Fiscal Policy. Locational Decisions, and Exchange Rates
Fiscal Policy. Locational Decisions, and Exchange Rates

Author: International Monetary Fund

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1989-06-05

Total Pages: 36

ISBN-13: 1451971591

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The paper distinguishes between three different channels through which fiscal policy changes may be transmitted to exchange rates. Based on both the balance of payments identity and empirical observations, it is argued that trade balances and exchange rates may be quite responsive to changes in the relative attractiveness of locating production facilities or storing other “taxable” forms of wealth in different countries. Recognition that fiscal policy has a major influence on asset location decisions may thus be very important for understanding the behavior of exchange rates.

Fiscal Discipline and Exchange Rates
Fiscal Discipline and Exchange Rates

Author: João Tovar Jalles

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2016-11-17

Total Pages: 30

ISBN-13: 1475555784

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We look at the effect of exchange rate regimes on fiscal discipline, taking into account the effect of underlying political conditions. We present a model where strong politics (defined as policymakers facing longer political horizon and higher cohesion) are associated with better fiscal performance, but fixed exchange rates may revert this result and lead to less fiscal discipline. We confirm these hypotheses through regression analysis performed on a panel sample covering 79 countries from 1975 to 2012. Our empirical results also show that the positive effect of strong politics on fiscal discipline is not enough to counter the negative impact of being at/moving to fixed exchange rates. Finally, we use the synthetic control method to illustrate how the transition from flexible to fully fixed exchange rate under the Euro impacted negatively fiscal discipline in European countries. Our results are robust to a number of important sensitivity checks, including different estimators, alternative proxies for fiscal discipline, and sub-sample analysis.

Fiscal Policy and the Real Exchange Rate
Fiscal Policy and the Real Exchange Rate

Author: Mr.Santanu Chatterjee

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2012-02-01

Total Pages: 40

ISBN-13: 146393713X

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Government spending on infrastructure has recently increased sharply in many emerging-market economies. This paper examines the mechanism through which public infrastructure spending affects the dynamics of the real exchange rate. Using a two-sector dependent open economy model with intersectoral adjustment costs, we show that government spending generates a non-monotonic U-shaped adjustment path for the real exchange rate with sharp intertemporal trade-offs. The effect of government spending on the real exchange rate depends critically on (i) the composition of public spending, (ii) the underlying financing policy, (iii) the intensity of private capital in production, and (iv) the relative productivity of public infrastructure. In deriving these results, the model also identifies conditions under which the predictions of the neoclassical open economy model can be reconciled with empirical regularities, namely the intertemporal relationship between government spending, private consumption, and the real exchange rate.

Fiscal Policy and the Real Exchange Rate
Fiscal Policy and the Real Exchange Rate

Author: Santanu Chatterjee

Publisher:

Published: 2014

Total Pages: 36

ISBN-13:

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This paper examines the mechanisms through which government spending affects the dynamics of the real exchange rate. Using a two-sector dependent open economy model with intersectoral mobility costs for private capital, we show that public investment generates a (i) non-monotonic U-shaped adjustment path for the real exchange rate with sharp intertemporal trade-offs, and (ii) a crowding-in of private consumption, consistent with stylized facts. The effects of public consumption, however, are in sharp contrast to those of public investment. The effect of government spending on the real exchange rate depends critically on (i) the sectoral composition of public spending, (ii) the underlying financing policy, (iii) the sectoral intensity of private capital in production, (iv) the relative sectoral productivity of public infrastructure, (v) the elasticity of substitution in production, and (vi) intersectoral mobility costs for capital. In deriving these results, we identify conditions under which the predictions of the neoclassical open economy model can be reconciled with empirical regularities. Our results underscore the importance of decoupling the effects of government investment from government consumption in understanding the relationship between fiscal policy and the real exchange rate.

One Market, One Money
One Market, One Money

Author: Michael Emerson

Publisher:

Published: 1992

Total Pages: 356

ISBN-13: 9780198773245

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The European Community is negotiating a new treaty to establish the constitutional foundations of an economic and monetary union in the course of the 1990s. This study provides the only comprehensive guide to the economic implications of economic and monetary union. The work of an economist inside the Commission of the European Community, it reflects the considerations influencing the design of the union. The study creates a unique bridge between the insights of modern economic analysis and the work of the policy makers preparing for economic and monetary union.

Exchange Rate Economics
Exchange Rate Economics

Author: Mr.Mark P. Taylor

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1991-06-01

Total Pages: 61

ISBN-13: 1451964390

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We survey the literature on the two main views of exchange rate determination that have evolved since the early 1970s: the monetary approach to the exchange rate (in flex-price, sticky-price and real interest differential formulations) and the portfolio balance approach. We then go on to discuss the extant empirical evidence on these models and conclude by discussing how the future research strategy in the area of exchange rate determination is likely to develop. We also discuss the literature on foreign exchange market efficiency, on exchange rates and ‘news’ and on international parity conditions.