Simulating coarse-scale vagetation dynamics using the Columbia River Basin succession model - CRBSUM.
Simulating coarse-scale vagetation dynamics using the Columbia River Basin succession model - CRBSUM.

Author: R. E. Keane

Publisher:

Published: 1996

Total Pages: 50

ISBN-13:

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The Columbia River Basin SUccession Model (CRBSUM) simulates broad-scale landscape changes as a consequence of various land management policies. CRBSUM is a spatially explicit, deterministic model with stochastic properties that simulates changes in vegetation cover types and structural stages on landscapes over long periods. CRBSUM was used to simulate coarse-scale landscape changes in the Interior Columbia River Basin as a result of four management scenarios called management futures. CRBSUM results have an inherent 1 to 5 percent variability because of the stochastic structure of the model. Sensitivity analysis results suggest moderate changes in disturbance probabilities (25 percent increase) will only slightly affect simulated results.

Fire and Climatic Change in Temperate Ecosystems of the Western Americas
Fire and Climatic Change in Temperate Ecosystems of the Western Americas

Author: Thomas T. Veblen

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2006-05-10

Total Pages: 456

ISBN-13: 038721710X

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Both fire and climatic variability have monumental impacts on the dynamics of temperate ecosystems. These impacts can sometimes be extreme or devastating as seen in recent El Nino/La Nina cycles and in uncontrolled fire occurrences. This volume brings together research conducted in western North and South America, areas of a great deal of collaborative work on the influence of people and climate change on fire regimes. In order to give perspective to patterns of change over time, it emphasizes the integration of paleoecological studies with studies of modern ecosystems. Data from a range of spatial scales, from individual plants to communities and ecosystems to landscape and regional levels, are included. Contributions come from fire ecology, paleoecology, biogeography, paleoclimatology, landscape and ecosystem ecology, ecological modeling, forest management, plant community ecology and plant morphology. The book gives a synthetic overview of methods, data and simulation models for evaluating fire regime processes in forests, shrublands and woodlands and assembles case studies of fire, climate and land use histories. The unique approach of this book gives researchers the benefits of a north-south comparison as well as the integration of paleoecological histories, current ecosystem dynamics and modeling of future changes.

Applying Ecosystem and Landscape Models in Natural Resource Management
Applying Ecosystem and Landscape Models in Natural Resource Management

Author: Robert E. Keane

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2019-08-15

Total Pages: 184

ISBN-13: 1000732835

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Managing today’s lands is becoming an increasingly difficult task. Complex ecological interactions across multiple spatiotemporal scales create diverse landscape responses to management actions that are often novel, counter-intuitive and unexpected. To make matters worse, exotic invasions, human land use, and global climate change complicate this complexity and make past observational ecological studies limited in application to the future. Natural resource professionals can no longer rely on empirical data to analyze alternative actions in a world that is rapidly changing with few historical analogs. New tools are needed to synthesize the high complexity in ecosystem dynamics into useful applications for land management. Some of the best new tools available for this task are ecological and landscape simulation models. However, many land management professionals and scientists have little expertise in simulation modeling, and the costs of training these people will probably be exorbitantly high because most ecosystem and landscape models are exceptionally complicated and difficult to understand and use for local applications. This book was written to provide natural resource professionals with the rudimentary knowledge needed to properly use ecological models and then to interpret their results. It is based on the lessons learned from a career spent modeling ecological systems. It is intended as a reference for novice modelers to learn how to correctly employ ecosystem landscape models in natural resource management applications and to understand subsequent modeling results.