Inference for Heavy-Tailed Data

Inference for Heavy-Tailed Data

Author: Liang Peng

Publisher: Academic Press

Published: 2017-08-11

Total Pages: 182

ISBN-13: 012804750X

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Heavy tailed data appears frequently in social science, internet traffic, insurance and finance. Statistical inference has been studied for many years, which includes recent bias-reduction estimation for tail index and high quantiles with applications in risk management, empirical likelihood based interval estimation for tail index and high quantiles, hypothesis tests for heavy tails, the choice of sample fraction in tail index and high quantile inference. These results for independent data, dependent data, linear time series and nonlinear time series are scattered in different statistics journals. Inference for Heavy-Tailed Data Analysis puts these methods into a single place with a clear picture on learning and using these techniques. - Contains comprehensive coverage of new techniques of heavy tailed data analysis - Provides examples of heavy tailed data and its uses - Brings together, in a single place, a clear picture on learning and using these techniques


The Fundamentals of Heavy Tails

The Fundamentals of Heavy Tails

Author: Jayakrishnan Nair

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2022-06-09

Total Pages: 266

ISBN-13: 1009062964

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Heavy tails –extreme events or values more common than expected –emerge everywhere: the economy, natural events, and social and information networks are just a few examples. Yet after decades of progress, they are still treated as mysterious, surprising, and even controversial, primarily because the necessary mathematical models and statistical methods are not widely known. This book, for the first time, provides a rigorous introduction to heavy-tailed distributions accessible to anyone who knows elementary probability. It tackles and tames the zoo of terminology for models and properties, demystifying topics such as the generalized central limit theorem and regular variation. It tracks the natural emergence of heavy-tailed distributions from a wide variety of general processes, building intuition. And it reveals the controversy surrounding heavy tails to be the result of flawed statistics, then equips readers to identify and estimate with confidence. Over 100 exercises complete this engaging package.


Nonparametric Analysis of Univariate Heavy-Tailed Data

Nonparametric Analysis of Univariate Heavy-Tailed Data

Author: Natalia Markovich

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2008-03-11

Total Pages: 336

ISBN-13: 9780470723593

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Heavy-tailed distributions are typical for phenomena in complex multi-component systems such as biometry, economics, ecological systems, sociology, web access statistics, internet traffic, biblio-metrics, finance and business. The analysis of such distributions requires special methods of estimation due to their specific features. These are not only the slow decay to zero of the tail, but also the violation of Cramer’s condition, possible non-existence of some moments, and sparse observations in the tail of the distribution. The book focuses on the methods of statistical analysis of heavy-tailed independent identically distributed random variables by empirical samples of moderate sizes. It provides a detailed survey of classical results and recent developments in the theory of nonparametric estimation of the probability density function, the tail index, the hazard rate and the renewal function. Both asymptotical results, for example convergence rates of the estimates, and results for the samples of moderate sizes supported by Monte-Carlo investigation, are considered. The text is illustrated by the application of the considered methodologies to real data of web traffic measurements.


Heavy Tails And Copulas: Topics In Dependence Modelling In Economics And Finance

Heavy Tails And Copulas: Topics In Dependence Modelling In Economics And Finance

Author: Rustam Ibragimov

Publisher: World Scientific

Published: 2017-02-24

Total Pages: 303

ISBN-13: 9814689815

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'Overall, the book is highly technical, including full mathematical proofs of the results stated. Potential readers are post-graduate students or researchers in Quantitative Risk Management willing to have a manual with the state-of-the-art on portfolio diversification and risk aggregation with heavy tails, including the fundamental theorems as well as collateral (but most useful) results on majorization and copula theory.'Quantitative Finance This book offers a unified approach to the study of crises, large fluctuations, dependence and contagion effects in economics and finance. It covers important topics in statistical modeling and estimation, which combine the notions of copulas and heavy tails — two particularly valuable tools of today's research in economics, finance, econometrics and other fields — in order to provide a new way of thinking about such vital problems as diversification of risk and propagation of crises through financial markets due to contagion phenomena, among others. The aim is to arm today's economists with a toolbox suited for analyzing multivariate data with many outliers and with arbitrary dependence patterns. The methods and topics discussed and used in the book include, in particular, majorization theory, heavy-tailed distributions and copula functions — all applied to study robustness of economic, financial and statistical models, and estimation methods to heavy tails and dependence.


