Financial Frictions, Entry and Exit, and Aggregate Productivity Differences Across Countries

Financial Frictions, Entry and Exit, and Aggregate Productivity Differences Across Countries

Author: Saeed Shaker Akhtekhane

Publisher:

Published: 2021

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

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In these essays, I study cross-country differences in productivity caused by misallocation of resources. Particularly, I examine the misallocation created by financial frictions as well as that created by entry barriers. In the first chapter, "Financial Frictions and Productivity Losses: Importance of Default-Led Heterogeneity in Collateral and Loan Rates", I develop a model of entrepreneurship with default to quantitatively analyze the impact of financial frictions on total factor productivity (TFP). Default risk justifies the need for collateral. Entrepreneurs are charged higher loan rates if the value of their collateral is low, which favors the wealthy over the poor, regardless of their talent, and discourages poor individuals from self-financing to start or expand their businesses. The close link between deposit rates and loan rates, in most models, is broken. Consistent with empirical evidence, my model can generate a weak self-financing motive while allowing for a highly persistent individual productivity, a challenge for existing models of financial frictions. Financial frictions in my model stem from three different sources: limited enforceability related to the recovery rate of collateral by financial intermediaries; informational frictions related to inefficiencies in financial intermediaries' evaluation of entrepreneurs' default risks; and frictions related to entrepreneurs' expectations of future loan terms. I use machine learning classification techniques to solve the problem financial intermediaries face evaluating entrepreneurs' default risks. My analysis shows sizeable losses from financial frictions, more than 40% in TFP losses for the U.S. if we were to replace its financial markets with a poorly functioning one. Large TFP losses arise as there is amplification between the three sources of financial friction. Without default and heterogeneity in collateral and loan rates, my model would function similarly to a neo-classical model, and there would be a small impact of financial frictions with only a 7% loss in TFP. In the second chapter, "Impact of Entry Costs on Aggregate Productivity: Financial Development Matters", I revisit the question: what is the impact of entry costs on cross-country differences in output and total factor productivity (TFP)? I argue that for the countries with low levels of financial development, the answer is the conventional one in the literature, that higher entry costs cause misallocation of productive factors and lower TFP. However, for countries with reasonably high levels of financial development, the conventional answer does not hold. Motivated by observations on cross-country data, I propose a new theory on the impact of entry costs on TFP. In my mechanism, two competing forces affect TFP when entry cost changes: A wealth-based selection force and a productivity-based selection force. This results in TFP being a hump-shaped function of entry costs. That is, entry costs are not inherently bad for TFP if their target is to deter low productivity individuals from starting businesses. I develop an analytically tractable model of firm dynamics with entry barriers and financial frictions and derive the sufficient conditions for the impact of entry cost on TFP in both wealth- and productivity-based selection phases. In the third chapter, "Firm Entry and Exit in Continuous Time", I develop and analyze a model of firms' entry and exit in a continuous-time setting. I build my analysis based on Hopenhayn (1992) firm dynamics framework and use the continuous-time structure to solve the model. Solving the model in continuous time brings in many advantages, such as lower computational cost and the model's tractability. However, there are some challenges too. One of the major challenges is to have entry cost in the model, i.e., to obtain a Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation that incorporates the entry cost. I use a form of exit cost as the future value of the entry cost to avoid this problem. To do so, I have to keep track of the firms' age distribution in addition to the distribution of the shocks, which makes my model richer than Hopenhayn's (1992). To solve for the joint stationary distribution of the firms, I introduce a simple process for aging and obtain the Kolmogorov forward equation using the age and shock processes. Another methodological contribution is to introduce a way to deal with the Kolmogorov equation in two states with discontinuity and combine them into one equation that governs the state of the economy. The results obtained in this chapter are in line with those reported in Hopenhayn (1992). However, the methods, tools, and the way of approaching the model differs depending on whether I solve the model in discrete or continuous time. The tools and procedures developed in this chapter can easily be extended to other optimal stopping time problems.


Credit Supply and Productivity Growth

Credit Supply and Productivity Growth

Author: Francesco Manaresi

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2019-05-17

Total Pages: 75

ISBN-13: 1498315917

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We study the impact of bank credit on firm productivity. We exploit a matched firm-bank database covering all the credit relationships of Italian corporations, together with a natural experiment, to measure idiosyncratic supply-side shocks to credit availability and to estimate a production model augmented with financial frictions. We find that a contraction in credit supply causes a reduction of firm TFP growth and also harms IT-adoption, innovation, exporting, and adoption of superior management practices, while a credit expansion has limited impact. Quantitatively, the credit contraction between 2007 and 2009 accounts for about a quarter of observed the decline in TFP.


Producer Dynamics

Producer Dynamics

Author: Timothy Dunne

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

Published: 2009-05-15

Total Pages: 623

ISBN-13: 0226172570

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The Census Bureau has recently begun releasing official statistics that measure the movements of firms in and out of business and workers in and out of jobs. The economic analyses in Producer Dynamics exploit this newly available data on establishments, firms, and workers, to address issues in industrial organization, labor, growth, macroeconomics, and international trade. This innovative volume brings together a group of renowned economists to probe topics such as firm dynamics across countries; patterns of employment dynamics; firm dynamics in nonmanufacturing industries such as retail, health services, and agriculture; employer-employee turnover from matched worker/firm data sets; and turnover in international markets. Producer Dynamics will serve as an invaluable reference to economists and policy makers seeking to understand the links between firms and workers, and the sources of economic dynamics, in the age of globalization.


