Oil Prices and the Global Economy
Oil Prices and the Global Economy

Author: Mr.Rabah Arezki

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2017-01-27

Total Pages: 30

ISBN-13: 1475572360

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This paper presents a simple macroeconomic model of the oil market. The model incorporates features of oil supply such as depletion, endogenous oil exploration and extraction, as well as features of oil demand such as the secular increase in demand from emerging-market economies, usage efficiency, and endogenous demand responses. The model provides, inter alia, a useful analytical framework to explore the effects of: a change in world GDP growth; a change in the efficiency of oil usage; and a change in the supply of oil. Notwithstanding that shale oil production today is more responsive to prices than conventional oil, our analysis suggests that an era of prolonged low oil prices is likely to be followed by a period where oil prices overshoot their long-term upward trend.

Global Implications of Lower Oil Prices
Global Implications of Lower Oil Prices

Author: Mr.Aasim M. Husain

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2015-07-14

Total Pages: 41

ISBN-13: 151357227X

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The sharp drop in oil prices is one of the most important global economic developments over the past year. The SDN finds that (i) supply factors have played a somewhat larger role than demand factors in driving the oil price drop, (ii) a substantial part of the price decline is expected to persist into the medium term, although there is large uncertainty, (iii) lower oil prices will support global growth, (iv) the sharp oil price drop could still trigger financial strains, and (v) policy responses should depend on the terms-of-trade impact, fiscal and external vulnerabilities, and domestic cyclical position.

Energy Markets Outlook Report
Energy Markets Outlook Report

Author: Great Britain. Department of Energy and Climate Change

Publisher: The Stationery Office

Published: 2009

Total Pages: 148

ISBN-13: 9780102963137

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This report presented by the Department of Energy and Climate Change, sets out the nature and potential available to the UK energy market, in meeting three long-term challenges: (i) ensuring affordable, secure and sustainable energy; (ii) bringing about the transition to a low-carbon Britain; (iii) achieving an international agreement at Copenhagen in December 2009. This is the third Energy Markets Outlook report and seeks to facilitate and inform debate and decision making by market participants and other energy market stakeholders with a factual background to the development of the Government's approach to the above challenges. The publication comprises 10 chapters, and looks at the following areas: the security of supply in a competitive energy market; electricity, gas, coal, oil, nuclear fuel, renewable energy and carbon.

An Analysis of OPEC’s Strategic Actions, US Shale Growth and the 2014 Oil Price Crash
An Analysis of OPEC’s Strategic Actions, US Shale Growth and the 2014 Oil Price Crash

Author: Mr.Alberto Behar

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2016-07-06

Total Pages: 36

ISBN-13: 1498351638

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In November 2014, OPEC announced a new strategy geared towards improving its market share. Oil-market analysts interpreted this as an attempt to squeeze higher-cost producers including US shale oil out of the market. Over the next year, crude oil prices crashed, with large repercussions for the global economy. We present a simple equilibrium model that explains the fundamental market factors that can rationalize such a "regime switch" by OPEC. These include: (i) the growth of US shale oil production; (ii) the slowdown of global oil demand; (iii) reduced cohesiveness of the OPEC cartel; (iv) production ramp-ups in other non-OPEC countries. We show that these qualitative predictions are broadly consistent with oil market developments during 2014-15. The model is calibrated to oil market data; it predicts accommodation up to 2014 and a market-share strategy thereafter, and explains large oil-price swings as well as realistically high levels of OPEC output.

The Price of Oil
The Price of Oil

Author: Roberto F. Aguilera

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2016

Total Pages: 253

ISBN-13: 1107110017

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This book explains why oil prices rose so spectacularly in the past and examines how they will be suppressed in the future.

The Future of Oil and Fiscal Sustainability in the GCC Region
The Future of Oil and Fiscal Sustainability in the GCC Region

Author: Mr.Tokhir N Mirzoev

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2020-02-06

Total Pages: 55

ISBN-13: 1513525905

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The oil market is undergoing fundamental change. New technologies are increasing the supply of oil from old and new sources, while rising concerns over the environment are seeing the world gradually moving away from oil. This spells a significant challenge for oil-exporting countries, including those of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) who account for a fifth of the world’s oil production. The GCC countries have recognized the need to reduce their reliance on oil and are all implementing reforms to diversify their economies as well as fiscal and external revenues. Nevertheless, as global oil demand is expected to peak in the next two decades, the associated fiscal imperative could be both larger and more urgent than implied by the GCC countries’ existing plans.

International Energy Agency
International Energy Agency

Author: Imad Antoine Ibrahim

Publisher: Kluwer Law International B.V.

Published: 2021-01-22

Total Pages: 224

ISBN-13: 9403529539

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Derived from the renowned multi-volume International Encyclopaedia of Laws, this practical analysis of the structure, competence, and management of International Energy Agency provides substantial and readily accessible information for lawyers, academics, and policymakers likely to have dealings with its activities and data. No other book gives such a clear, uncomplicated description of the organization’s role, its rules and how they are applied, its place in the framework of international law, or its relations with other organizations. The monograph proceeds logically from the organization’s genesis and historical development to the structure of its membership, its various organs and their mandates, its role in intergovernmental cooperation, and its interaction with decisions taken at the national level. Its competence, its financial management, and the nature and applicability of its data and publications are fully described. Systematic in presentation, this valuable time-saving resource offers the quickest, easiest way to acquire a sound understanding of the workings of International Energy Agency for all interested parties. Students and teachers of international law will find it especially valuable as an essential component of the rapidly growing and changing global legal milieu.

Profit from the Peak
Profit from the Peak

Author: Brian Hicks

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2008-06-02

Total Pages: 306

ISBN-13: 0470280174

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Profit from the Peak contains the information you need to successfully navigate the end of our oil-based economy. It takes a hard look at the future of oil and gas, examines how you can effectively invest in these resources, and profit from energy alternatives that are poised to power the years ahead. Along the way, this book also explores the potential, and possible limitations, of each major energy source, while carefully cover the investing angles of each one.