Exchange Rates and Policy Coordination in an Asymmetric Model
Author: Peter B. Kenen
Publisher:
Published: 1988
Total Pages: 56
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKRead and Download eBook Full
Author: Peter B. Kenen
Publisher:
Published: 1988
Total Pages: 56
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Peter B. Kenen
Publisher: Manchester University Press
Published: 1989
Total Pages: 136
ISBN-13: 9780719030390
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Yaman Aşıkoğlu
Publisher:
Published: 1999
Total Pages: 127
ISBN-13: 9789756951262
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Daniel Cohen
Publisher:
Published: 1990
Total Pages: 38
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Naohiro Yashiro
Publisher:
Published: 1987
Total Pages: 48
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Peter Bain Kenen (Wirtschaftswissenschaftler)
Publisher:
Published: 1987
Total Pages: 130
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: William H. Branson
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Published: 2007-12-01
Total Pages: 396
ISBN-13: 0226071383
DOWNLOAD EBOOKSince the five largest industrial democracies concluded the Plaza Agreement in 1985, the theory and practice of international economic policy coordination has become the subject of spirited academic and public-policy debate. While some view policy coordination as crucial for the construction of an improved international monetary system, others fear that it risks delaying or weakening the implementation of macroeconomic and structural policies. In these papers and comments, prominent international economists consider past and present interpretations of the meaning of international policy coordination; conditions necessary for coordination to be beneficial both to the direct participants and the global economy; influential factors for the quantitative impact of coordination; obstacles to coordination; the most—and least—effective methods of coordination; and future directions of the coordination process, including processes associated with greater fixity of exchange rates. These studies will be readily accessible to policymakers, while offering sophisticated analyses to interested scholars of the global economy.
Author: Richard H. Clarida
Publisher:
Published: 2017
Total Pages: 26
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis paper highlights some of the theoretical and practical implications for monetary policy and exchange rates that derive specifically from the presence of a global general equilibrium factor embedded in neutral real policy rates in open economies. Using a standard two country DSGE model, we derive a structural decomposition in which the nominal exchange rate is a function of the expected present value of future neutral real interest rate differentials plus a business cycle factor and a PPP factor. Country specific "r*" shocks in general require optimal monetary policy to pass these through to the policy rate, but such shocks will also have exchange rate implications, with an expected decline in the path of the real neutral policy rate reflected in a depreciation of the nominal exchange rate. We document a novel empirical regularity between the equilibrium error in the VECM representation of the empirical Holston Laubach Williams (2017) four country r* model and the value of the nominal trade weighted dollar. In fact, the correlation between the dollar and the 12 quarter lag of the HLW equilibrium error is estimated to be 0.7. Global shocks to r* under optimal policy require no exchange rate adjustment because passing though r* shocks to policy rates "does all the work' of maintaining global equilibrium. We also study a richer model with international spill overs so that in theory there can be gains to international policy cooperation. In this richer model we obtain a similar decomposition for the nominal exchange rate, but with the added feature that r* in each country is a function global productivity and business cycle factors even if these factors are themselves independent across countries. We argue that in practice, there could well be significant costs to central bank communication and credibility under a regime formal policy cooperation, but that gains to policy coordination could be substantial given that r*'s are unobserved but are correlated across countries.
Author: Richard C. Marston
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Published: 2008-04-15
Total Pages: 332
ISBN-13: 0226507254
DOWNLOAD EBOOKEconomists writing on flexible exchange rates in the 1960s foresaw neither the magnitude nor the persistence of the changes in real exchange rates that have occurred in the last fifteen years. Unexpectedly large movements in relative prices have lead to sharp changes in exports and imports, disrupting normal trading relations and causing shifts in employment and output. Many of the largest changes are not equilibrium adjustments to real disturbances but represent instead sustained departures from long-run equilibrium levels, with real exchange rates remaining "misaligned" for years at a time. Contributors to Misalignment of Exchange Rates address a series of questions about misalignment. Several papers investigate the causes of misalignment and the extent to which observed movements in real exchange rates can be attributed to misalignment. These studies are conducted both empirically, through the experiences of the United States, Great Britain, Japan, and the countries of the European Monetary System, and theoretically, through models of imperfect competition. Attention is then turned to the effects of misalignment, especially on employment and production, and to detailed estimates of the effects of changes in exchange rates on several industries, including the U.S. auto industry. In response to the contention that there is significant "hysteresis" in the adjustment of employment and production to changes in exchange rates, contributors also attempt to determine whether the effects of misalignment can be reversed once exchange rates return to earlier levels. Finally, the issue of how to avoid—or at least control—misalignment through macroeconomic policy is confronted.
Author: Anne Laure Delatte
Publisher:
Published: 2012
Total Pages: 0
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThe aim of this paper is to investigate the asymmetric effect of exchange rate variations on prices over the short- and long-run. To this end, we estimate a mark-up model for prices using a novel and simple asymmetric cointegrating model, with positive and negative partial sum decomposition of the nominal exchange rates. Our results show that prices react differently to appreciations and depreciations over the long-run, an effect that was previously ignored in the literature. In particular, we provide evidence that depreciations are passed through prices more than appreciations, a result that might suggest weak competition structures. This result has important implications for the proper conduct of monetary policy.