Predicting the Markets of Tomorrow
Predicting the Markets of Tomorrow

Author: James P. O'Shaughnessy

Publisher: Penguin

Published: 2006-03-02

Total Pages: 328

ISBN-13: 110121838X

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A unique and timely new wealth-building strategy from a legendary investment guru In his national bestsellers How to Retire Rich and What Works on Wall Street, portfolio manager extraordinaire James P. O’Shaughnessy offered investors practical advice based on rigorous quantitative analysis—advice that has consistently beaten the market. But in a recent analysis of market data, O’Shaughnessy uncovered some astonishing trends not discussed in his previous books. The Markets of Tomorrow explains O’Shaughnessy’s new research and tells ordinary investors what they must do now to revamp their portfolios. According to O’Shaughnessy, the year 2000 marked the end of a twenty-year cycle that was dominated by the stocks of larger, fastergrowing companies like those in the S&P 500. In the new cycle, the stocks of small and midsize companies are the ones that will outperform the market, along with large company value stocks and intermediate term bonds. O’Shaughnessy describes the number crunching behind his analysis and then shows individual investors exactly how to select the right mix of investments and pick top-performing small and midcap stocks. The Markets of Tomorrow is a loud and clear call to action for every investor who doesn’t want to be left behind.

Predicting the Markets of Tomorrow
Predicting the Markets of Tomorrow

Author: James P. O'Shaughnessy

Publisher: Penguin

Published: 2006

Total Pages: 258

ISBN-13: 9781591841081

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From the author of national bestsellers "How to Retire Rich" and "What Works on Wall Street" comes a unique and timely new wealth-building strategy--a clear call to action for every investor who doesn't want to be left behind.

Predict Market Swings With Technical Analysis
Predict Market Swings With Technical Analysis

Author: Michael McDonald

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2002-10-02

Total Pages: 218

ISBN-13: 0471271578

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A fresh perspective on predicting the market The experience of Wall Street investment manager and analyst Michael McDonald offers a new perspective on how to navigate the turbulent ups and downs of the markets. His innovative approach to the stock market teaches investors how to use new investment strategies intended to replace the "buy and hold forever" strategies of yesterday. McDonald discusses what a "trading range" market is-a roller-coaster ride in which the market will neither gain nor lose much ground-and guides readers through this market with his proven investment strategies. This book provides an understandable way to make sense of the unpredictable stock market, taking into account more complex theories, including chaos and contrarian approaches. Along with his expert advice, McDonald presents four investing paradoxes that will help investors make smarter decisions now and predict where the market is heading, using his proven theories.

Geopolitical Alpha
Geopolitical Alpha

Author: Marko Papic

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2020-10-15

Total Pages: 304

ISBN-13: 1119740223

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Forecast geopolitics and markets with this clear and insightful resource Geopolitical Alpha – An Investment Framework for Predicting the Future provides readers with an original and compelling approach to forecasting the future and beating the markets while doing so. Persuasively written by author, investment strategist, and geopolitical analyst Marko Papic, the book applies a novel framework for making sense of the cacophony of geopolitical risks with the eye towards generating investment-relevant insights. Geopolitical Alpha posits that investors should ignore the media-hyped narratives, insights from "smoke-filled rooms," and most of their political consultants and, instead, focus exclusively on the measurable, material constraints facing policymakers. In the tug-of-war between policymaker preferences and their constraints, the latter always win out in the end. Papic uses a wealth of examples from the past decade to illustrate how one can use his constraint-framework to generate Geopolitical Alpha. In the process, the book discusses: What paradigm shifts will drive investment returns over the next decade Why investment and corporate professionals can no longer treat geopolitics as an exogenous risk How to ignore the media and focus on what drives market narratives that generate returns Perfect for investors, C-suite executives, and investment professionals, Geopolitical Alpha belongs on the shelf of anyone interested in the intersection of geopolitics, economics, and finance.

The New Rules for Investing Now
The New Rules for Investing Now

Author: James P. O'Shaughnessy

Publisher: Penguin

Published: 2007-04-24

Total Pages: 276

ISBN-13: 9781591841487

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An investment guru and author of What Works on Wall Street and How to Retire Rich introduces timely new investment strategies and wealth-building techniques for an uncertain new era of global economics. Originally published as Predicting the Markets of Tomorrow. Reprint.

How to Retire Rich
How to Retire Rich

Author: James P. O'Shaughnessy

Publisher: Broadway

Published: 1999

Total Pages: 272

ISBN-13: 9780767900737

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Now in paperback--the groundbreaking investment guide by bestselling author James O'Shaughnessy that shows you the simple way to create the fully funded retirement you deserve. Even if you think you're in great financial shape and can afford two cars and several vacations a year, the numbers in your savings and retirement plan don't always add up to a wealthy--or financially secure--future. In How to Retire Rich, investment wizard James O'Shaughnessy uses his revolutionary analysis of the Standard & Poor's CompuStat Database and stock market history to identify exactly which strategies have consistently beaten almost all active stock pickers over the past four decades--and to show regular folks like you how to apply these proven formulas to your 401(k) and your savings plan, and, over time, grow as little as $2,000 into more than $4 million. By adopting O'Shaughnessy's logical, proven approach and by avoiding hunches, hot tips, and trendy advice from high-profile gurus, you, too, can master the basics of investing, dramatically increase your net worth, and fund the retirement of your dreams.

