Fragile, Error-Prone And Idiosyncratic Behaviour: Informational Cascades

Fragile, Error-Prone And Idiosyncratic Behaviour: Informational Cascades

Author: Andreas Heller

Publisher: diplom.de

Published: 2003-01-15

Total Pages: 79

ISBN-13: 3832462996

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Inhaltsangabe:Abstract: Macroeconomics deals with the behaviour of the economy altogether and concentrates on fundamental and actual economic problems. Microeconomics deals with the behaviour of individuals and the aggregation of their actions in different institutional frameworks. Thus, both micro- and macroeconomics are doctrines to describe and understand individuals behaviour, activities and outcomes. So, why does one try to better understand? Individuals are curious , is a popular explanation. Another is that understanding may lead to a better outcome for individuals. There exist a lot of patterns of behaviour. One behaviour pattern is the so-called uniform behaviour. Imitation and mimicry belong to the basic instincts of every human being. Indeed, these patterns do not make immediate sense in terms of traditional macro- or microeconomic models. Still, they may be rational for an individual or a group of individuals. Learning by observing other individuals past actions and decisions may be of help to explain some otherwise puzzling phenomena about human behaviour. Apprehending individuals behaviour is not straightforward. It is not only profit or utility maximising that drives individuals minds. Sometimes, individuals just act because others act. An Informational Cascade is a situation in which every subsequent individual, based on the observation of others, makes the same choice or decision independent of his private information. Informational Cascades are present in our everyday life and in fields such as Economics, Politics, Scientific Theory, Finance or Zoology. The fact that this phenomenon does appear in innumerable situations is my motivation to closer examine Informational Cascades. Economics and above all economic behaviour is more than Statistics or Mathematics. It is Anthropology and Psychology as well. To combine and describe economics with the behaviour patterns of human beings, above all Informational Cascades and its environment , is the base of my licentiate. To link this phenomenon to economics and to bring it in an economic context, one has to grasp what exactly an Informational Cascade does describe. Why can one define an Informational Cascade as a gap between the practiced and the preached? Definitions and a simple example are given at the beginning of chapter two, followed by a characterisation of an Informational Cascade. The characterisation deals with the brittleness, idiosyncrasy and the error-sensitivity of [...]


The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics

The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics

Author:

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2016-05-18

Total Pages: 7493

ISBN-13: 1349588024

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The award-winning The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2nd edition is now available as a dynamic online resource. Consisting of over 1,900 articles written by leading figures in the field including Nobel prize winners, this is the definitive scholarly reference work for a new generation of economists. Regularly updated! This product is a subscription based product.


Rational Herds

Rational Herds

Author: Christophe Chamley

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2004

Total Pages: 420

ISBN-13: 9780521530927

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World Development Report 1978

World Development Report 1978

Author:

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 1978

Total Pages: 135

ISBN-13: 0821372823

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This first report deals with some of the major development issues confronting the developing countries and explores the relationship of the major trends in the international economy to them. It is designed to help clarify some of the linkages between the international economy and domestic strategies in the developing countries against the background of growing interdependence and increasing complexity in the world economy. It assesses the prospects for progress in accelerating growth and alleviating poverty, and identifies some of the major policy issues which will affect these prospects.


Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications

Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications

Author: Mr.Stijn Claessens

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2013-01-30

Total Pages: 66

ISBN-13: 1475561008

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This paper reviews the literature on financial crises focusing on three specific aspects. First, what are the main factors explaining financial crises? Since many theories on the sources of financial crises highlight the importance of sharp fluctuations in asset and credit markets, the paper briefly reviews theoretical and empirical studies on developments in these markets around financial crises. Second, what are the major types of financial crises? The paper focuses on the main theoretical and empirical explanations of four types of financial crises—currency crises, sudden stops, debt crises, and banking crises—and presents a survey of the literature that attempts to identify these episodes. Third, what are the real and financial sector implications of crises? The paper briefly reviews the short- and medium-run implications of crises for the real economy and financial sector. It concludes with a summary of the main lessons from the literature and future research directions.


Translational Research in Traumatic Brain Injury

Translational Research in Traumatic Brain Injury

Author: Daniel Laskowitz

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2016-04-21

Total Pages: 388

ISBN-13: 1498766579

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Traumatic brain injury (TBI) remains a significant source of death and permanent disability, contributing to nearly one-third of all injury related deaths in the United States and exacting a profound personal and economic toll. Despite the increased resources that have recently been brought to bear to improve our understanding of TBI, the developme


Statistical Rethinking

Statistical Rethinking

Author: Richard McElreath

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2018-01-03

Total Pages: 488

ISBN-13: 1315362619

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Statistical Rethinking: A Bayesian Course with Examples in R and Stan builds readers’ knowledge of and confidence in statistical modeling. Reflecting the need for even minor programming in today’s model-based statistics, the book pushes readers to perform step-by-step calculations that are usually automated. This unique computational approach ensures that readers understand enough of the details to make reasonable choices and interpretations in their own modeling work. The text presents generalized linear multilevel models from a Bayesian perspective, relying on a simple logical interpretation of Bayesian probability and maximum entropy. It covers from the basics of regression to multilevel models. The author also discusses measurement error, missing data, and Gaussian process models for spatial and network autocorrelation. By using complete R code examples throughout, this book provides a practical foundation for performing statistical inference. Designed for both PhD students and seasoned professionals in the natural and social sciences, it prepares them for more advanced or specialized statistical modeling. Web Resource The book is accompanied by an R package (rethinking) that is available on the author’s website and GitHub. The two core functions (map and map2stan) of this package allow a variety of statistical models to be constructed from standard model formulas.


Ecological Inference

Ecological Inference

Author: Gary King

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2004-09-13

Total Pages: 436

ISBN-13: 9780521542807

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Drawing upon the recent explosion of research in the field, a diverse group of scholars surveys the latest strategies for solving ecological inference problems, the process of trying to infer individual behavior from aggregate data. The uncertainties and information lost in aggregation make ecological inference one of the most difficult areas of statistical inference, but these inferences are required in many academic fields, as well as by legislatures and the Courts in redistricting, marketing research by business, and policy analysis by governments. This wide-ranging collection of essays offers many fresh and important contributions to the study of ecological inference.


The Symbolic Species: The Co-evolution of Language and the Brain

The Symbolic Species: The Co-evolution of Language and the Brain

Author: Terrence W. Deacon

Publisher: W. W. Norton & Company

Published: 1998-04-17

Total Pages: 532

ISBN-13: 0393343022

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"A work of enormous breadth, likely to pleasantly surprise both general readers and experts."—New York Times Book Review This revolutionary book provides fresh answers to long-standing questions of human origins and consciousness. Drawing on his breakthrough research in comparative neuroscience, Terrence Deacon offers a wealth of insights into the significance of symbolic thinking: from the co-evolutionary exchange between language and brains over two million years of hominid evolution to the ethical repercussions that followed man's newfound access to other people's thoughts and emotions. Informing these insights is a new understanding of how Darwinian processes underlie the brain's development and function as well as its evolution. In contrast to much contemporary neuroscience that treats the brain as no more or less than a computer, Deacon provides a new clarity of vision into the mechanism of mind. It injects a renewed sense of adventure into the experience of being human.