Economic Outcomes and the Decision to Vote
Economic Outcomes and the Decision to Vote

Author: Justine S. Hastings

Publisher:

Published: 2005

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

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We provide empirical evidence on the determinants of voter turnout using the random assignment of economic outcomes to potential voters generated by a school choice lottery. This is the first paper to use random assignment of real outcomes resulting from a policy experiment to understand the factors that influence voter turnout. We show that school lottery losers are significantly more likely to vote in the ensuing school board election than lottery winners. The asymmetric effect increases with income and past election participation. The results support a model of 'expressive' voting where negative economic outcomes increase the probability of voting. Such results may account for loss minimizing behavior by public officials, particularly for voters in middle and higher income neighborhoods.

The Economic Vote
The Economic Vote

Author: Raymond M. Duch

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2008-03-17

Total Pages: 359

ISBN-13: 1139470620

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This book proposes a selection model for explaining cross-national variation in economic voting: Rational voters condition the economic vote on whether incumbents are responsible for economic outcomes, because this is the optimal way to identify and elect competent economic managers under conditions of uncertainty. This model explores how political and economic institutions alter the quality of the signal that the previous economy provides about the competence of candidates. The rational economic voter is also attentive to strategic cues regarding the responsibility of parties for economic outcomes and their electoral competitiveness. Theoretical propositions are derived, linking variation in economic and political institutions to variability in economic voting. The authors demonstrate that there is economic voting, and that it varies significantly across political contexts. The data consist of 165 election studies conducted in 19 different countries over a 20-year time period.

Voter Behavior in Economics Perspective
Voter Behavior in Economics Perspective

Author: Arthur J.H.C. Schram

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-12-06

Total Pages: 276

ISBN-13: 3642844189

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In this book voter behavior is analyzed from an economist's point of view. The influence of an economy on voter behavior is investigated and this behavior is analyzed in the perspective commonly used by economists. Econom(etr)ic tools are applied in the analyses. The book contains empirical analyses linking demographic variables to voter turnout and party choice using cross-section data for the Netherlands. Attention is focused on whether turnout and party choice decisions are taken sequentially or simultaneously by voters. An empirical test supports the former. Using these results, behavioral models of party choice and voter turnout are developed. Existing econometric analyses of voting behavior are put on a more solid theoretical footing. In both models a group perspective is used, in line with increased attention for this perspective in economics and political science. Empirical applications of the party choice model allow for an estimation of relative preferences for public goods, using the revealed preference mechanism provided by voting (intention). An alternative method for detecting these preferences, a new survey design, is discussed as well. In the turnout model, attention is fo- cused on the role of "civic duty" in a group context.

The Oxford Handbook of American Elections and Political Behavior
The Oxford Handbook of American Elections and Political Behavior

Author: Jan E. Leighley

Publisher: Oxford University Press (UK)

Published: 2012-02-16

Total Pages: 796

ISBN-13: 0199604517

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The Oxford Handbooks of American Politics are the essential guide to the study of American political life in the 21st Century. With engaging contributions from the major figures in the field The Oxford Handbook of American Elections and Political Behavior provides the key point of reference for anyone working in American Politics today

Economics and Elections
Economics and Elections

Author: Michael S. Lewis-Beck

Publisher: University of Michigan Press

Published: 1990

Total Pages: 204

ISBN-13: 9780472081332

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A cross-national study of the effect of economic conditions on voting behavior in the United States and the Western democracies

Economic Voting
Economic Voting

Author: Han Dorussen

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2003-09-02

Total Pages: 342

ISBN-13: 113452370X

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Economic voting is a phenomenon that political scientists and economists can hardly overlook. There is ample evidence for a strong link between economic conditions and government popularity. However, not everything is that simple and this edited collection focuses on 'the comparative puzzle' of economic voting. Economic Voting emphasises the importance of comparative research design and argues that the psychology of the economic voter model needs to be developed further.

The Economy and the Vote
The Economy and the Vote

Author: Wouter van der Brug

Publisher: Cambridge University Press

Published: 2007-04-30

Total Pages: 11

ISBN-13: 1139464221

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Economic conditions are said to affect election outcomes, but past research has produced unstable and contradictory findings. This book argues that these problems are caused by the failure to take account of electoral competition between parties. A research strategy to correct this problem is designed and applied to investigate effects of economic conditions on (individual) voter choices and (aggregate) election outcomes over 42 elections in 15 countries. It shows that economic conditions exert small effects on individual party preferences, which can have large consequences for election outcomes. In countries where responsibility for economic policy is clear, voters vote retrospectively and reward or punish incumbent parties - although in coalition systems smaller government parties often gain at the expense of the largest party when economic conditions deteriorate. Where clarity of responsibility for economic policy is less clear, voters vote more prospectively on the basis of expected party policies.

Economic Conditions and Electoral Outcomes
Economic Conditions and Electoral Outcomes

Author: Heinz Eulau

Publisher: Algora Publishing

Published: 2007

Total Pages: 260

ISBN-13: 0875862721

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Does economics influence elections? How does such influence work? Under what conditions is it more or less likely to occur? Free, popular elections matter, and they make a difference precisely because, at periodic intervals, they set the limits or constraints within which the interests of business and the interests of the people pursue their political goals. These are the basic ideas addressed in the chapters of this volume. "This fine collection of papers dealing with the effects of economic variables on electoral behaviour and electoral outcomes . . . will be of particular interest to specialists in the study of elections, but will also be valuable to students of political economy and comparative politics more generally . . ." - Canadian Journal of Politics

The SAGE Handbook of Electoral Behaviour
The SAGE Handbook of Electoral Behaviour

Author: Kai Arzheimer

Publisher: SAGE

Published: 2017-02-27

Total Pages: 1382

ISBN-13: 147395925X

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The study of voting behaviour remains a vibrant sub-discipline of political science. The Handbook of Electoral Behaviour is an authoritative and wide ranging survey of this dynamic field, drawing together a team of the world′s leading scholars to provide a state-of-the-art review that sets the agenda for future study. Taking an interdisciplinary approach and focusing on a range of countries, the handbook is composed of eight parts. The first five cover the principal theoretical paradigms, establishing the state of the art in their conceptualisation and application, and followed by chapters on their specific challenges and innovative applications in contemporary voting studies. The remaining three parts explore elements of the voting process to understand their different effects on vote outcomes. The SAGE Handbook of Electoral Behaviour is an essential benchmark publication for advanced students, researchers and practitioners in the fields of politics, sociology, psychology and research methods.