Mastering Uncertainty in Commodities Trading

Mastering Uncertainty in Commodities Trading

Author: Alex Krainer

Publisher:

Published: 2016-06-07

Total Pages:

ISBN-13: 9782955692301

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This book condenses the author's two decades of broad research into the key aspects of speculation in financial and commodity futures markets. It investigates questions such as: - What are the risks and opportunities in trading futures? - Can we learn enough about market fundamentals to have an edge? - Why do most market professionals by far underperform market benchmarks? - Why do so many speculators ultimately lose? - Can economics help us overcome uncertainty? Can quantitative analysis? - Do markets move in trends? - Can trends be exploited to consistently outperform market benchmarks? - Can trend following generate value for hedgers? - What can nature teach us about mastering uncertainty and risk? This book, woven together with the author's personal story of discovery from a humble assistant at an oil trading company to a hedge fund manager, delves deep into these and many more questions. More importantly, it provides concrete and definitive solutions as well as the results of putting those solutions to the test against the global commodity and financial markets. A promise: the material is concise, non-technical and fluff-free.


Risk, Uncertainty and Profit

Risk, Uncertainty and Profit

Author: Frank H. Knight

Publisher: Cosimo, Inc.

Published: 2006-11-01

Total Pages: 401

ISBN-13: 1602060053

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A timeless classic of economic theory that remains fascinating and pertinent today, this is Frank Knight's famous explanation of why perfect competition cannot eliminate profits, the important differences between "risk" and "uncertainty," and the vital role of the entrepreneur in profitmaking. Based on Knight's PhD dissertation, this 1921 work, balancing theory with fact to come to stunning insights, is a distinct pleasure to read. FRANK H. KNIGHT (1885-1972) is considered by some the greatest American scholar of economics of the 20th century. An economics professor at the University of Chicago from 1927 until 1955, he was one of the founders of the Chicago school of economics, which influenced Milton Friedman and George Stigler.


Grand Deception

Grand Deception

Author: Alex Krainer

Publisher:

Published: 2018-07

Total Pages: 250

ISBN-13: 9780692131954

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Bill Browder, the false crusader for justice and human rights and the self-styled No. 1 enemy of Vladimir Putin, has perpetrated a brazen and dangerous deception upon the Western world. This book traces the anatomy of this deception, unmasking the powerful forces that are pushing the Western world toward yet another great war with Russia.


Mastering Derivatives Markets

Mastering Derivatives Markets

Author: Francesca Taylor

Publisher: Pearson UK

Published: 2012-09-26

Total Pages: 397

ISBN-13: 027375999X

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"The first port of call for anyone looking to truly understand derivatives markets, appreciate the role they play within the global financial system and develop the technical knowledge to trade." Matthew Thompson, Chief Strategy & Business Development Officer, Dubai Mercantile Exchange "An essential read for anyone serious about understanding the impact of derivatives and technology on the global financial market." Kevin Thorogood, Global Head, Investment Banking/Energy Trading, Thunderhead Ltd "We have used Francesca for training on derivatives in the past. She demonstrates a passion for these markets and for learning. In a fast changing world, the combination of technical learning and practical experience that Francesca applies is helpful in keeping abreast of market developments." Rachael Hoey, Director, Business Development, CLS YOUR ESSENTIAL COMPANION TO THE DERIVATIVES MARKETS Mastering Derivatives Markets provides full up-to-the-minute explanations — with worked examples and screen shots — covering the basics of options, swaps and futures across the key asset classes: rates, currency, equity, commodity and credit. This book is relevant to anyone working within the financial markets, from the new entrant to the seasoned trader looking for updates, and to non-trading personnel working in IT, legal, compliance, risk, credit and operations. Please note that the 'look inside' feature is currently displaying the content of Mastering Derivatives Markets Third Edition, this will be updated soon. Mastering Derivatives Markets Fourth Edition has been completely revised and features new chapters on: The most up to date thinking in the market OTC clearing Regulation Benchmarking Electronic futures trading in the FX market New insights into the commodities markets Carbon trading and environmental products


Mastering the Commodities Markets

Mastering the Commodities Markets

Author: Francesca Taylor

Publisher: Pearson UK

Published: 2013-03-07

Total Pages: 388

ISBN-13: 0273770128

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An introduction to commodity markets covering specific commodities such as gold, oil, rare earths, aqua and agriculture. This is a comprehensive introduction to commodities markets, written so that you can quickly scan the book before a meeting and run through the specific chapter that interests you. Designed for the non-specialist, this book covers the topics from a practical perspective, and includes statistical data, screen shots, diagrams and worked examples.


Market Mind Games: A Radical Psychology of Investing, Trading and Risk

Market Mind Games: A Radical Psychology of Investing, Trading and Risk

Author: Denise Shull

Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional

Published: 2011-12-30

Total Pages: 289

ISBN-13: 0071761527

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Seize the advantage in every trade using your greatest asset—“psychological capital”! When it comes to investing, we're usually taught to “conquer” our emotions. Denise Shull sees it in reverse: We need to use our emotions. Combining her expertise in neuroscience with her extensive trading experience, Shull seeks to help you improve your decision making by navigating the shifting relationships among reason, analysis, emotion, and intuition. This is your “psychological capital”—and it's the key to making decisions calmly and rationally during the heat of trading. Market Mind Games explains the basics of neuroscience in language you understand, which is the first tool you need to manage the emotional ups and downs of the trading. It then provides you with a rock-solid trading system designed to take full advantage of your emotional assets.


