Macroeconomic Linkage

Macroeconomic Linkage

Author: Takatoshi Ito

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

Published: 2009-02-15

Total Pages: 414

ISBN-13: 0226386996

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This volume explores East Asia's macroeconomic experience in the 1980s and the economic impact of East Asia's growth on the rest of the world. The authors explore the causes of capital flows, changes in trade balances, and exchange rate fluctuations in East Asia and their effects on other countries. These fourteen papers are organized around four themes: the overall determinants of growth and trading relations in the East Asian region; monetary policies in relation to capital controls and capital accounts; the impact of exchange rate behavior on industrial structure; and the potential for greater regional integration. The contributors examine interactions among exchange rate movements, trade balances, and capital flows; how government monetary policy affects capital flows; the effect of exchange rates on industrial structure, inventories, and prices; and the extent of regional integration in East Asia.


Monetary and Currency Policy Management in Asia

Monetary and Currency Policy Management in Asia

Author: Masahiro Kawai

Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing

Published: 2012-01-01

Total Pages: 321

ISBN-13: 0857933353

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Asian economies strengthened their monetary and currency management after the Asian financial crisis of 19971998, and came through the global financial crisis of 20072009 relatively well. Nevertheless, the recent global crisis has presented new challenges. This book develops recommendations for monetary and currency policy in Asian economies aimed at promoting macroeconomic and financial stability in an environment of global economic shocks and volatile capital flows. Monetary and Currency Policy Management in Asia draws lessons from crises and makes concrete macroeconomic policy recommendations aimed at minimizing the impacts of an economic and financial downturn, and setting the stage for an early return to sustainable growth. The focus is on short-term measures related to the cycle. The three main areas addressed are: monetary policy measures, both conventional and unconventional, to achieve both macroeconomic and financial stability; exchange rate policy and foreign exchange reserve management, including the potential for regional cooperation to stabilize currency movements; and ways to ease the constraints on policy resulting from the so-called 'impossible trinity' of fixed exchange rates, open capital accounts and independent monetary policy. This is one of the first books since the global financial crisis to specifically and comprehensively address the implications of the crisis for monetary and currency policy in emerging market economies, especially in Asia. Presenting a broad menu of policy options for financial reform and regulation, the book will be of great interest to finance experts and policymakers in the region as well as academics and researchers of financial and Asian economics as well as economic development.


Changes in Exchange Rates in Rapidly Developing Countries

Changes in Exchange Rates in Rapidly Developing Countries

Author: Takatoshi Ito

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

Published: 2007-12-01

Total Pages: 466

ISBN-13: 0226386937

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The exchange rate is a crucial variable linking a nation's domestic economy to the international market. Thus choice of an exchange rate regime is a central component in the economic policy of developing countries and a key factor affecting economic growth. Historically, most developing nations have employed strict exchange rate controls and heavy protection of domestic industry-policies now thought to be at odds with sustainable and desirable rates of economic growth. By contrast, many East Asian nations maintained exchange rate regimes designed to achieve an attractive climate for exports and an "outer-oriented" development strategy. The result has been rapid and consistent economic growth over the past few decades. Changes in Exchange Rates in Rapidly Developing Countries explores the impact of such diverse exchange control regimes in both historical and regional contexts, focusing particular attention on East Asia. This comprehensive, carefully researched volume will surely become a standard reference for scholars and policymakers.


Capital Mobility in Asia

Capital Mobility in Asia

Author: Juthathip Jongwanich

Publisher: Flipside Digital Content Company Inc.

Published: 2018-02-14

Total Pages: 168

ISBN-13: 981478608X

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Ever since the East Asian financial crisis it has been recognized that emerging market economies are vulnerable to both excessive inflows of capital and sudden outflows. This book presents new research on the determinants and effects of capital flows as well as the effectiveness of capital control policies in dealing with volatile capital flows in emerging Asian countries. It examine three issues related to capital movements in Asia: (1) the key factors determining such mobility; (2) the impact of capital movements in a home country, especially on real exchange rates; and (3) the effectiveness of capital account policies.


Financial Deregulation and Integration in East Asia

Financial Deregulation and Integration in East Asia

Author: Takatoshi Ito

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

Published: 2007-12-01

Total Pages: 416

ISBN-13: 0226386953

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The increased mobility and volume of international capital flows is a striking trend in international finance. While countries worldwide have engaged in financial deregulation, nowhere is this pattern more pronounced than in East Asia, where it has affected in unanticipated ways the behavior of exchange rates, interest rates, and capital flows. In these thirteen essays, American and Asian scholars analyze the effects of financial deregulation and integration on East Asian markets. Topics covered include the roles of the United States and Japan in trading with Asian countries, macroeconomic policy implications of export-led growth in Korea and Taiwan, the effects of foreign direct investment in China, and the impact of financial liberalization in Japan, Korea, and Singapore. Demonstrating the complexity of financial deregulation and the challenges it poses for policy makers, this volume provides an excellent picture of the overall status of East Asian financial markets for scholars in international finance and Asian economic development.