Heavy-Tailed Distributions and Robustness in Economics and Finance

Heavy-Tailed Distributions and Robustness in Economics and Finance

Author: Marat Ibragimov

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2015-05-23

Total Pages: 131

ISBN-13: 3319168770

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This book focuses on general frameworks for modeling heavy-tailed distributions in economics, finance, econometrics, statistics, risk management and insurance. A central theme is that of (non-)robustness, i.e., the fact that the presence of heavy tails can either reinforce or reverse the implications of a number of models in these fields, depending on the degree of heavy-tailed ness. These results motivate the development and applications of robust inference approaches under heavy tails, heterogeneity and dependence in observations. Several recently developed robust inference approaches are discussed and illustrated, together with applications.


Resampling Methods for Dependent Data

Resampling Methods for Dependent Data

Author: S. N. Lahiri

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2013-03-09

Total Pages: 382

ISBN-13: 147573803X

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By giving a detailed account of bootstrap methods and their properties for dependent data, this book provides illustrative numerical examples throughout. The book fills a gap in the literature covering research on re-sampling methods for dependent data that has witnessed vigorous growth over the last two decades but remains scattered in various statistics and econometrics journals. It can be used as a graduate level text and also as a research monograph for statisticians and econometricians.


A Practical Guide to Heavy Tails

A Practical Guide to Heavy Tails

Author: Robert Adler

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 1998-10-26

Total Pages: 560

ISBN-13: 9780817639518

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Twenty-four contributions, intended for a wide audience from various disciplines, cover a variety of applications of heavy-tailed modeling involving telecommunications, the Web, insurance, and finance. Along with discussion of specific applications are several papers devoted to time series analysis, regression, classical signal/noise detection problems, and the general structure of stable processes, viewed from a modeling standpoint. Emphasis is placed on developments in handling the numerical problems associated with stable distribution (a main technical difficulty until recently). No index. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR


Empirical Process Techniques for Dependent Data

Empirical Process Techniques for Dependent Data

Author: Herold Dehling

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-12-06

Total Pages: 378

ISBN-13: 1461200997

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Empirical process techniques for independent data have been used for many years in statistics and probability theory. These techniques have proved very useful for studying asymptotic properties of parametric as well as non-parametric statistical procedures. Recently, the need to model the dependence structure in data sets from many different subject areas such as finance, insurance, and telecommunications has led to new developments concerning the empirical distribution function and the empirical process for dependent, mostly stationary sequences. This work gives an introduction to this new theory of empirical process techniques, which has so far been scattered in the statistical and probabilistic literature, and surveys the most recent developments in various related fields. Key features: A thorough and comprehensive introduction to the existing theory of empirical process techniques for dependent data * Accessible surveys by leading experts of the most recent developments in various related fields * Examines empirical process techniques for dependent data, useful for studying parametric and non-parametric statistical procedures * Comprehensive bibliographies * An overview of applications in various fields related to empirical processes: e.g., spectral analysis of time-series, the bootstrap for stationary sequences, extreme value theory, and the empirical process for mixing dependent observations, including the case of strong dependence. To date this book is the only comprehensive treatment of the topic in book literature. It is an ideal introductory text that will serve as a reference or resource for classroom use in the areas of statistics, time-series analysis, extreme value theory, point process theory, and applied probability theory. Contributors: P. Ango Nze, M.A. Arcones, I. Berkes, R. Dahlhaus, J. Dedecker, H.G. Dehling,


Statistics of Extremes

Statistics of Extremes

Author: Jan Beirlant

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2004-10-15

Total Pages: 516

ISBN-13: 9780471976479

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Research in the statistical analysis of extreme values has flourished over the past decade: new probability models, inference and data analysis techniques have been introduced; and new application areas have been explored. Statistics of Extremes comprehensively covers a wide range of models and application areas, including risk and insurance: a major area of interest and relevance to extreme value theory. Case studies are introduced providing a good balance of theory and application of each model discussed, incorporating many illustrated examples and plots of data. The last part of the book covers some interesting advanced topics, including time series, regression, multivariate and Bayesian modelling of extremes, the use of which has huge potential.