Essentials of Risk Theory

Essentials of Risk Theory

Author: Sabine Roeser

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-11-02

Total Pages: 153

ISBN-13: 9400754558

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Risk has become one of the main topics in fields as diverse as engineering, medicine and economics, and it is also studied by social scientists, psychologists and legal scholars. This Springer Essentials version offers an overview of the in-depth handbook and highlights some of the main points covered in the Handbook of Risk Theory. The topic of risk also leads to more fundamental questions such as: What is risk? What can decision theory contribute to the analysis of risk? What does the human perception of risk mean for society? How should we judge whether a risk is morally acceptable or not? Over the last couple of decades questions like these have attracted interest from philosophers and other scholars into risk theory. This brief offers the essentials of the handbook provides for an overview into key topics in a major new field of research and addresses a wide range of topics, ranging from decision theory, risk perception to ethics and social implications of risk. It aims to promote communication and information among all those who are interested in theoretical issues concerning risk and uncertainty. The Essentials of Risk Theory brings together internationally leading philosophers and scholars from other disciplines who work on risk theory. The contributions are accessibly written and highly relevant to issues that are studied by risk scholars. The Essentials of Risk Theory will be a helpful starting point for all risk scholars who are interested in broadening and deepening their current perspectives. ​


Risk Theory

Risk Theory

Author: R. Beard

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2013-04-17

Total Pages: 426

ISBN-13: 9401176809

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The theory of risk already has its traditions. A review of its classical results is contained in Bohlmann (1909). This classical theory was associated with life insurance mathematics, and dealt mainly with deviations which were expected to be produced by random fluctua tions in individual policies. According to this theory, these deviations are discounted to some initial instant; the square root of the sum of the squares of the capital values calculated in this way then gives a measure for the stability of the portfolio. A theory constituted in this manner is not, however, very appropriate for practical purposes. The fact is that it does not give an answer to such questions as, for example, within what limits a company's probable gain or loss will lie during different periods. Further, non-life insurance, to which risk theory has, in fact, its most rewarding applications, was mainly outside the field of interest of the risk theorists. Thus it is quite understandable that this theory did not receive very much attention and that its applications to practical problems of insurance activity remained rather unimportant. A new phase of development began following the studies of Filip Lundberg (1909, 1919), which, thanks to H. Cramer (1926), e.O.


Aspects of Risk Theory

Aspects of Risk Theory

Author: Jan Grandell

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-12-06

Total Pages: 186

ISBN-13: 1461390583

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Risk theory, which deals with stochastic models of an insurance business, is a classical application of probability theory. The fundamental problem in risk theory is to investigate the ruin possibility of the risk business. Traditionally the occurrence of the claims is described by a Poisson process and the cost of the claims by a sequence of random variables. This book is a treatise of risk theory with emphasis on models where the occurrence of the claims is described by more general point processes than the Poisson process, such as renewal processes, Cox processes and general stationary point processes. In the Cox case the possibility of risk fluctuation is explicitly taken into account. The presentation is based on modern probabilistic methods rather than on analytic methods. The theory is accompanied with discussions on practical evaluation of ruin probabilities and statistical estimation. Many numerical illustrations of the results are given.


Risk Theory

Risk Theory

Author: Nicholas Rescher

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2021-10-05

Total Pages: 80

ISBN-13: 9783030785017

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Apart from its foray into technical issues of risk assessment and management, this book has one principal aim. With situations of chancy outcomes certain key factors—including outcome possibilities, overall expectation, threat, and even luck—are measurable parameters. But risk is something different: it is not measurable a single parametric quantity, but a many-sided factor that has several different components, and constitutes a complex phenomenon that must be assessed judgmentally in a highly contextualized way. This book explains and analyzes how this works out in practice. Topics in this work include choice and risk, chance and likelihood, as well as outcome-yield evaluation and risk. It takes into account abnormal situations and eccentric measurements, situational evaluation and expectation and scrutinizes the social aspect of risk. The book is of interest to logicians, philosophers of mathematics, and researchers of risk assessment. The project is a companion piece to the author's LUCK THEORY, also published by Springer.


The Essentials of Risk Management, Second Edition

The Essentials of Risk Management, Second Edition

Author: Michel Crouhy

Publisher: McGraw Hill Professional

Published: 2013-12-06

Total Pages: 669

ISBN-13: 0071821155

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The essential guide to quantifying risk vs. return has been updated to reveal the newest, most effective innovations in financial risk management Written for risk professionals and non-risk professionals alike, this easy-to-understand guide helps readers meet the increasingly insistent demand to make sophisticated assessments of their company’s risk exposure Provides the latest methods for measuring and transferring credit risk, increase risk-management transparency, and implement an organization-wide Enterprise risk Management (ERM) approach The authors are renowned figures in risk management: Crouhy heads research and development at NATIXIS; Galai is the Abe Gray Professor of Finance and Business Asdministration at Hebrew University; and Mark is the founding CEO of Black Diamond Risk