Studies In East Asian Economies: Capital Flows, Exchange Rates And Monetary Policy

Studies In East Asian Economies: Capital Flows, Exchange Rates And Monetary Policy

Author: Jagdish Handa

Publisher: World Scientific

Published: 2011-07-29

Total Pages: 284

ISBN-13: 9814462128

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This book includes three economic/econometric studies on four East Asian countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines and Thailand) and two studies on China. The four East Asian economies, designated at one time as ‘economic tigers’, provide important and interesting case studies on periods of very rapid growth with heavy capital inflows, followed by financial and economic crises. The three studies on these countries examine the impact of heavy capital inflows on growth, real exchange rates and the conduct of domestic monetary policy during the period 1970-96, which immediately preceded their financial crises of 1997-98. At a more general level, they shed light on the contributions that capital inflows make to small open economies and how these inflows impact on their exchange rates and monetary policies.The two studies on China examine the adequacy of capital flows to it and its monetary policies. In recent years, while China has been among the biggest recipients of capital inflows, our study on it finds that these inflows are still considerably short of the amounts that perfect capital flows would imply. Regarding China's pursuit of monetary policy, our study is the first one to question whether interest rates or monetary aggregates are appropriate instruments for the control of the economy. Our finding is that its large informal sector and black money holdings make the use of monetary aggregates the more appropriate policy instrument. This finding contrasts with the usual one for financially developed economies that interest rate targeting and a Taylor rule provide the applicable monetary policy framework.


The East Asian Crisis

The East Asian Crisis

Author: Ms.Kalpana Kochhar

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1998-09-01

Total Pages: 56

ISBN-13: 1451935544

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This paper reviews macroeconomic developments during the first year of the crisis in east Asia and draws some preliminary policy lessons. The crisis is rooted in the interaction of large capital inflows and weak private and public sector governance. At the same time, macroeconomic adjustment in these countries has resulted in some surprising outcomes, including severe economic contractions, low inflation, and rapid external adjustment. The lessons for crisis resolution include the importance of tight monetary policy early on for exchange rate stabilization, flexible fiscal policy, and comprehensive structural reform. Crises are avoided by prudent macroeconomic policies, diligent bank supervision, transparent data dissemination, strong governance, and forward-looking policymaking, even in good times.


Currency Crises

Currency Crises

Author: Paul Krugman

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

Published: 2007-12-01

Total Pages: 367

ISBN-13: 0226454649

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There is no universally accepted definition of a currency crisis, but most would agree that they all involve one key element: investors fleeing a currency en masse out of fear that it might be devalued, in turn fueling the very devaluation they anticipated. Although such crises—the Latin American debt crisis of the 1980s, the speculations on European currencies in the early 1990s, and the ensuing Mexican, South American, and Asian crises—have played a central role in world affairs and continue to occur at an alarming rate, many questions about their causes and effects remain to be answered. In this wide-ranging volume, some of the best minds in economics focus on the historical and theoretical aspects of currency crises to investigate three fundamental issues: What drives currency crises? How should government behavior be modeled? And what are the actual consequences to the real economy? Reflecting the latest thinking on the subject, this offering from the NBER will serve as a useful basis for further debate on the theory and practice of speculative attacks, as well as a valuable resource as new crises loom.


Capital Flows and the Emerging Economies

Capital Flows and the Emerging Economies

Author: Sebastian Edwards

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

Published: 2008-04-15

Total Pages: 366

ISBN-13: 0226184722

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The 1990s witnessed several acute currency crises among developing nations that invariably spread to other nearby at-risk countries. These episodes—in Mexico, Thailand, South Korea, Russia, and Brazil—were all exacerbated by speculative foreign investments and high-volume movements of capital in and out of those countries. Insufficient domestic controls and a sluggish international response further undermined these economies, as well as the credibility of external oversight agencies like the International Monetary Fund. This timely volume examines the correlation between volatile capital mobility, currency instability, and the threat of regional contagion, focusing particular attention on the emergent economies of Latin America, Southeast Asia, and Eastern Europe. Together these studies offer a new understanding of the empirical relationship between capital flows, international trade, and economic performance, and also afford key insights into realms of major policy concern.


Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets

Managing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets

Author: Michael P. Dooley

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

Published: 2007-11-01

Total Pages: 456

ISBN-13: 0226155420

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The management of financial crises in emerging markets is a vital and high-stakes challenge in an increasingly global economy. For this reason, it's also a highly contentious issue in today's public policy circles. In this book, leading economists-many of whom have also participated in policy debates on these issues-consider how best to reduce the frequency and cost of such crises. The contributions here explore the management process from the beginning of a crisis to the long-term effects of the techniques used to minimize it. The first three chapters focus on the earliest responses and the immediate defense of a currency under attack, exploring whether unnecessary damage to economies can be avoided by adopting the right response within the first few days of a financial crisis. Next, contributors examine the adjustment programs that follow, considering how to design these programs so that they shorten the recovery phase, encourage economic growth, and minimize the probability of future difficulties. Finally, the last four papers analyze the actual effects of adjustment programs, asking whether they accomplish what they are designed to do-and whether, as many critics assert, they impose disproportionate costs on the poorest members of society. Recent high-profile currency crises have proven not only how harmful they can be to neighboring economies and trading partners, but also how important policy responses can be in determining their duration and severity. Economists and policymakers will welcome the insightful evaluations in this important volume, and those of its companion, Sebastian Edwards and Jeffrey A. Frankel's Preventing Currency Crises in Emerging Markets.