Noise Trading, Central Bank Interventions, and the Informational Content of Foreign Currency Options

Noise Trading, Central Bank Interventions, and the Informational Content of Foreign Currency Options

Author: Christian Pierdzioch

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2001-12-06

Total Pages: 232

ISBN-13: 9783540427452

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A flexible instrument to insure against adverse exchange rate movements are options on foreign currency. Often a relatively simple foreign currency option valuation model is used to address issues related to the pricing and hedging of such options. The results of many empirical studies document that real-world foreign currency option premia deviate from those predicted by the baseline model. In the first part of the book, it is shown that a noise trader model can help to explain the observed mispricing of the baseline foreign currency option pricing model. In the second part of the book, it is studied how policymakers can exploit the pricing errors of the baseline model. In particular, it is examined how option pricing theory can be applied to assess the effectiveness of central bank interventions in the foreign exchange market. To this end, a model is constructed to analyze the effectiveness of the interventions conducted by the Deutsche Bundesbank during the Louvre period.


Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets

Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets

Author: Stephen Satchell

Publisher: Elsevier

Published: 2002-08-22

Total Pages: 417

ISBN-13: 0080494978

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'Forecasting Volatility in the Financial Markets' assumes that the reader has a firm grounding in the key principles and methods of understanding volatility measurement and builds on that knowledge to detail cutting edge modelling and forecasting techniques. It then uses a technical survey to explain the different ways to measure risk and define the different models of volatility and return.The editors have brought together a set of contributors that give the reader a firm grounding in relevant theory and research and an insight into the cutting edge techniques applied in this field of the financial markets.This book is of particular relevance to anyone who wants to understand dynamic areas of the financial markets.* Traders will profit by learning to arbitrage opportunities and modify their strategies to account for volatility.* Investment managers will be able to enhance their asset allocation strategies with an improved understanding of likely risks and returns.* Risk managers will understand how to improve their measurement systems and forecasts, enhancing their risk management models and controls.* Derivative specialists will gain an in-depth understanding of volatility that they can use to improve their pricing models.* Students and academics will find the collection of papers an invaluable overview of this field.This book is of particular relevance to those wanting to understand the dynamic areas of volatility modeling and forecasting of the financial marketsProvides the latest research and techniques for Traders, Investment Managers, Risk Managers and Derivative Specialists wishing to manage their downside risk exposure Current research on the key forecasting methods to use in risk management, including two new chapters


Model Rules of Professional Conduct

Model Rules of Professional Conduct

Author: American Bar Association. House of Delegates

Publisher: American Bar Association

Published: 2007

Total Pages: 216

ISBN-13: 9781590318737

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The Model Rules of Professional Conduct provides an up-to-date resource for information on legal ethics. Federal, state and local courts in all jurisdictions look to the Rules for guidance in solving lawyer malpractice cases, disciplinary actions, disqualification issues, sanctions questions and much more. In this volume, black-letter Rules of Professional Conduct are followed by numbered Comments that explain each Rule's purpose and provide suggestions for its practical application. The Rules will help you identify proper conduct in a variety of given situations, review those instances where discretionary action is possible, and define the nature of the relationship between you and your clients, colleagues and the courts.


Applied Quantitative Methods for Trading and Investment

Applied Quantitative Methods for Trading and Investment

Author: Christian L. Dunis

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2004-01-09

Total Pages: 426

ISBN-13: 0470871342

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This book provides a manual on quantitative financial analysis. Focusing on advanced methods for modelling financial markets in the context of practical financial applications, it will cover data, software and techniques that will enable the reader to implement and interpret quantitative methodologies, specifically for trading and investment. Includes contributions from an international team of academics and quantitative asset managers from Morgan Stanley, Barclays Global Investors, ABN AMRO and Credit Suisse First Boston. Fills the gap for a book on applied quantitative investment & trading models Provides details of how to combine various models to manage and trade a portfolio


