The Equity Risk Premium: A Contextual Literature Review

The Equity Risk Premium: A Contextual Literature Review

Author: Laurence B. Siegel

Publisher: CFA Institute Research Foundation

Published: 2017-12-08

Total Pages: 69

ISBN-13: 1944960325

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Research into the equity risk premium, often considered the most important number in finance, falls into three broad groupings. First, researchers have measured the margin by which equity total returns have exceeded fixed-income or cash returns over long historical periods and have projected this measure of the equity risk premium into the future. Second, the dividend discount model—or a variant of it, such as an earnings discount model—is used to estimate the future return on an equity index, and the fixed-income or cash yield is then subtracted to arrive at an equity risk premium expectation or forecast. Third, academics have used macroeconomic techniques to estimate what premium investors might rationally require for taking the risk of equities. Current thinking emphasizes the second, or dividend discount, approach and projects an equity risk premium centered on 3½% to 4%.


Research Foundation Review 2017

Research Foundation Review 2017

Author: CFA Institute Research Foundation

Publisher: CFA Institute Research Foundation

Published: 2018

Total Pages: 126

ISBN-13: 1944960422

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The Research Foundation Review 2017 summarizes the offerings from the CFA Institute Research Foundation over the past year—books, literature reviews, workshop presentations, and other relevant material.


Popularity: A Bridge between Classical and Behavioral Finance

Popularity: A Bridge between Classical and Behavioral Finance

Author: Roger G. Ibbotson

Publisher: CFA Institute Research Foundation

Published: 2018

Total Pages: 118

ISBN-13: 1944960619

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Classical and behavioral finance are often seen as being at odds, but the idea of “popularity” has been introduced as a way of reconciling the two approaches. Investors like or dislike various characteristics of securities for rational reasons (as in classical finance) or irrational reasons (as in behavioral finance), which makes the assets popular or unpopular. In the capital markets, popular (unpopular) securities trade at prices that are higher (lower) than they would be otherwise; hence, the shares may provide lower (higher) expected returns.This book builds on this idea and expands it in two major ways. First, it introduces a rigorous asset pricing model, the popularity asset pricing model (PAPM), which adds investor preferences for security characteristics other than the risk and expected return that are part of the capital asset pricing model. A major conclusion of the PAPM is that the expected return of any security is a linear function of not only its systematic risk (beta) but also of all security characteristics that investors care about. The other major contribution of the book is new empirical work that, while confirming the well-known premiums (such as size, value, and liquidity) in a popularity context, supports the popularity hypothesis on the basis of portfolios of stocks based on such characteristics as brand value, sustainable competitive advantage, and reputation. Popularity unifies the factors that affect price in classical finance with those that drive price in behavioral finance, thus creating a unifying theory or bridge between classical and behavioral finance.


2022 CFA Program Curriculum Level II Box Set

2022 CFA Program Curriculum Level II Box Set

Author: CFA Institute

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2021-05-20

Total Pages: 608

ISBN-13: 111970507X

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Prepare for success on the 2022 CFA Level II exam with the latest official CFA® Program Curriculum. The 2022 CFA Program Curriculum Level II Box Set contains all the material you need to succeed on the Level II CFA exam in 2022. This set includes the full official curriculum for Level II and is part of the larger CFA Candidate Body of Knowledge (CBOK). Organized to get you accustomed to the exam’s heavy reliance on vignettes, the Level II curriculum will help you master mini case studies and accompanying analyses. Highly visual and intuitively organized, this box set allows you to: Learn from financial thought leaders. Access market-relevant instruction. Gain critical knowledge and skills. The set also includes practice questions to assist with your recall of key terms, concepts, and formulas. Perfect for anyone preparing for the 2022 Level II CFA exam, the 2022 CFA Program Curriculum Level II Box Set is a must-have resource for those seeking the intermediate skills required to become a Chartered Financial Analyst®.


