GLOWA Jordan River Scenarios of Regional Development Under Global Change
Author:
Publisher: kassel university press GmbH
Published: 2009
Total Pages: 34
ISBN-13: 3899588010
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Land-use modelling in the GLOWA Jordan River Project
Author: Volland, Jan
Publisher: kassel university press GmbH
Published: 2014-01-01
Total Pages: 63
ISBN-13: 3862195333
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis report presents the results from the land-use simulation study which has been carried out at the Center for Environmental Systems Research (CESR) as part of the GLOWA Jordan River project1 (sub-project 3.3.). A central objective of GLOWA Jordan River was to analyse the vulnerability of water resources in the Jordan River basin under the influence of global change. In this context the land-modelling system LandSHIFT.JR has been adapted and applied to calculate spatially explicit scenarios of land-use change on the territories of Israel, Jordan and the Palestinian Authority (PA), and the resulting impacts on ecosystem service values. The simulation results served as input for further studies within the project context, e.g. related to water availability (Menzel et al. 2009) and the GLOWA Jordan River Atlas. After an introduction, chapter 3 gives an overview of the materials and methods used to conduct the simulation study. First, the LandSHIFT.JR model is described, followed by a short introduction to the scenarios which were developed within the GLOWA Jordan River project. The quantitative model drivers that were derived from these scenarios are discussed in the last part of the chapter. In chapter 4 exemplary simulation results from LandSHIFT.JR are presented. These raster maps include information on the change of land-use types and population density as well as on livestock grazing and ecosystem service values. Starting year of the simulations was 2000 while the scenarios were specified up to the year 2050. A complete set of simulated maps is included in the annexes.
Modeling the Impacts of Land-use Change on Ecosystems at the Regional and Continental Scale
Author: Jennifer Koch
Publisher: kassel university press GmbH
Published: 2010
Total Pages: 147
ISBN-13: 3899589653
DOWNLOAD EBOOK7.2.1. Input data and model initialization -- 7.2.2. Geographic distribution of vascular plant diversity -- 7.2.3. Estimation of area potentials for agriculture and their spatial correlation to regions with high vascular plant diversity -- 7.2.4. Assessment of land-use and land-cover change impacts -- 7.2.5. Scenario drivers -- 7.3. Results -- 7.3.1. Area potentials for agricultural activities -- 7.3.2. Scenario analysis -- 7.4. Discussion -- 7.5. Conclusions -- 8. Synthesis -- 8.1. Summary of findings -- 8.1.1. Modeling the feedback between stocking density and biomass productivity -- 8.1.2. Quantifying the environmental impact of grazing in Jordan -- 8.1.3. Future land-use and land-cover change scenarios for the Jordan River region -- 8.1.4. Assessment of future conflicts between agricultural land use and biodiversity in Africa -- 8.2. Outlook on further research -- 9. Bibliography -- A. Nonlinear correlation functionsbetween stocking density andbiomass productivity -- B. Input specification -- C. Land-use and land-cover maps for the simulation experimenton future conflicts between agricultural land use and biodiversity in Africa -- Back cover
Integrated Water Resources Management: Concept, Research and Implementation
Author: Dietrich Borchardt
Publisher: Springer
Published: 2016-04-19
Total Pages: 768
ISBN-13: 331925071X
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis book reviews the concept, contemporary research efforts and the implementation of Integrated Water Resources Management (IWRM). The IWRM concept was established as an international guiding water management paradigm in the early 1990ies and has become a vital approach to solving the problems associated with the topic of water. The book summarizes fourteen comprehensive IWRM research projects with worldwide coverage and analyses their motivations, settings, approaches and implementation of results. Aiming to be an up-to-date interdisciplinary scientific reference, this book provides a comprehensive theoretical and empirical analysis of contemporary IWRM research, examples of science based implementations and a synthesis of the lessons learnt. It concludes with some major future challenges, the solving of which will further strengthen the IWRM concept.
