Current Account Imbalances in the Southern Euro Area
Current Account Imbalances in the Southern Euro Area

Author: Piyaporn Sodsriwiboon

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2010-06-01

Total Pages: 51

ISBN-13: 1455201227

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

The paper examines the causes, consequences, and potential cures of the large current account deficits in the Southern Euro Area (SEA). These were mostly driven by a decline in private saving rates. But it was the European Monetary Union and the Euro, which enabled these countries to maintain investment rates, and thus run larger current account deficits, by improving their access to the international pool of saving. The paper finds that the deficits in SEA in 2008 were larger than can be explained by fundamentals, though the situation varies substantially across countries. It also finds that although the global financial crisis has started to force some unwinding, the current account deficits are expected to remain high in the medium run, though again with substantial variation across countries. The paper argues these large external deficits pose risks to the economy and therefore matter, even in a currency union, and discusses some policy options to reduce them.

Adjustment in Euro Area Deficit Countries
Adjustment in Euro Area Deficit Countries

Author: Mr.Thierry Tressel

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2014-07-14

Total Pages: 34

ISBN-13: 149837381X

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Imbalances within the euro area have been a defining feature of the crisis. This paper provides a critical analysis of the ongoing rebalancing of euro area “deficit economies” (Greece, Ireland, Portugal, and Spain) that accumulated large current account deficits and external liability positions in the run-up to the crisis. It shows that relative price adjustments have been proceeding gradually. Real effective exchange rates have depreciated by 10-25 percent, driven largely by reductions in unit labor costs due to labor shedding. While exports have typically rebounded, subdued demand accounts for much of the reduction in current account deficits. Hence, the current account balance of the euro area as a whole has shifted into surplus. Internal rebalancing has come with subdued activity—notably very high unemployment in the deficit economies—and made continued adjustment more difficult. To advance rebalancing further, the paper emphasizes the need for: (1) macroeconomic policies that support demand and bring inflation in line with the ECB’s medium-term price stability objective; (2) continued EMU reforms (banking union) to ensure proper financial intermediation; and (3) structural reforms in product and labor markets to improve productivity and support the reallocation of resources to tradable sectors.

Current Account Imbalances in the Euro Area
Current Account Imbalances in the Euro Area

Author: Ansgar Hubertus Belke

Publisher:

Published: 2013

Total Pages: 0

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

In the debate on global imbalances, the euro area countries received increasing attention since the outbreak of the financial crisis. While the current account is on balance for the entire area, divergences between individual member states have increased since the introduction of the common currency and are part of the excessive imbalances procedure. This paper explores the determinants of the imbalances by using panel-econometric techniques. The analysis shows that a lack in competitiveness is the main explanation for the external deficits of the countries that are at the heart of the euro area debt crisis. As a deterioration of competitiveness is not feasible for the surplus countries, an asymmetric response is required to reduce the imbalances.

Rebalancing in the Euro Area and Cyclicality of Current Account Adjustments
Rebalancing in the Euro Area and Cyclicality of Current Account Adjustments

Author: Mr.Thierry Tressel

Publisher: International Monetary Fund

Published: 2014-07-22

Total Pages: 31

ISBN-13: 1498334423

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

The paper examines progress with the external rebalancing of euro area deficit countries. Relative prices are adjusting at different pace across countries and with different compositions of wage cuts and labor shedding. There is so far limited evidence of resource re-allocation from non-tradable to tradable sectors, while improved export performance is still dependent on external demand from the rest of world. Current account adjustments have taken place, reflecting structural changes but also cyclical forces, suggesting that part of the improvements may unwind when cyclical conditions improve. Looking ahead, relying only on relative price adjustments (which adversely affects demand) to rebalance the euro area could prove very challenging. Structural reforms will play an important role in the reallocation of resources to the tradable sector and the associated relative price adjustment, while boosting non-price and price competitiveness.

