Classical Time-varying FAVAR Models
Author: Sandra Eickmeier
Publisher:
Published: 2011
Total Pages: 55
ISBN-13:
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Author: Sandra Eickmeier
Publisher:
Published: 2011
Total Pages: 55
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Sandra Eickmeier
Publisher:
Published: 2016
Total Pages: 68
ISBN-13:
DOWNLOAD EBOOKWe propose a classical approach to estimate factor-augmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) models with time variation in the factor loadings, in the factor dynamics, and in the variance-covariance matrix of innovations. When the time-varying FAVAR is estimated using a large quarterly dataset of US variables from 1972 to 2007, the results indicate some changes in the factor dynamics, and more marked variation in the factors' shock volatility and their loading parameters. Forecasts from the time-varying FAVAR are more accurate than those from a constant parameter FAVAR for most variables and horizons when computed insample, for some variables in pseudo real time, mostly financial indicators. Finally, we use the time-varying FAVAR to assess how monetary transmission to the economy has changed. We find substantial time variation in the volatility of monetary policy shocks, and we observe that the reaction of GDP, the GDP deflator, inflation expectations and long-term interest rates to an equally-sized monetary policy shock has decreased since the early-1980s.
Author: John B. Taylor
Publisher: Elsevier
Published: 2016-11-12
Total Pages: 3009
ISBN-13: 0444594884
DOWNLOAD EBOOKHandbook of Macroeconomics Volumes 2A and 2B surveys major advances in macroeconomic scholarship since the publication of Volume 1 (1999), carefully distinguishing between empirical, theoretical, methodological, and policy issues, including fiscal, monetary, and regulatory policies to deal with crises, unemployment, and economic growth. As this volume shows, macroeconomics has undergone a profound change since the publication of the last volume, due in no small part to the questions thrust into the spotlight by the worldwide financial crisis of 2008. With contributions from the world's leading macroeconomists, its reevaluation of macroeconomic scholarship and assessment of its future constitute an investment worth making. - Serves a double role as a textbook for macroeconomics courses and as a gateway for students to the latest research - Acts as a one-of-a-kind resource as no major collections of macroeconomic essays have been published in the last decade - Builds upon Volume 1 by using its section headings to illustrate just how far macroeconomic thought has evolved
Author: Siem Jan Koopman
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
Published: 2016-01-08
Total Pages: 685
ISBN-13: 1785603523
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis volume explores dynamic factor model specification, asymptotic and finite-sample behavior of parameter estimators, identification, frequentist and Bayesian estimation of the corresponding state space models, and applications.
Author: Peter Fuleky
Publisher: Springer Nature
Published: 2019-11-28
Total Pages: 716
ISBN-13: 3030311503
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis book surveys big data tools used in macroeconomic forecasting and addresses related econometric issues, including how to capture dynamic relationships among variables; how to select parsimonious models; how to deal with model uncertainty, instability, non-stationarity, and mixed frequency data; and how to evaluate forecasts, among others. Each chapter is self-contained with references, and provides solid background information, while also reviewing the latest advances in the field. Accordingly, the book offers a valuable resource for researchers, professional forecasters, and students of quantitative economics.
Author: Juan J. Dolado
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
Published: 2022-09-21
Total Pages: 203
ISBN-13: 1803828315
DOWNLOAD EBOOKBoth parts of Volume 44 of Advances in Econometrics pay tribute to Fabio Canova for his major contributions to economics over the last four decades.
Author: Filippo di Mauro
Publisher: OUP Oxford
Published: 2013-02-28
Total Pages: 299
ISBN-13: 0191649082
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThe GVAR is a global Vector autoregression model of the global economy. The model was initially developed in the early 2000 by Professor Pesaran and co-authors, for the main purpose of analysing credit risk in a globalised economy. Starting from mid-2000 the model was substantially enlarged in the context of a project financed by the ECB, to comprise all major economies and the Euro area as a whole. The purpose of this version was to exploit the rich modelisation of international linkages in order to simulate and analyse global macro scenarios of high policy interest. The rich, yet manageable, specification of international linkages has stimulated a vast literature on the GVAR. Since early 2011, the basic model - and its data base - has also available on a dedicated GVAR-Toolbox website with an easy-to-use interface allowing practical applications by an extended audience, as well as more complex analysis by the expert public. The book provides an overview of the extensions and applications of the GVAR which have been developed in recent years. Such applications are grouped in three main categories: 1) International transmission and forecasting; 2) Finance applications; and 3) Regional applications. By using a language which is accessible to not econometricians, the book reaches out to the extended audience of practitioners and policy makers interested in understanding channels and impacts of international linkages.
Author: Giray Gozgor
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
Published: 2023-02-13
Total Pages: 451
ISBN-13: 2832514375
DOWNLOAD EBOOKAuthor: Guglielmo M. Caporale
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Published: 2024-05-02
Total Pages: 683
ISBN-13: 1803926376
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis comprehensive Handbook deftly examines key aspects of financial integration, providing an overview of contemporary research and new perspectives. Employing state of the art econometric methods to obtain new empirical evidence, it will be critical for designing optimal policies, and appropriate investment and risk management strategies.