Comparison of Prediction Methods for Batter-pitcher Matchups

Comparison of Prediction Methods for Batter-pitcher Matchups

Author: Siddhartha Thakur

Publisher:

Published: 2016

Total Pages: 66

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Baseball is full of confrontations and these confrontations between a batter and the pitcher is what makes the game. If a formula would be able to predict the probability of the outcome correctly, when they meet, wouldn’t it instill confidence in the minds of the head coach (or you if you are playing the fantasy) to select someone who would be on the winning end? We would like to know for sure, which of our batters are good, and what out of the small amount of possible outcomes, will be the result when he faces this other good pitcher from the team you face next. It seems the past performance of the batter against this pitcher can be a good indicator, and that is what presumably the methods currently used utilize. But the utility of the Batter vs. Pitcher data in predicting the future outcome is a debate going on for quite a time now. The reason for this debate stems from the fact that the sample size of this data is so small that it becomes hard to comprehend when to prefer information you get from a sample size of thousands of atbats against all pitchers vs. maybe a few dozen against specific individuals. The report will discuss one of the famous methods, called Log5 [1] that has been utilized so far when it comes to measuring the outcomes of these confrontations. It also discusses the other methods like logistic regression based on the past data and the new and upcoming Morey-Z. [3]


STATS Batter Vs. Pitcher Matchups! 1998

STATS Batter Vs. Pitcher Matchups! 1998

Author: John Sickels

Publisher: STATS Publishing

Published: 1998-02

Total Pages: 412

ISBN-13: 9781884064456

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Handy size, handy stats. It's the essential baseball viewing companion. Take it to the park ... or to the TV!


The Best of "By the Numbers"

The Best of

Author: Phil B. Birnbaum

Publisher:

Published: 2003

Total Pages: 116

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Do catchers learn to handle pitchers better as they get older? Do some batters have a greater ability than others in the clutch? Does good hitting beat good pitching? These and many other questions that fans ask are answered in this collection of more than two dozen analytical research studies from the Society for American Baseball Research (SABR). The provocative conclusions, based as much as possible on objective data and statistics, often fly in the face of conventional baseball wisdom. These articles are the best published over the past decade in “By the Numbers,” the newsletter of SABR’s respected statistical committee.


Analyzing Baseball Data with R, Second Edition

Analyzing Baseball Data with R, Second Edition

Author: Max Marchi

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2018-11-19

Total Pages: 302

ISBN-13: 1351107070

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Analyzing Baseball Data with R Second Edition introduces R to sabermetricians, baseball enthusiasts, and students interested in exploring the richness of baseball data. It equips you with the necessary skills and software tools to perform all the analysis steps, from importing the data to transforming them into an appropriate format to visualizing the data via graphs to performing a statistical analysis. The authors first present an overview of publicly available baseball datasets and a gentle introduction to the type of data structures and exploratory and data management capabilities of R. They also cover the ggplot2 graphics functions and employ a tidyverse-friendly workflow throughout. Much of the book illustrates the use of R through popular sabermetrics topics, including the Pythagorean formula, runs expectancy, catcher framing, career trajectories, simulation of games and seasons, patterns of streaky behavior of players, and launch angles and exit velocities. All the datasets and R code used in the text are available online. New to the second edition are a systematic adoption of the tidyverse and incorporation of Statcast player tracking data (made available by Baseball Savant). All code from the first edition has been revised according to the principles of the tidyverse. Tidyverse packages, including dplyr, ggplot2, tidyr, purrr, and broom are emphasized throughout the book. Two entirely new chapters are made possible by the availability of Statcast data: one explores the notion of catcher framing ability, and the other uses launch angle and exit velocity to estimate the probability of a home run. Through the book’s various examples, you will learn about modern sabermetrics and how to conduct your own baseball analyses. Max Marchi is a Baseball Analytics Analyst for the Cleveland Indians. He was a regular contributor to The Hardball Times and Baseball Prospectus websites and previously consulted for other MLB clubs. Jim Albert is a Distinguished University Professor of statistics at Bowling Green State University. He has authored or coauthored several books including Curve Ball and Visualizing Baseball and was the editor of the Journal of Quantitative Analysis of Sports. Ben Baumer is an assistant professor of statistical & data sciences at Smith College. Previously a statistical analyst for the New York Mets, he is a co-author of The Sabermetric Revolution and Modern Data Science with R.


