Real Estate Fund Flows and the Flow-Performance Relationship

Real Estate Fund Flows and the Flow-Performance Relationship

Author: David H. Downs

Publisher:

Published: 2016

Total Pages:

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Convexity in the flow-performance relationship of traditional asset class mutual funds is widely documented, however, it cannot be assumed to hold for alternative asset classes. This paper addresses this shortcoming in the literature by examining the flow-performance relationship for real estate funds, specifically open-end, direct-property funds. This investment vehicle is designed to provide the risk-return benefits of private market real estate and is available to retail investors in many countries across the globe. An understanding of fund flow dynamics associated with this investment vehicle is of particular interest due to the liquidity risk associated with holding an inherently illiquid asset in an open-end structure. Our analysis draws on the theoretical foundations provided in the literature on mutual fund flows, performance chasing, liquidity risk, participation costs and dynamics across market cycles. We focus on German real estate funds from 1990 to 2010 as this is the largest market globally and there is a high level of confidence in the data. The results show that real estate fund investors chase past performance at the aggregate level and the relationship between flows and relative performance is asymmetric (i.e., convex) at the individual fund level. Fund-level liquidity risk tends to weaken convexity, while sensitivity increases with higher participation costs. We find the flow-performance relationship varies across time, though our interpretation is asset and investment vehicle specific. The implications are applicable to investors and fund managers of open-end, direct-property funds and, more broadly, other alternative asset funds where the underlying asset may not be liquid.


Performance Chasing, Fund Flows and Fund Size in Real Estate Mutual Funds

Performance Chasing, Fund Flows and Fund Size in Real Estate Mutual Funds

Author: Julia Chou

Publisher:

Published: 2014

Total Pages:

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Real estate mutual funds have grown dramatically in number, size, scope and assets under management over the last 15 years, but little assessment is evident. The present study addresses this limitation. Better prior period performance is associated with greater shares of fund inflows for a period. Returns, however, are negatively associated with increased fund flows and fund size. Investors chase past performance limiting fund managers' ability to optimize investments. Under normal market conditions, but departing from typical mutual fund performance, real estate mutual fund returns generally exceed relevant benchmarks on a before expenses basis and match benchmark returns after expenses. The ability to meet and exceed benchmark returns, however, does not hold during the financial crisis period. Overall, more established funds are shown to have higher returns while fund turnover is not a determinants of returns.


Is the Flow-Performance Relationship Really Convex? - The Impact of Data Treatment and Model Specification

Is the Flow-Performance Relationship Really Convex? - The Impact of Data Treatment and Model Specification

Author: Alexander Schiller

Publisher:

Published: 2020

Total Pages:

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This paper challenges the convexity of the flow-performance relationship, according to which investors strongly chase top-performing funds, while fund flows exhibit little to no sensitivity to past performance within the segment of poorly performing funds. Our results suggest that the flow-performance relationship is not convex, but rather linear. In contrast to prior studies, we use reported (i.e., exact) instead of approximated fund flow data, we trim (instead of winsorize) outliers, and we account for persistence in fund flows. We find that each factor contributes to serious biases. For example, investor reactions to poor performance only appear insignificant when outliers are winsorized instead of trimmed. And it is even more evident that fund investors flee poorly performing funds when the model incorporates lagged flows to account for fund flow persistence. Furthermore, our results provide evidence that the degree to which investors chase top-performing funds appears to be slightly upward biased if approximated fund flows are used. Our findings have important implications for the potential moral hazard of fund managers.


Swing Pricing and Fragility in Open-end Mutual Funds

Swing Pricing and Fragility in Open-end Mutual Funds

Author: Dunhong Jin

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2019-11-01

Total Pages: 46

ISBN-13: 1513519492

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

How to prevent runs on open-end mutual funds? In recent years, markets have observed an innovation that changed the way open-end funds are priced. Alternative pricing rules (known as swing pricing) adjust funds’ net asset values to pass on funds’ trading costs to transacting shareholders. Using unique data on investor transactions in U.K. corporate bond funds, we show that swing pricing eliminates the first-mover advantage arising from the traditional pricing rule and significantly reduces redemptions during stress periods. The positive impact of alternative pricing rules on fund flows reverses in calm periods when costs associated with higher tracking error dominate the pricing effect.


Liquidity Creation and Financial Fragility

Liquidity Creation and Financial Fragility

Author: Christian Weistroffer

Publisher: Logos Verlag Berlin GmbH

Published: 2010

Total Pages: 124

ISBN-13: 3832526978

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Open-end real estate funds (OEREFs) are the predominant vehicle in Germany for channeling private capital flows into commercial real estate markets. They transform longer-term investment projects into daily redeemable claims. To the extent that OEREFs stand ready to both issue new shares and redeem outstanding ones on a daily basis they provide valuable liquidity transformation. At the same time, they become susceptible to run phenomena. This dissertation analyzes the inherent fragility of open-end real estate funds in light of the German open-end fund crisis of 2005/06. The dissertation comprises three papers. The first paper explores how fund performance and other factors influenced capital flows into OEREFs before, during and after the German open-end fund crisis of 2005/06. The second paper looks at the valuation practice of OEREFs and assesses whether funds have suffered from a valuation problem. It finds evidence in support of the view that systematic deviations of appraised values from prices achieved in the market were at the heart of the 2005/06 German open-end fund crisis. The third paper relates findings from banking theory to OEREFs. It explores under which conditions the open-end fund contract resembles a demand deposit contract that is prone not only to panics but also to fundamental runs. The dissertation concludes by discussing policy options to mitigate the run problem.


