel Forecasting Models explores transferable parameters for long-distance and rural trip-making for statewide models. Appendixes G, H, and I are not contained in print or PDF versions of the report but are available online. Appendix G presents a series of rural typology variables considered in stratifying model parameters and benchmarks and identifies the statistical significance of each. Appendix H contains rural trip production rates for several different cross-classification schemes and the trip rates associated with each. Finally, Appendix I provides additional information on auto occupancy rates."--Publisher's description.


A constrained interactance model for trip distribution

A constrained interactance model for trip distribution

Author: Gary D. Long

Publisher:

Published: 1973

Total Pages: 570

ISBN-13:

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To estimate the future volume of trips interchanging between each pair of zones within an urban area, a simple behavioral model of travel interaction is presented. The interactance model is subjected to a set of five constraints, which reflect pertinent conditions that should be fulfilled in the resulting distribution. A method is developed to distribute future trips in accordance with the interactance model so that all constraints will be satisfied. The constrained interactance model differs from other trip distribution models in that the distribution of trip lengths is constrained to result as given in advance. Furthermore, no model calibration is necessary. Rather than the conventional use of subjective judgements to distinguish the travel movements which warrant exogenous compensations to correct for socioeconomic biases, an objective procedure utilizing a statistical test is provided. Socioeconomic and geographic compensations, where needed, are applied between pairs of groups of contiguous and homogeneous zones rather than between individual zone pairs. A model is developed to determine the total number of zone pairs expected to have travel interactions in an urban area, as a function of the number of trips and zones. Another model which describes travel interaction propensities as related to travel disutility, is developed to indicate which pairs of zones are the least likely to have travel interactions, and should be dropped from the trip distribution, in order to restrict the number of travel interactions to the estimated total. ...