Indian Natural Gas Price Sensitivity and Scenario Analysis

Indian Natural Gas Price Sensitivity and Scenario Analysis

Author: Sandesh Ghandat

Publisher:

Published: 2018

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

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A study was initiated to understand the entire value chain of Natural Gas in India. Natural gas industry started developing since 1960s in India. Two government organizations Oil and Natural Gas Corporation (ONGC) and Oil India Limited (OIL) started exploring blocks in search of more Natural Gas in India. This was called the nomination regime. Later private companies were allowed to enter into exploration through joint ventures (JVs) under pre-NELP regime. From the implementation of NELP in 1999 100% Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) was allowed in exploration business to enhance self sufficiency of India in crude oil and natural gas. Discoveries were made in Gujarat, KG basin, Cauvery basin, Tripura, Assam etc. The discovery at KG-D6 basin by Reliance Industries Limited (RIL) was very huge and had promised substantial reduction on imports by India but the sudden drop in production from the field came as a setback. Since the domestic production was insufficient to meet the growing demands of the country, India had to resort to import of natural gas. Transportation of natural gas is the major barrier in the natural gas business. Pipeline transport was the only mode developed by this industry. Accordingly Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India (TAPI) pipeline, Iran-Pakistan-India (IPI) Pipeline and Myanmar-Bangladesh-India (MBI) pipeline were planned by India to import Natural gas to reduce the supply demand gap but unfortunately none of them took off, the first two due to geopolitics between India and Pakistan. This is when transport of natural gas in the form of Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) gained momentum in the Natural gas industry and India started building regasification terminals on the western coast of India due to the source of supplies mainly concentrated on the western side. India hence struck a long term deal with Qatar for 20 years to source LNG from them.


Natural Gas in India

Natural Gas in India

Author: Anil Kumar Jain

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2022-09-02

Total Pages: 233

ISBN-13: 1000656160

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Presents a well-structured and robust thesis on the challenges and opportunities for natural gas in India’s energy future Draw upon key insights, lessons, and way forward from the gas sector reform process Addresses the energy transition scenario towards a net zero Includes comparative Analysis of India’s diversity of commercial primary energy supply Uses granular data and visual representations of the same to convey the key arguments


The Indian energy sector. A complete analysis with respect to the natural gas cross country pipeline TAPI

The Indian energy sector. A complete analysis with respect to the natural gas cross country pipeline TAPI

Author: Sandesh Ghandat

Publisher: GRIN Verlag

Published: 2016-08-30

Total Pages: 92

ISBN-13: 3668287384

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Master's Thesis from the year 2016 in the subject Energy Sciences, grade: 8.5, University of Petroleum and Energy Studies, course: MBA in oil and gas management, language: English, abstract: This paper examines the Indian energy sector with special focus on the TAPI pipeline. The distance from major fossil fuel-rich countries to Indian borders are not more than 1000 to 2000 km either by sea or land route. The best possible mode for importing natural gas is the trans-national pipelines from Turkmenistan, Myanmar or Iran. Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan and India Pipeline - the “TAPI Pipeline” is a 1735 km long land pipeline travelling through these countries. This pipeline will have an annual discharge capacity of 33BCM and will play a crucial role for domestic demand and supply. The research objective of this thesis is to analyze different actors in risk, their role in the risks and their possible long term impacts. These risks are categorized as security, price, geopolitics, environment, legal, economical, production and demand-supply. The study develops some scenarios on the basis of changing circumstances, and examines some pertinent issues regarding the pipeline’s technical feasibility.


Indian Natural Gas Scenario and Analysis of Shale Gas with Porter's Five Forces Model

Indian Natural Gas Scenario and Analysis of Shale Gas with Porter's Five Forces Model

Author: Sandesh Ghandat

Publisher:

Published: 2015

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

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With the increasing of energy demand and environmental pressure, Indian government has been exploring a way for different unconventional sources of energy supply. Shale gas development is becoming an important energy strategy in India in past couple of years due to significant shale gas reserves. However, the shale gas market is preliminarily shaping in India, so that many factors have great influence on its competition. To find these factors and to control them rationally is good for the growth of Indian shale gas market. Five forces model for industry analysis puts an insight into the competitive landscape of shale gas market by showing the forces of supplier power, buyer power, threat of substitution, barriers to entry, and degree of rivalry. Illustrating the key factors that affect competitive landscape provides a view into the situation of shale gas industry. The variation tendency of shale gas industry is analyzed by setting various scenarios. Finally, some suggestions are proposed in order to keep the development of Indian shale gas industry positively.


