State and Local Population Projections
State and Local Population Projections

Author: Stanley K. Smith

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2005-12-21

Total Pages: 433

ISBN-13: 0306473720

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The initial plans for this book sprang from a late-afternoon conversation in a hotel bar. All three authors were attending the 1996 meeting of the Population As- ciation of America in New Orleans. While nursing drinks and expounding on a variety of topics, we began talking about our current research projects. It so happened that all three of us had been entertaining the notion of writing a book on state and local population projections. Recognizing the enormity of the project for a single author, we quickly decided to collaborate. Had we not decided to work together, it is unlikely that this book ever would have been written. The last comprehensive treatment of state and local population projections was Don Pittenger’s excellent work Projecting State and Local Populations (1976). Many changes affecting the production of population projections have occurred since that time. Technological changes have led to vast increases in computing power, new data sources, the development of GIS, and the creation of the Internet. The procedures for applying a number of projection methods have changed considerably, and several completely new methods have been developed.

Population Estimates
Population Estimates

Author: Everett S. Lee

Publisher: SAGE Publications, Incorporated

Published: 1982-04

Total Pages: 256

ISBN-13:

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Five innovative methods of establishing the population characteristics of small areas are introduced and evaluated in this book. Changes in communities can be slow, but recent history has seen huge growth in some areas and depopulation of others. As a result, population estimating has grown up under pressure from legislators and administrators who place a high premium on validity. The contributors to this volume provide ideas that have been tested in practice, anticipate the usual types of error, and are suitable for different purposes.

Improving Health Research on Small Populations
Improving Health Research on Small Populations

Author: National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine

Publisher: National Academies Press

Published: 2018-08-02

Total Pages: 151

ISBN-13: 0309476097

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The increasing diversity of population of the United States presents many challenges to conducting health research that is representative and informative. Dispersion and accessibility issues can increase logistical costs; populations for which it is difficult to obtain adequate sample size are also likely to be expensive to study. Hence, even if it is technically feasible to study a small population, it may not be easy to obtain the funding to do so. In order to address the issues associated with improving health research of small populations, the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine convened a workshop in January 2018. Participants considered ways of addressing the challenges of conducting epidemiological studies or intervention research with small population groups, including alternative study designs, innovative methodologies for data collection, and innovative statistical techniques for analysis.

A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections
A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections

Author: Stanley K. Smith

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2013-12-16

Total Pages: 417

ISBN-13: 9400775512

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This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation, structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique problems that characterize small-area projections. The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the “utility” of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of the most commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.​