Investing in a Secular Bear Market
Investing in a Secular Bear Market

Author: Michael Alexander

Publisher: iUniverse

Published: 2005

Total Pages: 143

ISBN-13: 059534206X

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How to Invest in a Secular Bear Market is a sequel to Alexander's 2000 book Stock Cycles, which forecast the start of a secular bear market, a lengthy period of poor investment performance. Alexander describes the structure of a secular bear market and explains why they happen. He then shows what an investor can expect from this secular bear market over the next 5-10 years and provides some investing strategies. "This is a brilliant and scholarly study that looks to create longer term capital gains in retirement accounts based on cycle investing. What I found particularly fascinating was the very detailed and well-researched studies on the socio-economic/cultural cycles of change throughout history. Wear your 'thinking cap' as the author shows you how to capitalize on these cycles in your IRA and 401(k) accounts." --Mohan 21st Century Futures "This is a 'must read' for anyone interested in the business cycles and their impact on investment dynamics and making money in the stock market. The book brings together multiple cycle theories in a comprehensive reading style." --Bruce Gulliver, Editor, Torpedo Watch

Probable Outcomes
Probable Outcomes

Author: Ed Easterling

Publisher:

Published: 2011-01

Total Pages: 256

ISBN-13: 9781879384828

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Probable outcomes continues the Crestmont Research tradition of extensive full-color charts and graphs that enable investors and advisors to differentiate between irrational hope and a rational view of the stock market. This book's empowering insights prepare you to take action during the current period of below -average returns. The unique combination of investment science and investment art explores the market from several perspectives and addresses the significant implications for a broad range of investors. Beyond concepts, Ed Easterling delivers a dramatic analysis of the likely course for the stock market over the 2010 decade. Investors and advisors will benefit from this timely outlook and its message of reasonable expectations and value-added investing. This essential resource offers a compelling understanding of the key fundamental principles that drive the stock market. Derived from years of meticulous research, Probably outcomes provides sensible conclusions that will guide your future investment choices and allow you to invest with confidence, whatever your financial strategy."--

Unexpected Returns
Unexpected Returns

Author: Ed Easterling

Publisher:

Published: 2005

Total Pages: 302

ISBN-13:

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Before you read any how-to investment books or seek financial advice, read Unexpected Returns, the essential resource for investors and investment professionals who want to understand how and why the financial markets are not the same now as they were in the 1980s and 1990s. In addition to explaining the fundamentals, this book takes you on a graphic journey through the seasons of the market, tying together economics and finance to explain the stock market's cycles. Using comprehensive full-color charts and graphs, it offers an in-depth exploration of what has changed over the past five years - and what you can do about it to avoid disappointment with your investments. This unique combination of investment science and investment art will enable you to differentiate between irrational hope and a rational view of the current financial markets. Based on years of meticulous research, it provides the sensible conclusions that will drive your future investment choices and give you the confidence to rely on your investment outlook, whatever your financial strategy. Book jacket.

Tactical Management in the Secular Bear Market
Tactical Management in the Secular Bear Market

Author: Tahar Mjigal

Publisher: AuthorHouse

Published: 2010-10

Total Pages: 274

ISBN-13: 1452079471

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Tactical Management in the Secular Bear Market examines the following points: . The big picture of the market and economic variables that move the market. . The catalysts behind a new secular bull market . Market forecast. . Tactical management in the cyclical bear and bull markets . Global psychology management between clients and management team. . Tactical risk management in each market phase. The author has presented a framework for identifying the four market phases that identify the bear market and the two market phases that identify the bull market sufficiently detailed without being overly technical. The market phases were the platform to address the above points to analyze and make recommendations to advisors, fund managers, and professional traders. The author has included many interviews with fund managers, advisors, and professional traders in order to learn how they manage their risks, psychology, and portfolios in both good and bad markets.

The 17.6 Year Stock Market Cycle
The 17.6 Year Stock Market Cycle

Author: Kerry Balenthiran

Publisher: Harriman House Limited

Published: 2013-03-11

Total Pages: 83

ISBN-13: 0857193090

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How do we know where we are in the current stock market cycle? Are we in the midst of a new long term bull market or a market rally within an ongoing bear market? The answers to the above questions are critical to forming an appropriate investment strategy to plan for the future. The difference between anticipating the end of a secular (or cyclical) bull market and reacting to the significant crash that follows will have a big impact on anyone's investment returns and retirement plans. This book is concerned with cycles. A cycle is a sequence of events that repeat over time. The outcome won't necessarily be the same each time, but the underlying characteristics are the same. A good example is the seasonal cycle. Each year we have spring, summer, autumn and winter, and after winter we have spring again. But the weather can, and does, vary a great deal from one year to another. And so it is with the stock market. Kerry Balenthiran has studied stock market data going back 100 years and discovered a regular 17.6 year stock market cycle consisting of increments of 2.2 years. He has also extrapolated the cycle forwards to provide investors with a market roadmap stretching out to 2053. He describes this in detail and outlines the changing character of the stock market through the different phases of the 17.6 year stock market cycle. Whether you are an investment professional or private investor, this book provides a fascinating insight into the cyclical nature of the stock market and enables you to ensure that you have the right strategy for the prevailing stock market conditions.

Bull's Eye Investing
Bull's Eye Investing

Author: John Mauldin

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2011-07-13

Total Pages: 470

ISBN-13: 1118160924

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The era of buying and holding stocks is gone -- and will not return for some time. Now is the time to learn to target where the market is going to be, not where it has been, so you can invest successfully. Financial expert John Mauldin makes a powerful, almost irrefutable case regarding the future direction of the markets. He then details a new approach to investing that will allow you to adjust to the new reality of investing. You'll consider options beyond traditional stock portfolios as you learn to choose between the stable and secure investments that will enable you to profit in turbulent markets. Buy your copy of this must-read investment roadmap today.

