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Author: Steven M. Sheffrin
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Published: 1996-06-13
Total Pages: 204
ISBN-13: 9780521479394
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis book develops the idea of rational expectations and surveys its use in economics today.
Author: Thomas J. Sargent
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Published: 2013-05-05
Total Pages: 390
ISBN-13: 1400847648
DOWNLOAD EBOOKA fully expanded edition of the Nobel Prize–winning economist's classic book This collection of essays uses the lens of rational expectations theory to examine how governments anticipate and plan for inflation, and provides insight into the pioneering research for which Thomas Sargent was awarded the 2011 Nobel Prize in economics. Rational expectations theory is based on the simple premise that people will use all the information available to them in making economic decisions, yet applying the theory to macroeconomics and econometrics is technically demanding. Here, Sargent engages with practical problems in economics in a less formal, noneconometric way, demonstrating how rational expectations can satisfactorily interpret a range of historical and contemporary events. He focuses on periods of actual or threatened depreciation in the value of a nation's currency. Drawing on historical attempts to counter inflation, from the French Revolution and the aftermath of World War I to the economic policies of Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan, Sargent finds that there is no purely monetary cure for inflation; rather, monetary and fiscal policies must be coordinated. This fully expanded edition of Rational Expectations and Inflation includes Sargent's 2011 Nobel lecture, "United States Then, Europe Now." It also features new articles on the macroeconomics of the French Revolution and government budget deficits.
Author: Frederic S. Mishkin
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Published: 2007-11-01
Total Pages: 184
ISBN-13: 0226531929
DOWNLOAD EBOOKA Rational Expectations Approach to Macroeconometrics pursues a rational expectations approach to the estimation of a class of models widely discussed in the macroeconomics and finance literature: those which emphasize the effects from unanticipated, rather than anticipated, movements in variables. In this volume, Fredrick S. Mishkin first theoretically develops and discusses a unified econometric treatment of these models and then shows how to estimate them with an annotated computer program.
Author: Lars Peter Hansen
Publisher: CRC Press
Published: 2019-09-05
Total Pages: 306
ISBN-13: 1000308960
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAt the core of the rational expectations revolution is the insight that economic policy does not operate independently of economic agents' knowledge of that policy and their expectations of the effects of that policy. This means that there are very complicated feedback relationships existing between policy and the behaviour of economic agents, and these relationships pose very difficult problems in econometrics when one tries to exploit the rational expectations insight in formal economic modelling. This volume consists of work by two rational expectations pioneers dealing with the "nuts and bolts" problems of modelling the complications introduced by rational expectations. Each paper deals with aspects of the problem of making inferences about parameters of a dynamic economic model on the basis of time series observations. Each exploits restrictions on an econometric model imposed by the hypothesis that agents within the model have rational expectations.
Author: William J. Bernstein
Publisher:
Published: 2014-05-28
Total Pages: 214
ISBN-13: 9780988780323
DOWNLOAD EBOOKRational Expectations is a clean sheet of paper in the wonky world of quantitatively based asset allocation aimed at small investors. Continuing the theme of the Investing for Adults series, this full-length finance title is not for beginners, but rather assumes a fair degree of quantitative ability and finance knowledge. If you think you can time the market or pick stocks and mutual fund managers, or even if you think that you can formulate an optimally efficient mean-variance asset allocation with a black box, then learn some basic finance and come back in a few years. On the other hand, if you know your way around risk premiums and standard deviations and know who Irving Fisher and Benjamin Graham were, and if you want to sharpen your asset class skills, you've come to the right place.
Author: Robert E. Lucas
Publisher: U of Minnesota Press
Published: 1988
Total Pages: 335
ISBN-13: 1452908281
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAssumptions about how people form expectations for the future shape the properties of any dynamic economic model. To make economic decisions in an uncertain environment people must forecast such variables as future rates of inflation, tax rates, governme.
Author: Michael Carter
Publisher: Springer
Published: 1984-11-15
Total Pages: 176
ISBN-13: 1349176443
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Roman Frydman
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Published: 1986-10-02
Total Pages: 254
ISBN-13: 9780521310956
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThe papers in this volume provide a complex view of market processes.
Author: M. Hashem Pesaran
Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell
Published: 1989
Total Pages: 325
ISBN-13: 9780631168850
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Bruno S. Frey
Publisher: Springer
Published: 2017-03-08
Total Pages: 168
ISBN-13: 3319474588
DOWNLOAD EBOOKReporting on cutting-edge advances in economics, this book presents a selection of commentaries that reveal the weaknesses of several core economics concepts. Economics is a vigorous and progressive science, which does not lose its force when particular parts of its theory are empirically invalidated; instead, they contribute to the accumulation of knowledge. By discussing problematic theoretical assumptions and drawing on the latest empirical research, the authors question specific hypotheses and reject major economic ideas from the “Coase Theorem” to “Say’s Law” and “Bayesianism.” Many of these ideas remain prominent among politicians, economists and the general public. Yet, in the light of the financial crisis, they have lost both their relevance and supporting empirical evidence. This fascinating and thought-provoking collection of 71 short essays written by respected economists and social scientists from all over the world will appeal to anyone interested in scientific progress and the further development of economics.