External Imbalances in the Euro Area
External Imbalances in the Euro Area

Author: Ruo Chen

Publisher:

Published: 2014

Total Pages: 51

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

The paper examines the extent to which current account imbalances of euro area countries are related to intra-euro area factors and to external trade shocks. We argue that the traditional explanations for the rising imbalances are correct, but are incomplete. We uncover a large impact of declines in export competitiveness and asymmetric trade developments vis-à-vis the rest of the world -in particular vis-à-vis China, Central and Eastern Europe, and oil exporters- on the external balance of euro area debtor countries. While current account imbalances of euro area deficit countries vis-à-vis the rest of the world increased, they were financed mostly by intra-euro area capital inflows (in particular by the purchase of government and financial institutions' securities, and cross-border interbank lending) which permitted external imbalances to grow over time.

Rising Powers and Economic Crisis in the Euro Area
Rising Powers and Economic Crisis in the Euro Area

Author: Ferdi De Ville

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2016-06-15

Total Pages: 166

ISBN-13: 113751440X

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

In this book, Ferdi De Ville and Mattias Vermeiren examine the linkages between the economic crisis in the euro area and the rise of Brazil, India and China (BICs) in the global monetary and trading system. Drawing on the insights of the comparative capitalism literature, the authors show that the latter development has been a key source of the escalation of trade imbalances in the euro area, which are widely seen as an important cause of the financial and economic crisis in the region. By pointing to the external source of these imbalances and the divergent institutional capacity of the euro area countries to deal with the intensified competition associated with the rise of the BICs, De Ville and Vermeiren go beyond the focus on the divergence in unit labor costs as the driving force of these imbalances. As such, this book provides a comprehensive policy critique of the EU’s export-led growth strategy based on declining unit labor costs.

Southern Europe and the Financial Earthquake
Southern Europe and the Financial Earthquake

Author: Susannah Verney

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2016-04-14

Total Pages: 143

ISBN-13: 1317622367

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Following the outbreak of the international financial crisis, Southern Europe became an epicentre of economic instability and international concern. The prospect of a sovereign debt default in the eurozone’s ‘flaky fringe’ sent shock waves through the European and global economies. Examining the crucial initial phase, when the financial crisis was just beginning to spill over into the real economy, the volume surveys the impact of the September 2008 Lehman Brothers’ collapse across the EU’s southern periphery. The six South European eurozone members – Italy, Greece, Spain, Portugal, Cyprus and Malta – are viewed in comparative perspective with EU candidate state and non-eurozone member, Turkey. In an era before the spectacular EU/IMF bailouts, the picture that emerges is one of national differentiation, illuminating these countries’ different starting points and varying policy responses in the face of the gathering financial storm. This book was published as a special issue of South European Society and Politics.

Current Account Imbalances and Structural Adjustment in the Euro Area
Current Account Imbalances and Structural Adjustment in the Euro Area

Author: Holger Zemanek

Publisher:

Published: 2014

Total Pages: 43

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Low international competitiveness of a set of euro area countries, which have become evident by large current account deficits and rising risk premiums on government bonds, is one of the most challenging economic policy issues for Europe. We analyse the role of private restructuring and public structural reforms for the urgently needed readjustment of intra-euro area imbalances. A panel regression reveals a significant impact of private restructuring and public structural reforms on intra-euro area competitiveness. This implies that private restructuring and public reforms are rather than public transfers the best way to preserve long-term economic stability in Europe.

The Evolution of Current Account Deficits in the Euro Area Periphery and the Baltics
The Evolution of Current Account Deficits in the Euro Area Periphery and the Baltics

Author: Joong Shik Kang

Publisher:

Published: 2013

Total Pages: 24

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Explanations of the large current account deficits for the euro area periphery and the Baltics in the run up to the crisis revolve around two main factors: deteriorating export performance or demand driven booms. We add that there were important movements in transfers and net income balances. While export performance remained relatively stable in most countries, for some countries, when transfers declined, households and firms borrowed so as to maintain the same level of spending. This was part of a persistent failure to adjust to trade deficits, which, along with rising net income payments, led to growing current account deficits. All of these factors played varying roles in the development of current account deficits across these countries.