Scenario-based impact assessment of global and regional change on the semi-natural flow regime
Author: Mikołaj Piniewski
Publisher: Anchor Academic Publishing (aap_verlag)
Published: 2014-12
Total Pages: 209
ISBN-13: 395489274X
DOWNLOAD EBOOKGlobally, freshwater ecosystems are considered to be under severe threat from human pressure and climate change (Vörösmarty et al., 2010). Malmqvist and Rundle (2002) suggest that running water is the most impacted upon ecosystem on Earth due to being surrounded by dense human settlements and exploited for domestic and industrial water supply, irrigation, electricity generation and waste disposal. For example, the progressive over-exploitation of surface water resources for irrigation and urban uses in the Colorado River Basin has resulted most years in no runoff reaching the river’s delta (Gleick, 2003). [...] Hereafter, natural and anthropogenic driving forces will be referred to as global and regional driving forces, respectively. The future effects of these forces up to the 2050s will be assessed in quantitative scenarios implemented in a hydrological model. It is believed that using this nomenclature (i.e. global and regional instead of natural and anthropogenic) better reflects considered environmental stressors, since global-scale driving forces will include not only climatic change but also changes in CO2, atmospheric carbon dioxide and plant physiological parameters, whereas regional-scale driving forces will include changes in land use, agriculture development and agricultural water management. Hence, the difference is that the first group of driving forces acts globally and independently on the study area, whereas the second group includes factors that are specific to the study area. Furthermore, in order to expand on the title of this thesis, impacts in the present study will be assessed not only on the flow regime as such, but also on its ecological functions, i.e. on the environmental flow regime. This is motivated mainly by the semi-natural character of the study area, that is unique in Poland and in Europe, but it also underlines the novelty of this thesis, as going beyond the pure impacts on the flow regime in a scenario-modelling framework is rare in hydrological science, if achieved at all.
Food security and climate change in dry areas: Proceedings of the International conference on Food Security and Climate Change in Dry Areas Amman, Jordan 1-4 Feb 2010.
Author:
Publisher: ICARDA
Published:
Total Pages: 379
ISBN-13: 9291272485
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAdaptation to Climate Change through Water Resources Management
Author: Dominic Stucker
Publisher: Routledge
Published: 2014-08-27
Total Pages: 483
ISBN-13: 1136200398
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThe impacts of human-induced climate change are largely mediated by water, such as alterations in precipitation and glacial melt patterns, variations in river flow, increased occurrence of droughts and floods, and sea level rise in densely populated coastal areas. Such phenomena impact both urban and rural communities in developed, emerging, and developing countries. Taking a systems approach, this book analyzes evidence from 26 countries and identifies common barriers and bridges for local adaptation to climate change through water resources management. It includes a global set of case studies from places experiencing increased environmental and social pressure due to population growth, development and migration, including in Africa, Asia, Australia, Europe, North and South America. All chapters consider the crosscutting themes of adaptive capacity, equity, and sustainability. These point to resilient water allocation policies and practices that are capable of protecting social and environmental interests, whilst ensuring the efficient use of an often-scarce resource.
Knowledge-Based Decision Support for Integrated Water Resources Management with an Application for Wadi Shueib, Jordan
Author: David Riepl
Publisher: KIT Scientific Publishing
Published: 2014-05-13
Total Pages: 271
ISBN-13: 3731500116
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis book takes a two-staged approach to contribute to the contemporary Integrated Water Resources Management (IWRM) research. First it investigates sub-basin-scale IWRM modelling and scenario planning. The Jordanian Wadi Shueib is used as exemplary case study. Then, it develops a framework to collaboratively manage planning and decision making knowledge on the basis of semantic web technologies. Future IWRM initiatives can benefit from the valuable insights achieved in the presented study.
Climate Change, Human Security and Violent Conflict
Author: Jürgen Scheffran
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Published: 2012-05-26
Total Pages: 869
ISBN-13: 3642286267
DOWNLOAD EBOOKSevere droughts, damaging floods and mass migration: Climate change is becoming a focal point for security and conflict research and a challenge for the world’s governance structures. But how severe are the security risks and conflict potentials of climate change? Could global warming trigger a sequence of events leading to economic decline, social unrest and political instability? What are the causal relationships between resource scarcity and violent conflict? This book brings together international experts to explore these questions using in-depth case studies from around the world. Furthermore, the authors discuss strategies, institutions and cooperative approaches to stabilize the climate-society interaction.
Environmental Futures
Author: J. Alcamo
Publisher: Elsevier
Published: 2008-10-10
Total Pages: 212
ISBN-13: 0080932983
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAs scientists and policymakers try to come to grips with problems such as climate change and risks to biodiversity, they turn more and more frequently to the method of scenario analysis to better understand the future of these problems. Over the last few years scenario analysis has become one of the key tools for bridging environmental science and policy. This is the first book to sum up the current practice of environmental scenario analysis and to propose directions for improving its quality and effectiveness. Chapters are written by an international group of distinguished scenario experts and provide an excellent starting basis for first-time scenario practitioners, as well as a collection of new ideas on improving scenario practice for experienced scenario analysts.* Comprehensive coverage and overview on environmental scenario analysis from a team of international experts* First book to address key contemporary issues involved with environmental scenario analysis* Gives guidelines for best practicesBenefits:* Excellent starting base for first-time scenario practitioners* Helps the reader to interpret scenarios and to place them into the correct context