Correlation amongst Groups of Raw Materials in the Commodities Market

Correlation amongst Groups of Raw Materials in the Commodities Market

Author: Roberto Araldi

Publisher: EGEA spa

Published: 2011-11-29T00:00:00+01:00

Total Pages: 170

ISBN-13: 8823811856

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During the present period of uncertain and sluggish growth in the economic cycle, commodities markets are more than ever under scrutiny by financial analysts. The general up-trend in staple raw materials is due to factors that traditionally capture the interest of commodities investors. They alone do not explain the extraordinary recovery characterizing prices of the main commodities. Another fundamental element explaining this phenomenon is the robust continuous purchases made by high-growth nations such as China and India. Another possible explanation states that correlations between different raw materials exist. The primary goal of this book is therefore to provide a detailed analysis of commodities markets. By focusing on existing correlations amongst various raw material groups the aim is to demonstrate that the commodities marketŐs recovery over the last year or so is strictly related to the increase in petroleum prices based on the spill-over effect. Furthermore, the book includes an investment simulation based on the correlation analyses conducted in the main body of the study. This provides empirical data to sustain the strategies and thesis herein contained.


The Trend Following Bible

The Trend Following Bible

Author: Andrew Abraham

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2012-11-30

Total Pages: 229

ISBN-13: 1118417631

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A proven approach to trading success based on the best commodity trading advisors Profiting from long-term trends is the most common path to success for traders. The challenge is recognizing the emergence of a trend and determining where to enter and exit the market. The Trend Following Bible shows individual traders and investors how to profit from this approach by trading like today's top commodity trading advisors. In this book, author Andrew Abraham stresses the importance of a disciplined, consistent methodology, with stringent risk controls, that allows you to catch big trends, while limiting losses on unprofitable trades. By trading in this manner, he shows you how to successfully achieve market-beating returns over the long term and multiple your trading capital along the way. Reveals exactly how top commodity trading advisors operate and how individuals can incorporate these methods into their everyday trading endeavors Addresses key issues like position sizing and risk control, which are critical to trading success, but often underemphasized in other trading literature Highlights how to effectively execute the trading strategies outlined Engaging and accessible, The Trend Following Bible will put you in a better position to profit as you make more informed trading decisions.


Mastering the Currency Market: Forex Strategies for High and Low Volatility Markets

Mastering the Currency Market: Forex Strategies for High and Low Volatility Markets

Author: Jay Norris

Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional

Published: 2009-12-04

Total Pages: 319

ISBN-13: 0071713700

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Make Volatility and Risk Work for You with Forex Trading! “This book should be in every trader/investor’s library. As we come out of this depressed market . . . this book can be your companion, helping you avoid mistakes and enhance your trading/investment program.” —Bill M. Williams, author of Trading Chaos “Whether you’re just getting started trading the world’s most exciting financial market, or you’re looking to add to your trading edge, [the authors] have written an engaging book packed with powerful techniques that you can use right now.” —Rob Booker, trader, author, educator, and founder and host of TraderRadio.net The foreign exchange market is the largest trading market in the world, with average daily volume well into the trillions. Because the market is always characterized by high liquidity, forex traders benefit most from volatile markets—making it the ideal investment approach today and well into the future. Mastering the Currency Market is a comprehensive guide to currency and futures trading strategies and techniques for both highly volatile and nonvolatile markets. Putting to work their vast and highly diverse experience in forex trading, the authors explain how to take advantage of the many benefits of foreign exchange trading, including its low cost of entry afforded by margin, and the dynamic pricing by nature of the competitive marketplace. Mastering the Currency Market is divided into five sections covering: The basics of trading currencies Fundamental analysis of price valuation Technical analysis and trading charts Trading philosophy and psychological discipline Volatility and risk management With four decades of combined experience, the authors clearly communicate to you a trading method that will give you the confidence to both analyze markets and execute trades successfully, regardless of underlying market conditions. As 2008 introduced nightmare scenarios for investors around the world, it was Al Gaskill’s most productive period of his trading career. He used the same trading methods spelled out in this book. Apply the lessons inside and you’ll see profits rise during periods of high market volatility, and when the market slows down, you can downshift to countertrending methods. It’s a win-win investing method, and Mastering the Currency Market leads you through it every step of the way.


Trading on Sentiment

Trading on Sentiment

Author: Richard L. Peterson

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2016-03-04

Total Pages: 317

ISBN-13: 1119163757

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In his debut book on trading psychology, Inside the Investor’s Brain, Richard Peterson demonstrated how managing emotions helps top investors outperform. Now, in Trading on Sentiment, he takes you inside the science of crowd psychology and demonstrates that not only do price patterns exist, but the most predictable ones are rooted in our shared human nature. Peterson’s team developed text analysis engines to mine data - topics, beliefs, and emotions - from social media. Based on that data, they put together a market-neutral social media-based hedge fund that beat the S&P 500 by more than twenty-four percent—through the 2008 financial crisis. In this groundbreaking guide, he shows you how they did it and why it worked. Applying algorithms to social media data opened up an unprecedented world of insight into the elusive patterns of investor sentiment driving repeating market moves. Inside, you gain a privileged look at the media content that moves investors, along with time-tested techniques to make the smart moves—even when it doesn’t feel right. This book digs underneath technicals and fundamentals to explain the primary mover of market prices - the global information flow and how investors react to it. It provides the expert guidance you need to develop a competitive edge, manage risk, and overcome our sometimes-flawed human nature. Learn how traders are using sentiment analysis and statistical tools to extract value from media data in order to: Foresee important price moves using an understanding of how investors process news. Make more profitable investment decisions by identifying when prices are trending, when trends are turning, and when sharp market moves are likely to reverse. Use media sentiment to improve value and momentum investing returns. Avoid the pitfalls of unique price patterns found in commodities, currencies, and during speculative bubbles Trading on Sentiment deepens your understanding of markets and supplies you with the tools and techniques to beat global markets— whether they’re going up, down, or sideways.