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Author: Robert A. Meyers
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Published: 2010-11-03
Total Pages: 919
ISBN-13: 1441977007
DOWNLOAD EBOOKFinance, Econometrics and System Dynamics presents an overview of the concepts and tools for analyzing complex systems in a wide range of fields. The text integrates complexity with deterministic equations and concepts from real world examples, and appeals to a broad audience.
Author: Clive William John Granger
Publisher:
Published: 1970
Total Pages: 346
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: John H. Cochrane
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Published: 2009-04-11
Total Pages: 552
ISBN-13: 1400829135
DOWNLOAD EBOOKWinner of the prestigious Paul A. Samuelson Award for scholarly writing on lifelong financial security, John Cochrane's Asset Pricing now appears in a revised edition that unifies and brings the science of asset pricing up to date for advanced students and professionals. Cochrane traces the pricing of all assets back to a single idea—price equals expected discounted payoff—that captures the macro-economic risks underlying each security's value. By using a single, stochastic discount factor rather than a separate set of tricks for each asset class, Cochrane builds a unified account of modern asset pricing. He presents applications to stocks, bonds, and options. Each model—consumption based, CAPM, multifactor, term structure, and option pricing—is derived as a different specification of the discounted factor. The discount factor framework also leads to a state-space geometry for mean-variance frontiers and asset pricing models. It puts payoffs in different states of nature on the axes rather than mean and variance of return, leading to a new and conveniently linear geometrical representation of asset pricing ideas. Cochrane approaches empirical work with the Generalized Method of Moments, which studies sample average prices and discounted payoffs to determine whether price does equal expected discounted payoff. He translates between the discount factor, GMM, and state-space language and the beta, mean-variance, and regression language common in empirical work and earlier theory. The book also includes a review of recent empirical work on return predictability, value and other puzzles in the cross section, and equity premium puzzles and their resolution. Written to be a summary for academics and professionals as well as a textbook, this book condenses and advances recent scholarship in financial economics.
Author: John Y. Campbell
Publisher:
Published: 2005
Total Pages: 66
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThe cash flows of growth stocks are particularly sensitive to temporary movements in aggregate stock prices (driven by movements in the equity risk premium), while the cash flows of value stocks are particularly sensitive to permanent movements in aggregate stock prices (driven by market-wide shocks to cash flows.) Thus the high betas of growth stocks with the market's discount-rate shocks, and of value stocks with the market's cash-flow shocks, are determined by the cash-flow fundamentals of growth and value companies. Growth stocks are not merely "glamour stocks" whose systematic risks are purely driven by investor sentiment. More generally, accounting measures of firm-level risk have predictive power for firms' betas with market-wide cash flows, and this predictive power arises from the behavior of firms' cash flows. The systematic risks of stocks with similar accounting characteristics are primarily driven by the systematic risks of their fundamentals.
Author: John Y. Campbell
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Published: 2002-01-03
Total Pages: 272
ISBN-13: 019160691X
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAcademic finance has had a remarkable impact on many financial services. Yet long-term investors have received curiously little guidance from academic financial economists. Mean-variance analysis, developed almost fifty years ago, has provided a basic paradigm for portfolio choice. This approach usefully emphasizes the ability of diversification to reduce risk, but it ignores several critically important factors. Most notably, the analysis is static; it assumes that investors care only about risks to wealth one period ahead. However, many investors—-both individuals and institutions such as charitable foundations or universities—-seek to finance a stream of consumption over a long lifetime. In addition, mean-variance analysis treats financial wealth in isolation from income. Long-term investors typically receive a stream of income and use it, along with financial wealth, to support their consumption. At the theoretical level, it is well understood that the solution to a long-term portfolio choice problem can be very different from the solution to a short-term problem. Long-term investors care about intertemporal shocks to investment opportunities and labor income as well as shocks to wealth itself, and they may use financial assets to hedge their intertemporal risks. This should be important in practice because there is a great deal of empirical evidence that investment opportunities—-both interest rates and risk premia on bonds and stocks—-vary through time. Yet this insight has had little influence on investment practice because it is hard to solve for optimal portfolios in intertemporal models. This book seeks to develop the intertemporal approach into an empirical paradigm that can compete with the standard mean-variance analysis. The book shows that long-term inflation-indexed bonds are the riskless asset for long-term investors, it explains the conditions under which stocks are safer assets for long-term than for short-term investors, and it shows how labor income influences portfolio choice. These results shed new light on the rules of thumb used by financial planners. The book explains recent advances in both analytical and numerical methods, and shows how they can be used to understand the portfolio choice problems of long-term investors.