The Long Good Buy

The Long Good Buy

Author: Peter C. Oppenheimer

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2020-06-15

Total Pages: 311

ISBN-13: 1119688973

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PRAISE FOR THE LONG GOOD BUY: "Oppenheimer offers brilliant insights, sage advice and entertaining anecdotes. Anyone wishing to understand how financial markets behave – and misbehave – should read this book now." Stephen D. King, economist and author of Grave New World: The End of Globalisation, the Return of History "Peter has always been one of the masters of dissecting financial markets performance into an understandable narrative, and in this book, he pulls together much of his great thinking and style from his career, and it should be useful for anyone trying to understand what drives markets, especially equities." Lord Jim O'Neill, Chair, Chatham House "A deeply insightful analysis of market cycles and their drivers that really does add to our practical understanding of what moves markets and long-term investment returns." Keith Skeoch, CEO, Standard Life Aberdeen "This book eloquently blends the author's vast experience with behavioural finance insights to document and understand financial booms and busts. The book should be basic reading for any student of finance." Elias Papaioannou, Professor of Economics, London Business School "This is an excellent book, capturing the insights of a leading market practitioner within the structured analytical framework he has developed over many years. It offers a lively and unique perspective on how markets work and where they are headed." Huw Pill, Senior Lecturer, Harvard Business School "The Long Good Buy is an excellent introduction to understanding the cycles, trends and crises in financial markets over the past 100 years. Its purpose is to help investors assess risk and the probabilities of different outcomes. It is lucidly written in a simple logical way, requires no mathematical expertise and draws on an amazing collection of historical data and research. For me it is the best and most comprehensive introduction to the subject that exists." Lord Brian Griffiths, Chairman - Centre for Enterprise, Markets and Ethics, Oxford


Risk Analysis for the Digital Age

Risk Analysis for the Digital Age

Author: Anton Gerunov

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2022-11-16

Total Pages: 252

ISBN-13: 303118100X

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This book presents a foray into the fascinating process of risk management, beginning from classical methods and approaches to understanding risk all the way into cutting-age thinking. Risk management by necessity must lie at the heart of governing our ever more complex digital societies. New phenomena and activities necessitate a new look at how individuals, firms, and states manage the uncertainty they must operate in. Initial chapters provide an introduction to traditional methods and show how they can be built upon to better understand the workings of the modern economy. Later chapters review digital activities and assets like cryptocurrencies showing how such emergent risks can be conceptualized better. Network theory figures prominently and the book demonstrates how it can be used to gauge the risk in the digital sectors of the economy. Predicting the unpredictable black swan events is also discussed in view of a wider adoption of economic simulations. The journey concludes by looking at how individuals perceive risk and make decisions as they operate in a virtual social network. This book interests the academic audience, but it also features insights and novel research results that are relevant for practitioners and policymakers.


The Equity Risk Premium

The Equity Risk Premium

Author: William N. Goetzmann

Publisher: Oxford University Press

Published: 2006-11-16

Total Pages: 568

ISBN-13: 0199881979

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What is the return to investing in the stock market? Can we predict future stock market returns? How have equities performed over the last two centuries? The authors in this volume are among the leading researchers in the study of these questions. This book draws upon their research on the stock market over the past two dozen years. It contains their major research articles on the equity risk premium and new contributions on measuring, forecasting, and timing stock market returns, together with new interpretive essays that explore critical issues and new research on the topic of stock market investing. This book is aimed at all readers interested in understanding the empirical basis for the equity risk premium. Through the analysis and interpretation of two scholars whose research contributions have been key factors in the modern debate over stock market perfomance, this volume engages the reader in many of the key issues of importance to investors. How large is the premium? Is history a reliable guide to predict future equity returns? Does the equity and cash flows of the market? Are global equity markets different from those in the United States? Do emerging markets offer higher or lower equity risk premia? The authors use the historical performance of the world's stock markets to address these issues.


Handbook of the Equity Risk Premium

Handbook of the Equity Risk Premium

Author: Rajnish Mehra

Publisher: Elsevier

Published: 2011-08-11

Total Pages: 635

ISBN-13: 0080555853

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Edited by Rajnish Mehra, this volume focuses on the equity risk premium puzzle, a term coined by Mehra and Prescott in 1985 which encompasses a number of empirical regularities in the prices of capital assets that are at odds with the predictions of standard economic theory.


Research Foundation Review 2018

Research Foundation Review 2018

Author: CFA Institute Research Foundation

Publisher: CFA Institute Research Foundation

Published: 2019-04-19

Total Pages: 142

ISBN-13: 1944960724

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The Research Foundation Review 2018 summarizes the offerings from the CFA Institute Research Foundation over the past year—books, literature reviews, workshop presentations, and other relevant material.