Market Expectations and Option Prices

Market Expectations and Option Prices

Author: Martin Mandler

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-12-06

Total Pages: 227

ISBN-13: 3642574289

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This book is a slightly revised version of my doctoral dissertation which has been accepted by the Department of Economics and Business Administration of the Justus-Liebig-Universitat Giessen in July 2002. I am indebted to my advisor Prof. Dr. Volbert Alexander for encouraging and supporting my research. I am also grateful to the second member of the doctoral committee, Prof. Dr. Horst Rinne. Special thanks go to Dr. Ralf Ahrens for providing part of the data and to my colleague Carsten Lang, who spent much time reading the complete first draft. Wetzlar, January 2003 Martin Mandler Contents 1 Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1 Part I Theoretical Foundations 2 Arbitrage Pricing and Risk-Neutral Probabilities........ .. 7 2.1 Arbitrage Pricing in the Black/Scholes-Merton Model... . . .. . 7 2.2 The Equivalent Martingale Measure and Risk-Neutral Valuation ............................................... 11 2.3 Extracting Risk-Neutral Probabilities from Option Prices. . . .. 13 2.4 Summary............................................... 15 Appendix 2A: The Valuation Function in the Black/Scholes-Merton Model .................................................. 16 Appendix 2B: Some Further Details on the Replication Strategy ... 21 3 Survey of the Related Literature .......................... 23 3.1 The Information Content of Forward and Futures Prices. . . .. . 24 3.2 The Information Content of Implied Volatilities ............. 25 3.2.1 Implied Volatilities and the Risk-Neutral Probability Density .......................................... 27 3.2.2 The Term Structure of Implied Volatilities. . . . . . . .. . . 29 . 3.2.3 The Forecasting Information in Implied Volatilities. . .. 30 3.2.4 Implied Correlations as Forecasts of Future Correlations 43 VIII Contents 3.3 The Skewness Premium ..... . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . 45 . . . . . . .


Currency Derivatives

Currency Derivatives

Author: David F. DeRosa

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 1998-09-07

Total Pages: 414

ISBN-13: 9780471252672

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Mit über einer Billion US Dollar Umsatz stellt der Devisenhandel weltweit den größten Markt dar. In diesem Markt sind Währungsderivate zu einem bevorzugten Handelsinstrument geworden, das von Großbanken, Brokerhäusern, Hedge Funds (spekulativ ausgerichteter Fonds, der mit Hilfe von Derivaten seine Gewinne zu optimieren versucht) und Handelsberatern eingesetzt wird. Zwar sind diese Instrumente heute komplexer denn je, aber sie sind ein unverzichtbares Mittel des Risikomanagements im Devisenhandel. Herausgegeben von führenden Devisenhändlern und Analysten, ist dieses Buch Basislektüre für jeden, der sich in diesem Bereich bewegt. Eine Sammlung der 20 besten und meist zitierten Beiträge zu Währungsderivaten, Preistheorie und Anwendungen von Hedging-Methoden (10/98)


Stochastic Volatility

Stochastic Volatility

Author: Neil Shephard

Publisher: OUP Oxford

Published: 2005-03-10

Total Pages: 536

ISBN-13: 0191531421

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Stochastic volatility is the main concept used in the fields of financial economics and mathematical finance to deal with time-varying volatility in financial markets. This book brings together some of the main papers that have influenced the field of the econometrics of stochastic volatility, and shows that the development of this subject has been highly multidisciplinary, with results drawn from financial economics, probability theory, and econometrics, blending to produce methods and models that have aided our understanding of the realistic pricing of options, efficient asset allocation, and accurate risk assessment. A lengthy introduction by the editor connects the papers with the literature.


Commerce, Complexity, and Evolution

Commerce, Complexity, and Evolution

Author: William A. Barnett

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2000-06-05

Total Pages: 438

ISBN-13: 9780521620307

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Evolutionary approach to systems from the entire economy to the behaviour of single markets.


The Oxford Handbook of Quantitative Asset Management

The Oxford Handbook of Quantitative Asset Management

Author: Bernd Scherer

Publisher: Oxford University Press

Published: 2012

Total Pages: 530

ISBN-13: 0199553432

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This book explores the current state of the art in quantitative investment management across seven key areas. Chapters by academics and practitioners working in leading investment management organizations bring together major theoretical and practical aspects of the field.