Navigating Uncertainty Using Foresight Intelligence
Author: Bruce Garvey
Publisher: Springer Nature
Published:
Total Pages: 355
ISBN-13: 303166115X
DOWNLOAD EBOOKRead and Download eBook Full
Author: Bruce Garvey
Publisher: Springer Nature
Published:
Total Pages: 355
ISBN-13: 303166115X
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Bruce Garvey
Publisher: Springer
Published: 2024-10-02
Total Pages: 0
ISBN-13: 9783031661143
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis book brings together a diverse range of findings on current and emerging business concerns when the authors were developing a series of 12 working Analytic Research Consortium (ARC) White Papers. It presents several, differently configured scenarios, drawing on cyber as an example; the use and further optimization of estimative/probabilistic language; communicating analytical insights and other findings concerning ‘(un)certainty’ to decision-maker end-users; and mitigating risk. It also evaluates in detail today’s rapidly evolving Gen-AI systems and technologies, e.g. those underlying OpenAI’s ChatGPT and Google’s Bard/Gemini. This includes their respective value concerning scenario development and other business-relevant methods, tools and techniques, e.g. ‘Red Teaming’. The topics discussed are assessed using the multi-methodologies of, firstly, ‘Intelligence Engineering’ (IE) and, secondly, ‘Strategic Options Analysis’ (SOA). The latter half of the book introduces an alternative scenario planning process, including use of new computer-software and AI tools. In addition to Gen-AI, we identify that the emerging discipline of Causal AI may work better for foresight and scenario activities. The book is a valuable read for a diverse readership from the public and private sectors, spanning government, the military, law enforcement, education, industry, commerce, retail, and enterprises of all sizes. Also, students at business schools and high-level decision-makers, including politicians, military commanders, and C-Suite leaders in various fields, will benefit from it.
Author: Matthew Kutz
Publisher: Springer
Published: 2016-11-29
Total Pages: 165
ISBN-13: 3319449982
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis book offers a structured framework for critical thinking and decision making that shows how to use hindsight, insight, and foresight to navigate through complexity. Every organization and every person faces rapid change and complexity. Contextual intelligence – understanding fully the context in which one is operating – teaches the reader how to navigate that complexity and respond appropriately in the face of change (expected and unexpected). The Three-Dimensional (3D) ThinkingTM framework helps structure critical thinking by showing how to appropriately bring past experience, present intuition, and future ambiguity– in other words: hindsight, insight, and foresight – to bear on any given problem. Kutz offers a way to rationally organize difficult concepts such as complexity, tacit knowledge, and synchronicity into usable and understandable language, but more importantly teaches the reader how to apply these concepts in a very practical and meaningful way with measurable and tangible outcomes. The book also describes in detail 12 behaviors associated with contextual intelligence. Four behaviors are associated with hindsight, four behaviors are associated with insight, and four behaviors are associated with foresight. The book takes the reader through the 12 behaviors and how they relate to 3D Thinking. Cases and anecdotes are used generously to provide examples. Chapters are followed by critical thinking questions and questions related to the cases in the chapters. Furthermore, questions and practical tools are introduced that help the reader assess and determine their level of contextual intelligence.
Author: Sajjad Ahmad
Publisher: Sajjad ahmad
Published: 2024-01-04
Total Pages: 150
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKIn the ever-evolving terrain of technology, the convergence of artificial intelligence (AI) and product management has become a defining feature of the contemporary business landscape. The symbiotic relationship between these two domains has ushered in a new era of innovation, challenging traditional paradigms and reshaping the way products are conceptualized, developed, and delivered to users. As we stand at the crossroads of technological advancement, it is crucial to understand the intricate interplay between AI and product management. Product managers are no longer mere architects of features; they are orchestrators of intelligent systems, harnessing the power of machine learning, data analytics, and automation to redefine user experiences and business processes. This journey into the future of product management and AI is not merely a forecast but a roadmap that navigates the complex terrains of opportunities and challenges. It requires a keen understanding of the profound changes AI introduces to the product development lifecycle, the impact on user-centric design, and the transformative nature of data-driven decision-making. The landscape we traverse is marked by the fusion of human ingenuity with the capabilities of machines. It's a realm where algorithms augment creativity, where data becomes the currency of innovation, and where products evolve dynamically in response to real-time insights. As we embark on this exploration, it is imperative to grasp the significance of AI not as a standalone entity but as an integral force shaping the future trajectory of product management. This book seeks to unravel the intricacies of this evolving landscape, offering a comprehensive guide for product managers, business leaders, and enthusiasts who aim to harness the potential of AI to propel their products into the future. We will delve into the collaborative synergy between human expertise and machine intelligence, explore ethical considerations in design, navigate the challenges of agile methodologies in AI projects, and decipher the critical role of continuous learning in staying ahead of the curve. Join us on this expedition as we define the landscape where the pulse of AI harmonizes with the heartbeat of product management. Through insights, strategies, and real-world case studies, we aim to empower you to not only adapt to this changing landscape but to thrive within it, creating products that resonate with users in a world where the only constant is relentless innovation.
