Quantitative Indicators for Defense Analysis. Volume III. Appendices
Quantitative Indicators for Defense Analysis. Volume III. Appendices

Author: Bertram I. Spector

Publisher:

Published: 1975

Total Pages: 150

ISBN-13:

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The report develops and demonstrates various means of using quantitative indicator technology in analyzing and predicting future international trends. Three generic types of indicators were created to enhance the analysts abilities to estimate future international interaction trends: international, internal, and economic. Issue content, intensity of participation, behavioral tone, and other types of indicators were used. Two innovative methodologies were devised to help the policy analyst: Event patterning for decision analysis which combines usually and statistically the attributes of interactive tone, intensity, and time; and power strategy impact analysis, involving aspects of power strategies in statistical analyses of interactive tone over time. The results were a number of techniques of potential use to the analyst of international behavior.

Quantitative Indicators for Defense Analysis. Volume I. Executive Summary
Quantitative Indicators for Defense Analysis. Volume I. Executive Summary

Author: Bertram I. Spector

Publisher:

Published: 1975

Total Pages: 17

ISBN-13:

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The report describes research efforts to develop and apply quantitative indicators to national security problems. The report consists of two volumes. Volume I, the Executive Summary, is a non-technical review of the research accomplishments with special emphasis on their potential, immediate applications within the defense and intelligence communities. Volume II, the Technical Report, summarizes the specific results of the fiscal 1975 research effort. Volume III contains appendices to the Technical Report. Procedures and rationale for new indicators and methodologies for manipulation are described. These indicators and methodologies are then applied to research questions concerning the national security behavior of Japan and the results are reported and evaluated.

Quantitative Indicators for Defense Analysis
Quantitative Indicators for Defense Analysis

Author: Bertram I. Spector

Publisher:

Published: 1975

Total Pages: 407

ISBN-13:

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The report develops and demonstrates various means of using quantitative indicator technology in analyzing and predicting future international trends. Three generic types of indicators were created to enhance the analysts abilities to estimate future international interaction trends: international, internal, and economic. Issue content, intensity of participation, behavioral tone, and other types of indicators were used. Two innovative methodologies were devised to help the policy analyst: Event patterning for decision analysis which combines usually and statistically the attributes of interactive tone, intensity, and time; and power strategy impact analysis, involving aspects of power strategies in statistical analyses of interactive tone over time. The results were a number of techniques of potential use to the analyst of international behavior.