The Flow-Performance Relationship Around the World

The Flow-Performance Relationship Around the World

Author: Miguel A. Ferreira

Publisher:

Published: 2010

Total Pages: 58

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

We use a new dataset to study how mutual fund flows depend on past performance across 28 countries. We find that flows are convex with past performance, creating an incentive for managers to take excessive risk. The flow-performance convexity is less pronounced in countries with higher levels of economic, financial, and mutual fund industry development. This is because mutual fund investors in developed countries are more sophisticated and face lower costs of participating in the mutual fund industry. Higher country-level convexity is positively associated with higher levels of risk taking by fund managers.


The Influence Of Capital Flows On Private And Public Equity Real Estate Funds

The Influence Of Capital Flows On Private And Public Equity Real Estate Funds

Author: Sung Won Suh

Publisher:

Published: 2016

Total Pages: 92

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This study aims to explore the impact of capital flows on private and public real estate funds. I bring together work on capital flows, private equity fund performance, and REIT liquidity management to examine the effects of capital flows on real estate markets in the fund level rather than in the aggregate market level with special attention to two sets of relations: 1) the effects of cross-sectional variation of capital flows on returns of private equity real estate funds; 2) the effects of inter-temporal variation of capital flows on the liquidity managements of REITs. In regards to private equity real estate funds, I find that differential fund growth created by heterogeneous institutional investors determines persistence in fund performance. Utilizing a novel Preqin's data, I develop a data set that shows which type of investors participate in individual private equity real estate funds from 1995 to 2009. The results provide strong evidence that underlying heterogeneity in the sophistication of institutional investors leads to heterogeneity in fund performance and to more performance persistence if sophisticated investors invest in. The funds invested in by sophisticated investors have a weak fund sizeperformance relation and show strong performance persistence, while the funds invested in by unsophisticated investors have a strong fund size-performance relation and no performance persistence. Regarding REITs, I find that financially constrained REITs respond to the inter-temporal variation of capital flows, which is represented by time-varying financing conditions, by changing policies on seasoned equity issuances and credit lines. The results show that the timevarying financing conditions primarily affect the liquidity policies of financially constrained REITs that heavily rely on equity offerings for their liquidity source, but not those of unconstrained REITs that can access relatively diverse funding sources other than equities. The results also suggest that tight financing conditions lead constrained REITs to rely more on equity offerings to repay their credit lines because constrained REITs reserve a large portion of the offering proceeds as an unused credit lines to prepare for unfavorable financing conditions. In addition, the time-varying financing conditions alter the order of accessing credit lines and seasoned equities. As finance costs rise, constrained REITs are more likely to utilize credit lines after raising equities rather than prior to the offerings. This is quite contrary to the traditional bridge loan hypothesis which suggests that REITs prefer to utilize credit lines first in the recession and pay off the drawdown of credit lines later during favorable credit market conditions.


New Perspectives on the Fund Flow-Performance Relationship

New Perspectives on the Fund Flow-Performance Relationship

Author: Miyoun Paek

Publisher:

Published: 2015

Total Pages: 33

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This study compares a measure of market-share changes with net flows to revisit the fund flow-performance relationship from the viewpoint of the heteroscedasticity of fund flows. We decompose market-share changes (net flows) into inflow and outflow shares and other parts (inflow and outflow) to explain their behavior. Market-share changes have a convex relationship with past performance, but net flows do not. Quantile regressions show that net flows have a convex (concave) relationship for the 90% (10%) quantile but market-share changes have a convex relationship for all quantiles. A characteristic analysis of quantile funds shows that relatively large (small) funds in the high (low) performance domain play an important role in the convex relationship between market-share changes and past performance. This study concludes that market-share change is a better measure for fund flows than net flow from the viewpoint of the agency problem.


Fund Flows and Commercial Real Estate Investment

Fund Flows and Commercial Real Estate Investment

Author: Ron Donohue

Publisher:

Published: 2006

Total Pages: 26

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This paper addresses the issue of the impact of fund flows on real investment. In the classical world, fund flows affect investment by changing the cost of funds or through the weighted average cost of capital. In a less perfect world, fund flows can directly alter investment though a rationing mechanism, where even presumably profitable investment is choked off.This paper examines the commercial mortgage market over the last quarter century. The findings indicate an effect of constrained flows on investment in the early 1990s, but an independent impact of higher flows to the commercial mortgage market in the middle 1980s is not found.


The Effect of New Money Inflows on the Flow-Performance Relationship in the U.S. Mutual Fund Industry

The Effect of New Money Inflows on the Flow-Performance Relationship in the U.S. Mutual Fund Industry

Author: Kari Sigurdsson

Publisher:

Published: 2004

Total Pages: 31

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Several papers have documented a convex relationship between past performance and money flows in the U.S. mutual fund industry. This paper shows that the observed relationship is consistent with a simple rational portfolio allocation model where the main determinant is the inflow of new money to mutual funds. The effect of new money is shown by empirically testing how the relationship becomes steeper in periods when inflow of new money into mutual funds is high.