Invest Like the Best
Invest Like the Best

Author: James P. O'Shaughnessy

Publisher: McGraw-Hill Companies

Published: 1994

Total Pages: 282

ISBN-13: 9780070479845

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"Now, complete access to the lucrative investment strategies of today's stock market aces is only a keystroke away. With this remarkable book and disk, you'll easily uncover the stock-picking strategies of the nation's top money managers and learn how to use your computer to emulate the portfolios of Wall Street's wizards in your stock trading." "Invest Like The Best shows you how to pattern your investment program on the methods of today's legendary stock pickers, from Peter Lynch to John Templeton. It does so by marrying James O'Shaughnessy's pioneering quantitative investing techniques with the data crunching power of Value Line's Value/Screen III investment software." "In minutes, you'll learn how to configure your PC to analyze and emulate the investing style of the money manager(s) of your choice. You'll discover which quantitative core factors - cash position, P/E ratio, safety rank, yield, book value, and more - the pros rely on to consistently pinpoint and select the top stocks. And you'll gain strategic insights into how their specific investing styles - from growth to value - impact their performance. More, you'll see exactly which factors consistently show up in top managers' portfolios and how to use them to beat the street." "From here, Invest Like the Best offers step-by-step guidelines and helpful templates for building simple, stable, reliable computer-based stock-picking models based on the masters' standards. Illustrative graphs and solid, concrete advice help you assess your strategy's variability and risk-adjusted return, then closely monitor its ongoing performance. For exceptional results, you'll create a hybrid investing strategy that combines the best elements of various money managers' styles - and outperforms them all." "Before you make your next investment decision, turn to Invest Like the Best and discover how to choose the optimum stock-picking strategies that fall within your risk-tolerance; identify and avoid a bad money manager before you commit your assets; diversify against an investment style falling out of favor and to lower overall portfolio risks; determine if your current mutual fund is changing its investment style, for better or worse; and systematically analyze stock market advice from any source - be it a mutual fund, newsletter, book, or broker." "Invest Like the Best is for every computerized investor who craves the winning edge of high returns and reduced investment risk. By enabling you to analyze and duplicate the profit-driven strategies of today's stock market gurus, it delivers the performance advantage you need to pick portfolios that consistently tear up the market."--BOOK JACKET.Title Summary field provided by Blackwell North America, Inc. All Rights Reserved

The Era of Uncertainty
The Era of Uncertainty

Author: Francois Trahan

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2011-07-13

Total Pages: 228

ISBN-13: 1118134095

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Macroeconomic Investment Strategies for an Era of Economic Uncertainty “Over the years, François’ insightful analyses of the business cycle has led to market calls that have both benefitted investors on the upside and (more important to many) protected them from losses on the downside. François’ incredible track record in successfully interpreting the trends that can be found in leading indicators and other macroeconomic data have also led to his well deserved reputation as an expert in sector rotation - providing investors on both the long and short side of the market opportunities to profit from his ideas. In my opinion, his most important and influential macro prediction to date was his call in the middle of the last decade when he predicted that the worst housing crisis in American history would soon be upon us, and that it would have far-ranging implications for both the global economy and world financial markets.”

Superforecasting
Superforecasting

Author: Philip E. Tetlock

Publisher: Crown

Published: 2015-09-29

Total Pages: 331

ISBN-13: 080413670X

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NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY THE ECONOMIST “The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow.”—Jason Zweig, The Wall Street Journal Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the week’s meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught? In Superforecasting, Tetlock and coauthor Dan Gardner offer a masterwork on prediction, drawing on decades of research and the results of a massive, government-funded forecasting tournament. The Good Judgment Project involves tens of thousands of ordinary people—including a Brooklyn filmmaker, a retired pipe installer, and a former ballroom dancer—who set out to forecast global events. Some of the volunteers have turned out to be astonishingly good. They’ve beaten other benchmarks, competitors, and prediction markets. They’ve even beaten the collective judgment of intelligence analysts with access to classified information. They are "superforecasters." In this groundbreaking and accessible book, Tetlock and Gardner show us how we can learn from this elite group. Weaving together stories of forecasting successes (the raid on Osama bin Laden’s compound) and failures (the Bay of Pigs) and interviews with a range of high-level decision makers, from David Petraeus to Robert Rubin, they show that good forecasting doesn’t require powerful computers or arcane methods. It involves gathering evidence from a variety of sources, thinking probabilistically, working in teams, keeping score, and being willing to admit error and change course. Superforecasting offers the first demonstrably effective way to improve our ability to predict the future—whether in business, finance, politics, international affairs, or daily life—and is destined to become a modern classic.

The Inefficient Stock Market
The Inefficient Stock Market

Author: Robert A. Haugen

Publisher: Pearson

Published: 2002

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13: 9780130323668

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Sparked with wit and humor, this clever and insightful book provides clear evidence that the stock market is inefficient. In the author's view, models based on rational economic behavior cannot explain important aspects of market behavior. The book tackles important issues in today's financial market in a highly conversational and entertaining manner that will appeal to most readers. Chapter topics include: estimating expected return with the theories of modern finance, estimating portfolio risk and expected return with ad hoc factor models, payoffs to the five families, predicting future stock returns with the expected-return factor model, super stocks and stupid stocks, the international results, the topography of the stock market, the positive payoffs to cheapness and profitability, the negative payoff to risk, and the forces behind the technical payoffs to price-history. For anyone who wants to learn more about today's financial markets.