Author: Andreas Schühly
Publisher: Emerald Publishing Limited
Published: 2020-04-29
Total Pages: 0
ISBN-13: 9781787568129
DOWNLOAD EBOOKCombining classical scenario thinking (the gentle art of perception) with the analytical power of big data and artificial intelligence, Real Time Strategy presents the decision making of the future which enables decision makers to develop dynamic strategies, monitor their validity, and react faster.
Author: Bhardwaj, Bhawana
Publisher: IGI Global
Published: 2023-10-16
Total Pages: 437
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThe ever-evolving field of management in today's corporate world is marked by constant disruptions and turbulence. The emergence of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Emotional Intelligence (EI) presents opportunities for automation, optimization, and effective leadership, but it also raises concerns about job displacement and the need to bridge the gap between these two domains. AI and Emotional Intelligence for Modern Business Management: Bridging the Gap and Nurturing Success offers solutions to closing the knowledge gap. This book provides comprehensive insights and practical strategies to academic scholars, researchers, practitioners, educators, and students. Targeting a diverse audience, this book serves as a solution-oriented resource for navigating the complexities of AI and EI in business management. By addressing both AI and EI, the book equips readers with the necessary tools to integrate these domains seamlessly into modern business management practices, stimulating informed discussions, inspiring innovative approaches, and fostering a deeper understanding of the opportunities and challenges posed by these emerging fields.
Author:
Publisher: YouGuide Ltd
Published: 2024-10-26
Total Pages: 226
ISBN-13: 1836797680
DOWNLOAD EBOOKDesigned for professionals, students, and enthusiasts alike, our comprehensive books empower you to stay ahead in a rapidly evolving digital world. * Expert Insights: Our books provide deep, actionable insights that bridge the gap between theory and practical application. * Up-to-Date Content: Stay current with the latest advancements, trends, and best practices in IT, Al, Cybersecurity, Business, Economics and Science. Each guide is regularly updated to reflect the newest developments and challenges. * Comprehensive Coverage: Whether you're a beginner or an advanced learner, Cybellium books cover a wide range of topics, from foundational principles to specialized knowledge, tailored to your level of expertise. Become part of a global network of learners and professionals who trust Cybellium to guide their educational journey. www.cybellium.com
Author: Tuomo Kuosa
Publisher: Routledge
Published: 2016-03-16
Total Pages: 282
ISBN-13: 1317032500
DOWNLOAD EBOOKEmbracing the theory and practice of strategic foresight and illuminating how different schools of thought regard its role in policy making, Tuomo Kuosa describes how something not traditionally considered an independent discipline, is steadily becoming one. In The Evolution of Strategic Foresight he explains how the practice of strategic foresight has long been closely associated with the military and politics. Linking strategic thinking more broadly to futurology, however, it is quite new. Since strategic foresight refers to the practice of generating analyses of alternative futures and strategies, based on available intelligence and foreknowledge, the practice can and should be applied to companies, business sectors, national and trans-national agencies of all descriptions, and to all aspects of public policy making. The author explains its practice in terms of structure, process, and knowledge domains, and examines its methodologies and systems, along with how strategic foresight can be used to produce better knowledge and be more effectively linked to policy making. Using examples from 30 different countries and with access to interviews and workshops involving key experts, The Evolution of Strategic Foresight will be valuable to scholars, educators, students engaged in strategy and future studies, long-range, public policy and urban planners, analysts; risk assessment experts, and consultants, managers and decision makers in many organisations, public and private.
Author: Vladimir Sucha
Publisher: Elsevier
Published: 2020-07-29
Total Pages: 288
ISBN-13: 0128225963
DOWNLOAD EBOOKScience for Policy Handbook provides advice on how to bring science to the attention of policymakers. This resource is dedicated to researchers and research organizations aiming to achieve policy impacts. The book includes lessons learned along the way, advice on new skills, practices for individual researchers, elements necessary for institutional change, and knowledge areas and processes in which to invest. It puts co-creation at the centre of Science for Policy 2.0, a more integrated model of knowledge-policy relationship. Covers the vital area of science for policymaking Includes contributions from leading practitioners from the Joint Research Centre/European Commission Provides key skills based on the science-policy interface needed for effective evidence-informed policymaking Presents processes of knowledge production relevant for a more holistic science-policy relationship, along with the types of knowledge that are useful in policymaking
Author: Robert J. Sternberg
Publisher: Springer Nature
Published: 2023-06-27
Total Pages: 402
ISBN-13: 3031267729
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis edited collection examines the interrelationships between the psychological concepts of intelligence, creativity, and wisdom, while also presenting a systematic attempt to combine them within the overarching concept of meta-intelligence. Building on Robert J. Sternberg’s previous work, this authoritative volume brings together leading researchers in the field of intelligence, creativity, and wisdom to show the latest advances in this line of research through a selection of 18 chapters. Using a wide range or approaches, including psychological, cognitive, educational, and philosophical perspectives, internationally renowned scholars offer insights into the benefits of re-thinking our understanding of intelligence, creativity, and wisdom, and how they may helpfully be more integrated. This wide-ranging collection will appeal in particular to students and scholars of cognitive, differential, social, developmental, and educational psychology, as well as creativity studies, education, philosophy, and related disciplines.