Sports Data Mining

Sports Data Mining

Author: Robert P. Schumaker

Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media

Published: 2010-09-10

Total Pages: 144

ISBN-13: 1441967303

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Data mining is the process of extracting hidden patterns from data, and it’s commonly used in business, bioinformatics, counter-terrorism, and, increasingly, in professional sports. First popularized in Michael Lewis’ best-selling Moneyball: The Art of Winning An Unfair Game, it is has become an intrinsic part of all professional sports the world over, from baseball to cricket to soccer. While an industry has developed based on statistical analysis services for any given sport, or even for betting behavior analysis on these sports, no research-level book has considered the subject in any detail until now. Sports Data Mining brings together in one place the state of the art as it concerns an international array of sports: baseball, football, basketball, soccer, greyhound racing are all covered, and the authors (including Hsinchun Chen, one of the most esteemed and well-known experts in data mining in the world) present the latest research, developments, software available, and applications for each sport. They even examine the hidden patterns in gaming and wagering, along with the most common systems for wager analysis.


Trading Bases

Trading Bases

Author: Joe Peta

Publisher: Penguin

Published: 2014-03-04

Total Pages: 386

ISBN-13: 0451415175

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

An ex–Wall Street trader improved on Moneyball’s famed sabermetrics and beat the Vegas odds with his own betting methods. Here is the story of how Joe Peta turned fantasy baseball into a dream come true. Joe Peta turned his back on his Wall Street trading career to pursue an ingenious—and incredibly risky—dream. He would apply his risk-analysis skills to Major League Baseball, and treat the sport like the S&P 500. In Trading Bases, Peta takes us on his journey from the ballpark in San Francisco to the trading floors and baseball bars of New York and the sportsbooks of Las Vegas, telling the story of how he created a baseball “hedge fund” with an astounding 41 percent return in his first year. And he explains the unique methods he developed. Along the way, Peta provides insight into the Wall Street crisis he managed to escape: the fragility of the midnineties investment model; the disgraced former CEO of Lehman Brothers, who recruited Peta; and the high-adrenaline atmosphere where million-dollar sports-betting pools were common.


Statistical Thinking in Sports

Statistical Thinking in Sports

Author: Jim Albert

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2007-07-12

Total Pages: 312

ISBN-13: 1584888695

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Since the first athletic events found a fan base, sports and statistics have always maintained a tight and at times mythical relationship. As a way to relay the telling of a game's drama and attest to the prodigious powers of the heroes involved, those reporting on the games tallied up the numbers that they believe best described the action and bes


We Beat the Street

We Beat the Street

Author: Sampson Davis

Publisher: Penguin

Published: 2006-04-20

Total Pages: 220

ISBN-13: 9780142406274

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Growing up on the rough streets of Newark, New Jersey, Rameck, George,and Sampson could easily have followed their childhood friends into drug dealing, gangs, and prison. But when a presentation at their school made the three boys aware of the opportunities available to them in the medical and dental professions, they made a pact among themselves that they would become doctors. It took a lot of determination—and a lot of support from one another—but despite all the hardships along the way, the three succeeded. Retold with the help of an award-winning author, this younger adaptation of the adult hit novel The Pact is a hard-hitting, powerful, and inspirational book that will speak to young readers everywhere.


Sports Analytics and Data Science

Sports Analytics and Data Science

Author: Thomas W. Miller

Publisher: FT Press

Published: 2015-11-18

Total Pages: 576

ISBN-13: 0133887413

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This is the eBook of the printed book and may not include any media, website access codes, or print supplements that may come packaged with the bound book. This up-to-the-minute reference will help you master all three facets of sports analytics — and use it to win! Sports Analytics and Data Science is the most accessible and practical guide to sports analytics for everyone who cares about winning and everyone who is interested in data science. You’ll discover how successful sports analytics blends business and sports savvy, modern information technology, and sophisticated modeling techniques. You’ll master the discipline through realistic sports vignettes and intuitive data visualizations–not complex math. Every chapter focuses on one key sports analytics application. Miller guides you through assessing players and teams, predicting scores and making game-day decisions, crafting brands and marketing messages, increasing revenue and profitability, and much more. Step by step, you’ll learn how analysts transform raw data and analytical models into wins: both on the field and in any sports business.


Learning in the Fast Lane

Learning in the Fast Lane

Author: Suzy Pepper Rollins

Publisher: ASCD

Published: 2014-04-10

Total Pages: 187

ISBN-13: 1416618716

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Too often, students who fail a grade or a course receive remediation that ends up widening rather than closing achievement gaps. According to veteran classroom teacher and educational consultant Suzy Pepper Rollins, the true answer to supporting struggling students lies in acceleration. In Learning in the Fast Lane, she lays out a plan of action that teachers can use to immediately move underperforming students in the right direction and differentiate instruction for all learners—even those who excel academically. This essential guide identifies eight high-impact, research-based instructional approaches that will help you * Make standards and learning goals explicit to students. * Increase students' vocabulary—a key to their academic success. * Build students' motivation and self-efficacy so that they become active, optimistic participants in class. * Provide rich, timely feedback that enables students to improve when it counts. * Address skill and knowledge gaps within the context of new learning. Students deserve no less than the most effective strategies available. These hands-on, ready-to-implement practices will enable you to provide all students with compelling, rigorous, and engaging learning experiences.