Inflation Targeting, Transparency and Interest Rate Volatility

Inflation Targeting, Transparency and Interest Rate Volatility

Author: Jagjit S. Chadha

Publisher:

Published: 2005

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

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Monetary authorities often seem reluctant to discuss the conduct of monetary policy. There is a concern that greater openness in monetary policy-making may lead to volatility in financial markets, and specifically in interest rates. Although there is very little direct empirical evidence examining this concern, recent changes in the monetary policy framework of the U.K. provide an opportunity to gain some insight. Interestingly, the evidence suggests that even though volatility has indeed risen in the recent past in the U.K., there is no evidence that this volatility is directly attributable to increased information flows per se.


Inflation Targeting, Monetary Transparency and Volatility in the Norwegian Money Market, Government Bond Market and Foreign Exchange Market

Inflation Targeting, Monetary Transparency and Volatility in the Norwegian Money Market, Government Bond Market and Foreign Exchange Market

Author: Gisle Andre Unum

Publisher:

Published: 2008

Total Pages: 110

ISBN-13:

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Inflation targeting was fIrst introduced by New Zealand in the early 1990s. Then several other developed countries like Australia, Great Britain and Sweden followed up the policy of New Zealand. Parallel with the introduction of inflation targeting in different countries, the amount of research grew as well. Several papers support inflation targeting in the sense that they claim inflation targeting lowers and stabilize the inflation. To conduct inflation targeting policy, the central bank has to be transparent. Thereby, there is reason to believe that interest rates could be more stable as well, because the market should have more information about the central bank's policy. Kia (2005) constructs a market based transparency index to measure the level of transparency in the United States. This index is then used for measuring how the transparency can influence the volatility in the money market. Norway introduced inflation targeting in 2001. This research fIrst measures whether the transparency has increased after the introduction of inflation targeting in 2001. Then it uses the index to measure whether the introduction of inflation targeting and an increasing transparency influence the volatility in the money market, Government bond market and the foreign exchange market. The results show that the transparency has increased after the introduction of the inflation targeting. There is also empirical evidence of lower volatility in the money market and the Government bond market. However, it is diffIcult to draw any conclusions from the foreign exchange market.


The Role of the Exchange Rate in Inflation-Targeting Emerging Economies

The Role of the Exchange Rate in Inflation-Targeting Emerging Economies

Author: Anna Nordstrom

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2009-11-24

Total Pages: 106

ISBN-13: 1589067967

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This paper explores the role of exchange rates in emerging economies with inflation-targeting regimes, an issue that has become especially germane during the current episode of financial turmoil and volatile capital flows. Under inflation targeting, the interest rate is the main monetary policy tool for influencing activity and inflation, and there is little agreement about the appropriate role of the exchange rate.The exchange rate is a more important monetary policy tool for emerging economies that have adopted inflation targeting than it is for inflation-targeting advanced economies. Inflation-targeting emerging economies generally have less flexible exchange rate arrangements and intervene more frequently in the foreign exchange market than their advanced economy counterparts. The enhanced role of the exchange rate reflects these economies' greater vulnerability to exchange rate shocks and their less developed financial markets. However, their sharper focus on the exchange rate may cause some confusion about the commitment of their central banks to achieve the inflation target and may also complicate policy implementation. Global inflation pressures, greater exchange rate volatility, and the financial stresses from the global financial turmoil that began in mid-2007 are heightening these tensions.


Why Inflation Targeting?

Why Inflation Targeting?

Author: Charles Freedman

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2009-04-01

Total Pages: 27

ISBN-13: 145187233X

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This is the second chapter of a forthcoming monograph entitled "On Implementing Full-Fledged Inflation-Targeting Regimes: Saying What You Do and Doing What You Say." We begin by discussing the costs of inflation, including their role in generating boom-bust cycles. Following a general discussion of the need for a nominal anchor, we describe a specific type of monetary anchor, the inflation-targeting regime, and its two key intellectual roots-the absence of long-run trade-offs and the time-inconsistency problem. We conclude by providing a brief introduction to the way in which inflation targeting works.


Monetary Policies and Inflation Targeting in Emerging Economies

Monetary Policies and Inflation Targeting in Emerging Economies

Author: de Mello Luiz

Publisher: OECD Publishing

Published: 2008-04-15

Total Pages: 178

ISBN-13: 9264044639

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This book, based on the proceedings of a conference organised by the OECD and the Bank of England's Centre for Banking Studies, examines cross-country issues related to the conduct of monetary policy in emerging markets and the role of inflation targeting in improving macroeconomic performance.


Comparing Inflation Targeting and Price Level Targeting

Comparing Inflation Targeting and Price Level Targeting

Author: Seppo Honkapohja

Publisher:

Published: 2015

Total Pages: 41

ISBN-13:

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We examine global dynamics under learning in New Keynesian models with price level targeting that is subject to the zero lower bound. The role of forward guidance is analyzed under transparency about the policy rule. Properties of transparent and non-transparent regimes are compared to each other and to the corresponding cases of inflation targeting. Robustness properties for different regimes are examined in terms of the domain of attraction of the targeted steady state and volatility of inflation, output and interest rate. We analyze the effect of higher inflation targets and large expectational shocks for the performance of these policy regimes.


Advancing the Frontiers of Monetary Policy

Advancing the Frontiers of Monetary Policy

Author: Tobias Adrian

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2018-04-13

Total Pages: 297

ISBN-13: 148432594X

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Contributors working at the International Monetary Fund present 14 chapters on the development of monetary policy over the past quarter century through the lens of the evolution of inflation-forecast targeting. They describe the principles and practices of inflation-forecast targeting, including managing expectations, the implementation of a forecasting and policy analysis system, monetary operations, monetary policy and financial stability, financial conditions, and transparency and communications; aspects of inflation-forecast targeting in Canada, the Czech Republic, India, and the US; and monetary policy challenges faced by low-income countries and how inflation-forecast targeting can provide an anchor in countries with different economic structures and circumstances.