Central Banks Quasi-Fiscal Policies and Inflation

Central Banks Quasi-Fiscal Policies and Inflation

Author: Mr.Seok Gil Park

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2012-01-01

Total Pages: 35

ISBN-13: 1463981007

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Although central banks have recently taken unconventional policy actions to try to shore up macroeconomic and financial stability, little theory is available to assess the consequences of such measures. This paper offers a theoretical model with which such policies can be analyzed. In particular, the paper shows that in the absence of the fiscal authorities' full backing of the central bank's balance sheet, strange things can happen. For instance, an exit from quantitative easing could be inflationary and central banks cannot successfully unwind inflated balance sheets. Therefore, the fiscal authorities' full backing of the monetary authorities' quasi-fiscal operations is a pre-condition for effective monetary policy.


The Economic Consequences of Government Deficits

The Economic Consequences of Government Deficits

Author: L.H. Meyer

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2012-12-06

Total Pages: 243

ISBN-13: 9400966849

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On October 29 and 30, 1982, the Center for the Study of American Business and the Institute for Banking and Financial Markets at Washington "The Economic Consequences of University cosponsored a conference on Government Deficits. " This was the sixth annual Economic Policy Con ference sponsored by the Center, and the first it has cosponsored with the Institute. This book contains the papers and comments delivered at that conference. Recent and prospective large federal deficits have prompted a thorough reconsideration of the political sources and economic consequences of government deficits. The papers in Part I focus on the implications of deficits for monetary growth and inflation, and the papers in Part II consider the effect of deficits on interest rates and capital formation. The papers in Part III deal with the political sources and remedies for the explosive growth in government spending and increased reliance on deficits. The papers in Part I by Alan S. Blinder, Professor of Economics at Princeton University, and Preston J. Miller, Assistant Vice President and Research Advisor at the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, discuss the relation between monetary growth and deficits and present evidence on the of deficits on inflation and output. A deficit is said to be monetized effects vii viii THE ECONOMIC CONSEQUENCES OF GOVERNMENT DEFICITS when the Federal Reserve purchases bonds to aid the Treasury in financing the deficit.


Estimating Quasi-fiscal Deficits in a Consistency Framework

Estimating Quasi-fiscal Deficits in a Consistency Framework

Author: Philippe Le Houerou

Publisher:

Published: 1993

Total Pages: 36

ISBN-13:

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To assess fully the effect of adjustment programs and development strategies, it is essential that the fiscal deficit include quasi- fiscal deficits-- the losses of public financial institutions such as the central bank. A flow- of- funds format may be the best approach for doing so, as this case shows.


Quasi-Fiscal Operations of Public Financial Institutions

Quasi-Fiscal Operations of Public Financial Institutions

Author: Mr.George A. Mackenzie

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1996-10-24

Total Pages: 58

ISBN-13: 9781557755834

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Central banks and other public financial institutions act as agents of fiscal policy in many countries. Their "quasi-fiscal" operations and activities can affect the overall public sector balance without affecting the budget deficit as conventionally measured, may also have important allocative effects, and increase the effective size of the public sector. This paper analyzes the macroeconomic and financial effects of such quasi-fiscal activities, as well as the taxes, subsidies, and other expenditures that such activities introduce outside the budget. Measurement and accounting issues are addressed, and policy recommendations are offered.


Measurement of Fiscal Impact

Measurement of Fiscal Impact

Author: International Monetary Fund

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1988-06-16

Total Pages: 84

ISBN-13: 9781557750167

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This paper describes methodological issues pertaining to measurement of fiscal impact. The fiscal deficit is, under any circumstances, a crude tool for assessing the impact of fiscal policy on the economy. This paper also analyzes various ways in which the conventional definition of the fiscal deficit is affected by high rates of inflation. It has shown that, as the rate of inflation rises, the picture emerging from the conventional measure may, under certain circumstances, become somewhat blurred since the conventional measure may magnify the size of the fiscal adjustment that a country need. In fact, the size of the debt service that compensates bondholders for the reduction in the real value of their assets arising from inflation should be made explicit so as to indicate that part of the deficit whose impact depends mainly on portfolio decisions regarding the public's demand for government bonds, and on the potential effects of these bonds on the monetary and liquidity conditions of the economy.


How to Measure the Fiscal Deficit

How to Measure the Fiscal Deficit

Author: Mr.Mario I. Bléjer

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1991-09-15

Total Pages: 404

ISBN-13: 9781557751928

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Fiscal policy seeks to equilibrate the public sector's financing needs with the private sector's demand for investment and a sustainable balance of payments. Correct measurement of the public sector's net use of resources is therefore an important prerequisite for managing the macroeconomy. This volume, edited by Mario I. Blejer and Adrienne Cheasty, is organized around four issues: the adequacy of summary measures of the fiscal deficit, conventional and adjusted deficits, coverage (size) of the public sector, and the public sector's intertemporal budget constraint.


Tax Smoothing in a Financially Repressed Economy

Tax Smoothing in a Financially Repressed Economy

Author: Mr.Paul Cashin

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1998-08-01

Total Pages: 44

ISBN-13: 1451854463

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India has a long history of running fiscal deficits. Two broad considerations motivate a government to run a deficit: tax smoothing and tax tilting. This paper tests a version of Barro’s tax-smoothing model, using Indian data for the period 1951-52 to 1996-97. The empirical results indicate that the central government of India has tax-smoothed, while the regional governments of India have not. The paper also finds evidence of tax tilting, reflected in financial repression, which has led to the accumulation of excessive public liabilities.


Fiscal Deficits and Current Account Deficits

Fiscal Deficits and Current Account Deficits

Author: Mr.Michael Kumhof

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2009-10-01

Total Pages: 37

ISBN-13: 1451873840

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The effectiveness of recent fiscal stimulus packages significantly depends on the assumption of non-Ricardian savings behavior. We show that, under the same assumption, fiscal deficits can have worrisome implications if they turn out to be permanent. First, if they occur in large countries they significantly raise the world real interest rate. Second, they cause a short run current account deterioration equal to around 50 percent of the fiscal deficit deterioration. Third, the longer run current account deterioration equals almost 75 percent for a large economy such as the United States, and almost 100 percent for a small open economy.


Analytical and Methodological Issues in the Measurement of Fiscal Deficits

Analytical and Methodological Issues in the Measurement of Fiscal Deficits

Author: Mario I. Bléjer

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 1990-11

Total Pages: 70

ISBN-13:

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The IMF Working Papers series is designed to make IMF staff research available to a wide audience. Almost 300 Working Papers are released each year, covering a wide range of theoretical and analytical topics, including balance of payments, monetary and fiscal issues, global liquidity, and national and international economic developments.