Natural Gas Pricing in India

Natural Gas Pricing in India

Author: B. S. Negi

Publisher:

Published: 2012

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

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In India the natural gas market which has a very slow growth initially during the period of eighties, has now witnessing an asymptotic growth soon after import of LNG in 2004 and KG D-6 gas flow in 2009. India's hydrocarbon vision statement envisages the share of natural gas to be about 25% by 2025. Traditionally the power and the fertilizer sectors require the maximum amount of gas. In the future also the trend is expected to be same. According to a 'Study on Common Pool Price Mechanism for Natural Gas in the country' prepared by Mercados Energy Markets India Private Limited in January, 2010, it was estimated that demand would originate by about 70-75% from power and fertilizer sectors alone. The power and fertilizer sectors are sensitive to price volatility. Power tariffs are regulated and the fertilizer price is also controlled by the Government. The return on investment is assured by providing subsidies. In both these cases, as a social commitment, the Government considers itself as a major customer and the subsidy is provided through PSUs and the Government treasury. Generally, the prices of LNG in the Asia Pacific basin are linked to crude oil. This leads to volatility in the prices and higher price levels as compared to existing natural gas supply basket. It thus becomes important to consider alternative arrangements that permit new supplies without compromising the interest of the consumers. One way of assuring this is by pooling arrangements, but it has its own repercussions.. Presently, different prices of natural gas prevail in the country. Before the KG D-6 gas production commenced, almost 40% of the total gas being supplied was based on APM. Even in this, there are different prices which prevailed for the priority sectors, i.e. power and fertilizer, North Eastern region and the non-priority sectors. Another complexity is that seven more types of prices are prevalent for gas coming out of Production Sharing Contracts, be it from PMT, RAVVA, KG basin or other fields. Third category is LNG, which is available broadly at the prices based on buyer-seller contracts. With limited pipeline Infrastructure, different production costs for conventional and unconventional gas, the gas market still has regional characteristics and a single price throughout the country would be a dream. In addition the transportation tariff and the tax structure have direct bearing on the cost of natural gas to the customer. This paper reviews the systems and practice adopted in India for Gas pricing and compares them with international practices regarding price pooling, tariff setting and tax structure and tries to analyze the extent to which these can be applied for India. Given the circumstances, a truly market determined price of natural gas would be in the larger interest of the consumers. It would also help to develop the natural gas market in the country.


Natural Gas in India

Natural Gas in India

Author: Anil Kumar Jain

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2022-09-02

Total Pages: 214

ISBN-13: 1000656209

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This book provides a detailed discussion on India’s energy mix including descriptive use of the Shannon Wiener diversity index for numerically comparing India’s diversity in energy supply with other leading energy-consuming countries. The likely supply scenarios of both domestic and imported gas, and price competitiveness with competing fuels in differing consuming sectors, have also been presented. Overall, it covers energy systems, a comparison of the Indian natural gas economy with other countries and a scenario-based analysis of gas demand in India in 2030. Features: Presents a well-structured and robust thesis on the challenges and opportunities for natural gas in India’s energy future. Draws upon key insights, lessons and ways forward from the gas sector reform process. Addresses the energy transition scenario towards net zero. Includes comparative analysis of India’s diversity of commercial primary energy supply. Uses granular data and visual representations of the same to convey the key arguments. This book is aimed at oil and gas industry stakeholders including professionals, business executives, techno-managerial personnel and students in chemical engineering.


The Economics of Iran-Pakistan-India Natural Gas Pipeline

The Economics of Iran-Pakistan-India Natural Gas Pipeline

Author: Anoop Singh

Publisher:

Published: 2019

Total Pages:

ISBN-13:

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This paper examines the economics of the landed price of natural gas in India through the Iran-Pakistan-India pipeline in comparison with the existing agreements for the import of liquefied natural gas. It reviews the natural gas demand and supply scenario in India, and assesses the efficacy of the pipeline in the context of energy security. The paper analyses the economics of natural gas supply from IPI pipeline in terms of cost of power generation and the cost of delivered power to consumers. It also briefly discusses the process of negotiations for the IPI pipeline.


Alternatives to the Indian Point Energy Center for Meeting New York Electric Power Needs

Alternatives to the Indian Point Energy Center for Meeting New York Electric Power Needs

Author: National Research Council

Publisher: National Academies Press

Published: 2006-10-27

Total Pages: 196

ISBN-13: 0309101727

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Since the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks on the World Trade Center, many in the New York City area have become concerned about the possible consequences of a similar attack on the Indian Point nuclear power plantsâ€"located about 40 miles from Manhattan, and have made calls for their closure. Any closure, however, would require actions to replace the 2000 MW of power supplied by the plants. To examine this issue in detail, the Congress directed DOE to request a study from the NRC of options for replacing the power. This report presents detailed review of both demand and supply options for replacing that power as well as meeting expected demand growth in the region. It also assesses institutional considerations for these options along with their expected impacts. Finally, the report provides an analysis of scenarios for implementing the replacement options using simulation modeling.


China’s Gas Development Strategies

China’s Gas Development Strategies

Author: Shell International B.V.

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2017-11-23

Total Pages: 515

ISBN-13: 3319597345

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This book is open access under a CC BY 4.0 license. This book examines how China can increase the share of natural gas in its energy system. China’s energy strategy has global ramifications and impact, and central to this strategy is the country’s transition from coal to gas. The book presents the culmination of a two-year collaboration between the Development Research Center of the State Council (DRC) and Shell. With the Chinese government’s strategic aim to increase the share of gas in the energy mix from 5.8% in 2014 to 10% and 15% in 2020 and 2030 respectively, the book outlines how China can achieve its gas targets. Providing both quantifiable metrics and policy measures for the transition, it is a much needed addition to the literature on Chinese energy policy. The research and the resulting recommendations of this study have fed directly into the Chinese government’s 13th Five-Year Plan, and provide unique insights into the Chinese government and policy-making. Due to its global impact, the book is a valuable resource for policy makers in both China and the rest of the world.