Author: Emmanuel Jurczenko
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Published: 2020-10-06
Total Pages: 460
ISBN-13: 1786305445
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis new edited volume consists of a collection of original articles written by leading financial economists and industry experts in the area of machine learning for asset management. The chapters introduce the reader to some of the latest research developments in the area of equity, multi-asset and factor investing. Each chapter deals with new methods for return and risk forecasting, stock selection, portfolio construction, performance attribution and transaction costs modeling. This volume will be of great help to portfolio managers, asset owners and consultants, as well as academics and students who want to improve their knowledge of machine learning in asset management.
Author: E. E. Leamer
Publisher:
Published: 1978-04-24
Total Pages: 392
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKOffers a radically new approach to inference with nonexperimental data when the statistical model is ambiguously defined. Examines the process of model searching and its implications for inference. Identifies six different varieties of specification searches, discussing the inferential consequences of each in detail.
Author: A. Ronald Gallant
Publisher: John Wiley & Sons
Published: 1987-02-04
Total Pages: 632
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKUnivariate nonlinear regression; Univariate nonlinear regression: special situations; A unified asymptotic theory of nonlinear models with regression structure; Univariate nonlinear regression: asymptotic theory; Multivariate nonlinear regression; Nonlinear simultaneus equations models; A unified asymptotic theory for dynamic nonlinear models.
Author: Dongwei Su
Publisher: World Scientific
Published: 2003-01-07
Total Pages: 454
ISBN-13: 9814491799
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThe exponential growth of China's stock markets in the past decade has attracted global attention from academics and practitioners. The practitioner's interest in Chinese markets stems from corporations; investors and financial institutions foresee substantial benefits from investing in China in the long run. However, the academic literature on the development of securities markets and reform of state enterprises in China is still in its infancy and fragmented. This handbook aims to bridge that gap by presenting a wide spectrum of research in the forefront of financial applications. It integrates theory and practice with state-of-the-art statistical techniques and provides numerous insights into the main challenges confronting Chinese markets in the new millennium.
Author: Wayne Ferson
Publisher: MIT Press
Published: 2019-03-12
Total Pages: 497
ISBN-13: 0262039370
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAn introduction to the theory and methods of empirical asset pricing, integrating classical foundations with recent developments. This book offers a comprehensive advanced introduction to asset pricing, the study of models for the prices and returns of various securities. The focus is empirical, emphasizing how the models relate to the data. The book offers a uniquely integrated treatment, combining classical foundations with more recent developments in the literature and relating some of the material to applications in investment management. It covers the theory of empirical asset pricing, the main empirical methods, and a range of applied topics. The book introduces the theory of empirical asset pricing through three main paradigms: mean variance analysis, stochastic discount factors, and beta pricing models. It describes empirical methods, beginning with the generalized method of moments (GMM) and viewing other methods as special cases of GMM; offers a comprehensive review of fund performance evaluation; and presents selected applied topics, including a substantial chapter on predictability in asset markets that covers predicting the level of returns, volatility and higher moments, and predicting cross-sectional differences in returns. Other chapters cover production-based asset pricing, long-run risk models, the Campbell-Shiller approximation, the debate on covariance versus characteristics, and the relation of volatility to the cross-section of stock returns. An extensive reference section captures the current state of the field. The book is intended for use by graduate students in finance and economics; it can also serve as a reference for professionals.
