Financial Forecasting, Analysis, and Modelling

Financial Forecasting, Analysis, and Modelling

Author: Michael Samonas

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2015-01-20

Total Pages: 242

ISBN-13: 1118921097

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Risk analysis has become critical to modern financial planning Financial Forecasting, Analysis and Modelling provides a complete framework of long-term financial forecasts in a practical and accessible way, helping finance professionals include uncertainty in their planning and budgeting process. With thorough coverage of financial statement simulation models and clear, concise implementation instruction, this book guides readers step-by-step through the entire projection plan development process. Readers learn the tools, techniques, and special considerations that increase accuracy and smooth the workflow, and develop a more robust analysis process that improves financial strategy. The companion website provides a complete operational model that can be customised to develop financial projections or a range of other key financial measures, giving readers an immediately-applicable tool to facilitate effective decision-making. In the aftermath of the recent financial crisis, the need for experienced financial modelling professionals has steadily increased as organisations rush to adjust to economic volatility and uncertainty. This book provides the deeper level of understanding needed to develop stronger financial planning, with techniques tailored to real-life situations. Develop long-term projection plans using Excel Use appropriate models to develop a more proactive strategy Apply risk and uncertainty projections more accurately Master the Excel Scenario Manager, Sensitivity Analysis, Monte Carlo Simulation, and more Risk plays a larger role in financial planning than ever before, and possible outcomes must be measured before decisions are made. Uncertainty has become a critical component in financial planning, and accuracy demands it be used appropriately. With special focus on uncertainty in modelling and planning, Financial Forecasting, Analysis and Modelling is a comprehensive guide to the mechanics of modern finance.


The Handbook of Forecasting

The Handbook of Forecasting

Author: Spyros G. Makridakis

Publisher: Wiley-Interscience

Published: 1987-04-03

Total Pages: 666

ISBN-13:

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Role and application of forecasting in organizations; Introduction to management forecasting; Sales forecasting requirements; Forecasting requirements for operations planning and control; Capacity planning forecasting requirements; Financial forecasting; Forecasting and strategic planning; Forecasting in the electric utility industry; State and local government revenue forecasting; Population forecasting; Forecasting: the issues; Approaches to forecasting; Smoothing methods for short-term planning and control; A practical overview of arima models for time series forecasting; Decomposition methods for medium term planning annnd budgeting; Econometric methods for managerial applications; Judgemtal and bayesian forecasting; An integrated approach to medium andlong term forecasting: the marketing mix system; Forecasting challenges; Forecasting and the environment: the challenges of rapid change; Price forecasting using experience curves and the product life-cycle concept; Life cycle forecasting; Forecasting recessions; Forecasting macroeconomic variables: an eclectic approach; ; Managing the forecasting functions; Forecasting and planning: an evaluation; Integrating forecasting and decision making; The forecasting audit; The future of forecasting.


Financial Forecasting and Planning

Financial Forecasting and Planning

Author: Sharon Hatten Garrison

Publisher: Praeger

Published: 1988-08-16

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 0899302653

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This work offers a concise explanation of the fundamentals of financial forecasting intended for managers in accounting, marketing, sales, and strategic planning. As the authors point out, financial forecasting is more than the annual genertion of sales forecasts and budgets. It is a comprehensive process that looks at every aspect of a company's operations in order to determine the likely aspect on profits of a number of internal and external forces. Each of the steps in this complex process is fully described in this books so that the reader gains an understanding of how to produce effective financial forecasts for his or her own firm. Throughout, numerous tables and figures illustrate points made in the test. Credit Executive In an era of deregulation, tax revisions, cost cutting, and unpredictable markets, sound financial planning is a critical variable in any company's continued profitability. This book offers a clear, concise explanation of the fundamentals of financial forecasting intended for managers in accounting, marketing, sales, and strategic planning. As the authors point out, financial forecasting is more than the annual generation of sales forecasts and budgets--it is a comprehensive process that looks at every aspect of a company's operations in order to determine the likely impact on profits of a number of internal and external forces. Each of the steps in this complex process is fully described here so that the reader gains a complete understanding of how to produce effective financial forecasts for his or her own firm.