Active Value Investing
Active Value Investing

Author: Vitaliy N. Katsenelson

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2012-06-15

Total Pages: 310

ISBN-13: 1118428838

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A strategy to profit when markets are range bound–which is half of the time One of the most significant challenges facing today’s active investor is how to make money during the times when markets are going nowhere. Bookshelves are groaning under the weight of titles written on investment strategy in bull markets, but there is little guidance on how to invest in range bound markets. In this book, author and respected investment portfolio manager Vitaliy Katsenelson makes a convincing case for range-bound market conditions and offers readers a practical strategy for proactive investing that improves profits. This guide provides investors with the know-how to modify the traditional, fundamentally driven strategies that they have become so accustomed to using in bull markets, so that they can work in range bound markets. It offers new approaches to margin of safety and presents terrific insights into buy and sell disciplines, international investing, "Quality, Valuation, and Growth" framework, and much more. Vitaliy Katsenelson, CFA (Denver, CO) has been involved with the investment industry since 1994. He is a portfolio manager with Investment Management Associates where he co-manages institutional and personal assets utilizing fundamental analysis. Katsenelson is a member of the CFA Institute, has served on the board of CFA Society of Colorado, and is also on the board of Retirement Investment Institute. Vitaliy is an adjunct faculty member at the University of Colorado at Denver - Graduate School of Business. He is also a regular contributor to the Financial Times, The Motley Fool, and Minyanville.com.

The Little Book of Bull's Eye Investing
The Little Book of Bull's Eye Investing

Author: John Mauldin

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2012-04-11

Total Pages: 213

ISBN-13: 1118239431

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To make money in this troubled economy you need to understand where the markets are headed, not where they?ve been. Clinging to outdated strategies and played out market trends are sure ways to miss out on new investments, and in The Little Book of Bull?s Eye Investing, acclaimed investment expert John Mauldin teaches you how to read the direction of the markets to make decisions that capitalize on today?s investment opportunities. A practical road map to what?s in store for the markets to help you stay ahead of the curve, the book debunks many of the myths that have come to govern investment logic, particularly the buy-and-hold, relative return vehicles that Wall Street peddles to unsuspecting investors. Giving you a clear view of the trends shaping the markets right now which are likely to provide investment options for the decade ahead, The Little Book of Bull?s Eye Investing teaches the value of careful research before you put your money to work. Whether the market is on its way up or down, there are always excellent opportunities to invest profitably. You just need to know where they are. Looking at how the markets have behaved in the past to make an educated prediction about where they?re going, The Little Book of Bull?s Eye Investing explains how to make investment decisions that make sense today, whether you?re trading stocks, bonds, gold, real estate, or anything else. Making the most of the markets is like hitting a moving target?difficult, but not impossible?and with The Little Book of Bull?s Eye Investing in hand, you have everything you need to improve your eye for investing and make stable and secure trading decisions that can turn a profit in even the most turbulent of times.

Investing with the Trend
Investing with the Trend

Author: Gregory L. Morris

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2013-12-31

Total Pages: 496

ISBN-13: 1118508378

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Investing with the Trend provides an abundance of evidence for adapting a rules-based approach to investing by offering something most avoid, and that is to answer the “why” one would do it this way. It explains the need to try to participate in the good markets and avoid the bad markets, with cash being considered an asset class. The book is in three primary sections and tries to leave no stone unturned in offering almost 40 years of experience in the markets. Part I – The focus is on much of the misinformation in modern finance, the inappropriate use of Gaussian statistics, the faulty assumptions with Modern Portfolio Theory, and a host of other examples. The author attempts to explain each and offer justification for his often strong opinions. Part II – After a lead chapter on the merits of technical analysis, the author offers detailed research into trend analysis, showing how to identify if a market is trending or not and how to measure it. Further research involves the concept of Drawdown, which the author adamantly states is a better measure of investor risk than the oft used and terribly wrong use of volatility as determined by standard deviation. Part III – This is where he puts it all together and shows the reader all of the steps and details on how to create a rules-based trend following investment strategy. A solid disciplined strategy consists of three parts, a measure of what the market is actually doing, a set of rules and guidelines to tell you how to invest based upon that measurement, and the discipline to follow the strategy

Buy--DON'T Hold
Buy--DON'T Hold

Author: Leslie N. Masonson

Publisher: FT Press

Published: 2010-03-01

Total Pages: 241

ISBN-13: 0138028923

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Buy-and-hold investors hope for the best over the long-term, but unfortunately, every three to four years, like clockwork, bear markets decimate their portfolios. In the last decade, there were two devastating bear markets that wiped out 50% of investor portfolio values, not once but twice. These huge losses resulted in millions of investors having to delay their retirement plans, postpone funding of college education for children and grandchildren, and delay life’s many joys. You simply can't afford to be invested during these inevitable, large-scale declines. Now, you can use an easy-to-use investing strategy that delivers better returns with far less risk than "buy and hold." Leslie N. Masonson, stock market investor, researcher and author, helps you regain control over your portfolio using low-cost, low-risk, ETFs selected with his unique “Stock Market Dashboard" that reliably signals market bottoms and tops - and can tell you exactly when to get in and out. When it is time to invest, Masonson shows how to use Relative Strength Analysis to purchase the strongest ETF market segments with the best growth potential. He provides a specific investing approach and strategy for individuals with three different levels of risk tolerance: conservative, moderate and aggressive. Replete with examples, Buy-Don't Hold contains all the easy-to-use information you need to craft an investing strategy that meets your needs, lets you sleep at night, and reaps rewards in bull and bear markets alike. Stock Trader’s Almanac 2011 Top Investment Book