Supply and Demand Effects of Unemployment Insurance Benefit Extensions: Evidence from U.S. Counties

Supply and Demand Effects of Unemployment Insurance Benefit Extensions: Evidence from U.S. Counties

Author: Klaus-Peter Hellwig

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2021-03-12

Total Pages: 35

ISBN-13: 1513572687

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I use three decades of county-level data to estimate the effects of federal unemployment benefit extensions on economic activity. To overcome the reverse causality coming from the fact that benefit extensions are a function of state unemployment rates, I only use the within-state variation in outcomes to identify treatment effects. Identification rests on a differences-in-differences approach which exploits heterogeneity in county exposure to policy changes. To distinguish demand and supply-side channels, I estimate the model separately for tradable and non-tradable sectors. Finally I use benefit extensions as an instrument to estimate local fiscal multipliers of unemployment benefit transfers. I find (i) that the overall impact of benefit extensions on activity is positive, pointing to strong demand effects; (ii) that, even in tradable sectors, there are no negative supply-side effects from work disincentives; and (iii) a fiscal multiplier estimate of 1.92, similar to estimates in the literature for other types of spending.


Issues in Contemporary Economics

Issues in Contemporary Economics

Author: Marc Nerlove

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2016-07-27

Total Pages: 366

ISBN-13: 1349115762

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This is the second volume of the proceedings of the IEA Congress in Athens. Part 1 on macroeconomics considers aspects of unemployment, both generally in a Keynesian framework and in more detail, while Part 2 discusses international aspects of macroeconomic fluctuations and macroeconomic equilibrium associated with the development of the European Community. Part 3 on econometrics deals particularly with the use of survey data and microeconomic theory to analyse decisions important to the understanding of macroeconomic fluctuations and expectation formation.


Optimal Unemployment Insurance

Optimal Unemployment Insurance

Author: Andreas Pollak

Publisher: Mohr Siebeck

Published: 2007

Total Pages: 204

ISBN-13: 9783161493041

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Designing a good unemployment insurance scheme is a delicate matter. In a system with no or little insurance, households may be subject to a high income risk, whereas excessively generous unemployment insurance systems are known to lead to high unemployment rates and are costly both from a fiscal perspective and for society as a whole. Andreas Pollak investigates what an optimal unemployment insurance system would look like, i.e. a system that constitutes the best possible compromise between income security and incentives to work. Using theoretical economic models and complex numerical simulations, he studies the effects of benefit levels and payment durations on unemployment and welfare. As the models allow for considerable heterogeneity of households, including a history-dependent labor productivity, it is possible to analyze how certain policies affect individuals in a specific age, wealth or skill group. The most important aspect of an unemployment insurance system turns out to be the benefits paid to the long-term unemployed. If this parameter is chosen too high, a large number of households may get caught in a long spell of unemployment with little chance of finding work again. Based on the predictions in these models, the so-called "Hartz IV" labor market reform recently adopted in Germany should have highly favorable effects on the unemployment rates and welfare in the long run.


Empirical Labor Economics

Empirical Labor Economics

Author: Theresa J. Devine

Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA

Published: 1991

Total Pages: 356

ISBN-13: 0195059360

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This volume defines the economics of search, which has become a part of the standard graduate curriculum. The concept deals with the costs and benefits to individual workers - either employed or unemployed - of seeking a job with the highest possible pay.


The Economics of Public Spending

The Economics of Public Spending

Author: David Miles

Publisher: OUP Oxford

Published: 2003-03-20

Total Pages: 432

ISBN-13: 9780191593284

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The Economics of Public Spending investigates the extent of government involvement in the economy, details its rational, and traces its historical record. The book unites articles previously published in Fiscal Studies, each one addressing a different area of expenditure and written by an economist specializing in that field. They describe both the data on public expenditure and the theory relevant to understanding the policy issues. A new introduction investigates the overall role of the public sector and discusses the general theory of public expenditure. In providing a detailed analysis of public expenditure, the book makes an important contribution to the economics literature. There are no other texts with this breadth of coverage or depth of analysis. Insights are provided into both the policy issues, cross-country comparisons of expenditure, and alternative approaches to economic analysis. The chapters apply the tools of orthodox public finance, public choice, modern public economics, and game theory to reach a range of policy proposals and conclusions. These demonstrate the range and potential of economic analysis when applied to these important issues.