Handbook of Risk Theory

Handbook of Risk Theory

Author: Rafaela Hillerbrand

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-01-12

Total Pages: 1209

ISBN-13: 9400714335

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Risk has become one of the main topics in fields as diverse as engineering, medicine and economics, and it is also studied by social scientists, psychologists and legal scholars. But the topic of risk also leads to more fundamental questions such as: What is risk? What can decision theory contribute to the analysis of risk? What does the human perception of risk mean for society? How should we judge whether a risk is morally acceptable or not? Over the last couple of decades questions like these have attracted interest from philosophers and other scholars into risk theory. This handbook provides for an overview into key topics in a major new field of research. It addresses a wide range of topics, ranging from decision theory, risk perception to ethics and social implications of risk, and it also addresses specific case studies. It aims to promote communication and information among all those who are interested in theoetical issues concerning risk and uncertainty. This handbook brings together internationally leading philosophers and scholars from other disciplines who work on risk theory. The contributions are accessibly written and highly relevant to issues that are studied by risk scholars. We hope that the Handbook of Risk Theory will be a helpful starting point for all risk scholars who are interested in broadening and deepening their current perspectives.


Measuring and Managing Information Risk

Measuring and Managing Information Risk

Author: Jack Freund

Publisher: Butterworth-Heinemann

Published: 2014-08-23

Total Pages: 411

ISBN-13: 0127999329

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Using the factor analysis of information risk (FAIR) methodology developed over ten years and adopted by corporations worldwide, Measuring and Managing Information Risk provides a proven and credible framework for understanding, measuring, and analyzing information risk of any size or complexity. Intended for organizations that need to either build a risk management program from the ground up or strengthen an existing one, this book provides a unique and fresh perspective on how to do a basic quantitative risk analysis. Covering such key areas as risk theory, risk calculation, scenario modeling, and communicating risk within the organization, Measuring and Managing Information Risk helps managers make better business decisions by understanding their organizational risk. Uses factor analysis of information risk (FAIR) as a methodology for measuring and managing risk in any organization. Carefully balances theory with practical applicability and relevant stories of successful implementation. Includes examples from a wide variety of businesses and situations presented in an accessible writing style.


Risk and the Theory of Security Risk Assessment

Risk and the Theory of Security Risk Assessment

Author: Carl S. Young

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2020-01-28

Total Pages: 286

ISBN-13: 3030306003

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This book provides the conceptual foundation of security risk assessment and thereby enables reasoning about risk from first principles. It presents the underlying theory that is the basis of a rigorous and universally applicable security risk assessment methodology. Furthermore, the book identifies and explores concepts with profound operational implications that have traditionally been sources of ambiguity if not confusion in security risk management. Notably, the text provides a simple quantitative model for complexity, a significant driver of risk that is typically not addressed in security-related contexts. Risk and The Theory of Security Risk Assessment is a primer of security risk assessment pedagogy, but it also provides methods and metrics to actually estimate the magnitude of security risk. Concepts are explained using numerous examples, which are at times both enlightening and entertaining. As a result, the book bridges a longstanding gap between theory and practice, and therefore will be a useful reference to students, academics and security practitioners.


Pricing Insurance Risk

Pricing Insurance Risk

Author: Stephen J. Mildenhall

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2022-06-15

Total Pages: 564

ISBN-13: 1119755670

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PRICING INSURANCE RISK A comprehensive framework for measuring, valuing, and managing risk Pricing Insurance Risk: Theory and Practice delivers an accessible and authoritative account of how to determine the premium for a portfolio of non-hedgeable insurance risks and how to allocate it fairly to each portfolio component. The authors synthesize hundreds of academic research papers, bringing to light little-appreciated answers to fundamental questions about the relationships between insurance risk, capital, and premium. They lean on their industry experience throughout to connect the theory to real-world practice, such as assessing the performance of business units, evaluating risk transfer options, and optimizing portfolio mix. Readers will discover: Definitions, classifications, and specifications of risk An in-depth treatment of classical risk measures and premium calculation principles Properties of risk measures and their visualization A logical framework for spectral and coherent risk measures How risk measures for capital and pricing are distinct but interact Why the cost of capital, not capital itself, should be allocated The natural allocation method and how it unifies marginal and risk-adjusted probability approaches Applications to reserve risk, reinsurance, asset risk, franchise value, and portfolio optimization Perfect for actuaries working in the non-life or general insurance and reinsurance sectors, Pricing Insurance Risk: Theory and Practice is also an indispensable resource for banking and finance professionals, as well as risk management professionals seeking insight into measuring the value of their efforts to mitigate, transfer, or bear nonsystematic risk.


Lectures on Risk Theory

Lectures on Risk Theory

Author: Klaus D. Schmidt

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 1996

Total Pages: 220

ISBN-13:

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"... Especially now, where from the side of mathematical finance interest is also shown for insurance-related products, a book like this one will definitely be instrumental in communicating the basic mathematical models to non-experts in insurance. I therefore welcome this book for its intended audience." P. Embrechts. Mathematical Reviews, Ann Arbor "... [The book] is useful as a detailed theoretical complement to one of the classical introductory texts on risk theory ...". M. Schweizer. Zentralblatt für Mathematik, Berlin "... The author's goals are clearly proclaimed at the outset, and they are pursued with persistence and integrity. The result is a book which is an integral whole, original in some respects, with interesting contributions. And no errors - not even a single misprint. I recommend it to every tutor of risk theory as a source of mathematically solid proofs and complete explorations of certain aspects of the subject." R. Norberg. Metrika, Heidelberg