Storm-surge Forecasting
Storm-surge Forecasting

Author: J. W. Nickerson

Publisher:

Published: 1971

Total Pages: 114

ISBN-13:

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The report contains an adaptation of a unique storm-surge forecasting technique developed by Dr. C.P. Jelesnianski. This technique results in a computed storm surge profile at the inner boundary of an artificial standard basin seaward of the coast. The profile is derived from nomograms based upon a standard storm passing over a standard basin. Thumb rules and guidelines are presented in the publication for subjectively modifying the computer storm surge height as it moves shoreward of the artificial basin boundary, to fit the natural conditions of a particular coastline. Major advantages of this system are its applicability to almost any locale, its adaptability to data normally available to the field forecaster and the speed with which the forecast may be modified to remain current with natural fluctuations of the storm.

Analysis and Prediction of Visibility at Sea
Analysis and Prediction of Visibility at Sea

Author: William George Schramm

Publisher:

Published: 1966

Total Pages: 58

ISBN-13:

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This paper is concerned with the problem of visibility at sea and fog over the sea. Restrictions to visibility in general are discussed and suspended moisture is related to low visibilities at sea. Fleet Numerical Weather Facility at Monterey produces a field of the difference between the vapor pressures of the sea and air. This field is used as a humidity index to determine the moisture in the air and is related to visibility. A total of 1100 data points from the North Atlantic were analyzed and an attempt was made to produce a linear regression equation. The regression equation proved to be most inaccurate in the area of low visibilities. A scattergram of visibility as a function of air temperature and the vapor pressure difference revealed a significant relationship. Using this relationship it is possible to forecast visibility and fog probability.