Law and Employment

Law and Employment

Author: James J. Heckman

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

Published: 2007-11-01

Total Pages: 585

ISBN-13: 0226322858

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Law and Employment analyzes the effects of regulation and deregulation on Latin American labor markets and presents empirically grounded studies of the costs of regulation. Numerous labor regulations that were introduced or reformed in Latin America in the past thirty years have had important economic consequences. Nobel Prize-winning economist James J. Heckman and Carmen Pagés document the behavior of firms attempting to stay in business and be competitive while facing the high costs of complying with these labor laws. They challenge the prevailing view that labor market regulations affect only the distribution of labor incomes and have little or no impact on efficiency or the performance of labor markets. Using new micro-evidence, this volume shows that labor regulations reduce labor market turnover rates and flexibility, promote inequality, and discriminate against marginal workers. Along with in-depth studies of Colombia, Peru, Brazil, Argentina, Chile, Uruguay, Jamaica, and Trinidad, Law and Employment provides comparative analysis of Latin American economies against a range of European countries and the United States. The book breaks new ground by quantifying not only the cost of regulation in Latin America, the Caribbean, and in the OECD, but also the broader impact of this regulation.


Making It Big

Making It Big

Author: Andrea Ciani

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 2020-10-08

Total Pages: 178

ISBN-13: 1464815585

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Economic and social progress requires a diverse ecosystem of firms that play complementary roles. Making It Big: Why Developing Countries Need More Large Firms constitutes one of the most up-to-date assessments of how large firms are created in low- and middle-income countries and their role in development. It argues that large firms advance a range of development objectives in ways that other firms do not: large firms are more likely to innovate, export, and offer training and are more likely to adopt international standards of quality, among other contributions. Their particularities are closely associated with productivity advantages and translate into improved outcomes not only for their owners but also for their workers and for smaller enterprises in their value chains. The challenge for economic development, however, is that production does not reach economic scale in low- and middle-income countries. Why are large firms scarcer in developing countries? Drawing on a rare set of data from public and private sources, as well as proprietary data from the International Finance Corporation and case studies, this book shows that large firms are often born large—or with the attributes of largeness. In other words, what is distinct about them is often in place from day one of their operations. To fill the “missing top†? of the firm-size distribution with additional large firms, governments should support the creation of such firms by opening markets to greater competition. In low-income countries, this objective can be achieved through simple policy reorientation, such as breaking oligopolies, removing unnecessary restrictions to international trade and investment, and establishing strong rules to prevent the abuse of market power. Governments should also strive to ensure that private actors have the skills, technology, intelligence, infrastructure, and finance they need to create large ventures. Additionally, they should actively work to spread the benefits from production at scale across the largest possible number of market participants. This book seeks to bring frontier thinking and evidence on the role and origins of large firms to a wide range of readers, including academics, development practitioners and policy makers.


How important are financing constraints? : the role of finance in the business environment

How important are financing constraints? : the role of finance in the business environment

Author: Meghana Ayyagari

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 2006

Total Pages: 59

ISBN-13:

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What role does the business environment play in promoting and restraining firm growth? Recent literature points to a number of factors as obstacles to growth. Inefficient functioning of financial markets, inadequate security and enforcement of property rights, poor provision of infrastructure, inefficient regulation and taxation, and broader governance features such as corruption and macroeconomic stability are discussed without any comparative evidence on their ordering. In this paper, the authors use firm level survey data to present evidence on the relative importance of different features of the business environment. They find that although firms report many obstacles to growth, not all the obstacles are equally constraining. Some affect firm growth only indirectly through their influence on other obstacles, or not at all. Using Directed Acyclic Graph methodology as well as regressions, the authors find that only obstacles related to finance, crime, and political instability directly affect the growth rate of firms. Robustness tests further show that the finance result is the most robust of the three. These results have important policy implications for the priority of reform efforts. They show that maintaining political stability, keeping crime under control, and undertaking financial sector reforms to relax financing constraints are likely to be the most effective routes to promote firm growth.


Korea as a Knowledge Economy

Korea as a Knowledge Economy

Author: Chung-hae S?

Publisher: World Bank Publications

Published: 2007

Total Pages: 204

ISBN-13: 0821372025

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Korea's development process offers valuable lessons for other developing and less developed economies. In particular, the way Korea uses outside technologies, by accumulating indigenous capabilities, is still valid in the era of the knowledge economy. This volume examines the Korean model and Korea's march toward a knowledge economy from a poverty-ridden economy before the launch of full-scale industrialization in the early 1960s. It also emphasizes Korea's achievements, as well as remaining tasks within the four pillars of the knowledge economy, with a common theme throughout -- how Korea has narrowed the gaps in its knowledge and institutions in global competition with world leaders.


Industrial Evolution in Developing Countries

Industrial Evolution in Developing Countries

Author: Mark J. Roberts

Publisher: New York : Oxford University Press

Published: 1996

Total Pages: 366

ISBN-13:

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This book examines the micro processes involved in the industrial sector of developing countries when new producers enter the market and existing ones exit while, simultaneously, market shares shift among producers who differ in their technology, managerial expertise, and profitability.


Hysteresis and Business Cycles

Hysteresis and Business Cycles

Author: Ms.Valerie Cerra

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2020-05-29

Total Pages: 50

ISBN-13: 1513536990

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Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.


Competition and Firm Productivity

Competition and Firm Productivity

Author: Sandra Ospina

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2010-03-01

Total Pages: 36

ISBN-13: 1451982119

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This paper presents empirical evidence on the impact of competition on firm productivity. Using firm-level observations from the World Bank Enterprise Survey database, we find a positive and robust causal relationship between our proxies for competition and our measures of productivity. We also find that countries that implemented product-market reforms had a more pronounced increase in competition, and correspondingly, in productivity: the contribution to productivity growth due to competition spurred by product-market reforms is around 12-15 percent.