Cash Flow Analysis and Forecasting

Cash Flow Analysis and Forecasting

Author: Timothy Jury

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2012-05-03

Total Pages: 341

ISBN-13: 1119968747

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This book is the definitive guide to cash flow statement analysis and forecasting. It takes the reader from an introduction about how cash flows move within a business, through to a detailed review of the contents of a cash flow statement. This is followed by detailed guidance on how to restate cash flows into a template format. The book shows how to use the template to analyse the data from start up, growth, mature and declining companies, and those using US GAAP and IAS reporting. The book includes real world examples from such companies as Black and Decker (US), Fiat (Italy) and Tesco (UK). A section on cash flow forecasting includes full coverage of spreadsheet risk and good practice. Complete with chapters of particular interest to those involved in credit markets as lenders or counter-parties, those running businesses and those in equity investing, this book is the definitive guide to understanding and interpreting cash flow data.


Financial Planning & Analysis and Performance Management

Financial Planning & Analysis and Performance Management

Author: Jack Alexander

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2018-06-13

Total Pages: 647

ISBN-13: 1119491487

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Critical insights for savvy financial analysts Financial Planning & Analysis and Performance Management is the essential desk reference for CFOs, FP&A professionals, investment banking professionals, and equity research analysts. With thought-provoking discussion and refreshing perspective, this book provides insightful reference for critical areas that directly impact an organization’s effectiveness. From budgeting and forecasting, analysis, and performance management, to financial communication, metrics, and benchmarking, these insights delve into the cornerstones of business and value drivers. Dashboards, graphs, and other visual aids illustrate complex concepts and provide reference at a glance, while the author’s experience as a CFO, educator, and general manager leads to comprehensive and practical analytical techniques for real world application. Financial analysts are under constant pressure to perform at higher and higher levels within the realm of this consistently challenging function. Though areas ripe for improvement abound, true resources are scarce—until now. This book provides real-world guidance for analysts ready to: Assess performance of FP&A function and develop improvement program Improve planning and forecasting with new and provocative thinking Step up your game with leading edge analytical tools and practical solutions Plan, analyze and improve critical business and value drivers Build analytical capability and effective presentation of financial information Effectively evaluate capital investments in uncertain times The most effective analysts are those who are constantly striving for improvement, always seeking new solutions, and forever in pursuit of enlightening resources with real, useful information. Packed with examples, practical solutions, models, and novel approaches, Financial Planning & Analysis and Performance Management is an invaluable addition to the analyst’s professional library. Access to a website with many of the tools introduced are included with the purchase of the book.


Financial Planning, Budgeting, and Forecasting: Financial Intelligence Collection (7 Books)

Financial Planning, Budgeting, and Forecasting: Financial Intelligence Collection (7 Books)

Author: Harvard Business Review

Publisher: Harvard Business Review Press

Published: 2015-11-10

Total Pages: 1601

ISBN-13: 1633691829

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Don’t let your fear of finance get in the way of your success. This digital collection, curated by Harvard Business Review, brings together everything a manager needs to know about financial intelligence. It includes Financial Intelligence, called a “must-read” for decision makers without expertise in finance; A Concise Guide to Macroeconomics, which covers the essentials of macroeconomics and examines the core ideas of output, money, and expectations; Essentials of Finance and Budgeting, which explains everything HR professionals need to know to make wise financial decisions; Ahead of the Curve, Joseph H. Ellis’s forecasting method to help managers and investors understand and predict the economic cycles that control their businesses and financial fates; Beyond Budgeting; which offers a coherent management model that overcomes the limitations of traditional budgeting; Preparing a Budget, packed with handy tools, self-tests, and real life examples to help you hone critical skills; and HBR Guide to Finance Basics for Managers, which will give you the tools and confidence you need to master the fundamentals of finance.