Classical Time-Varying FAVAR Models - Estimation, Forecasting and Structural Analysis

Classical Time-Varying FAVAR Models - Estimation, Forecasting and Structural Analysis

Author: Sandra Eickmeier

Publisher:

Published: 2016

Total Pages: 68

ISBN-13:

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

We propose a classical approach to estimate factor-augmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) models with time variation in the factor loadings, in the factor dynamics, and in the variance-covariance matrix of innovations. When the time-varying FAVAR is estimated using a large quarterly dataset of US variables from 1972 to 2007, the results indicate some changes in the factor dynamics, and more marked variation in the factors' shock volatility and their loading parameters. Forecasts from the time-varying FAVAR are more accurate than those from a constant parameter FAVAR for most variables and horizons when computed insample, for some variables in pseudo real time, mostly financial indicators. Finally, we use the time-varying FAVAR to assess how monetary transmission to the economy has changed. We find substantial time variation in the volatility of monetary policy shocks, and we observe that the reaction of GDP, the GDP deflator, inflation expectations and long-term interest rates to an equally-sized monetary policy shock has decreased since the early-1980s.


Handbook of Macroeconomics

Handbook of Macroeconomics

Author: John B. Taylor

Publisher: Elsevier

Published: 2016-11-12

Total Pages: 3009

ISBN-13: 0444594884

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Handbook of Macroeconomics Volumes 2A and 2B surveys major advances in macroeconomic scholarship since the publication of Volume 1 (1999), carefully distinguishing between empirical, theoretical, methodological, and policy issues, including fiscal, monetary, and regulatory policies to deal with crises, unemployment, and economic growth. As this volume shows, macroeconomics has undergone a profound change since the publication of the last volume, due in no small part to the questions thrust into the spotlight by the worldwide financial crisis of 2008. With contributions from the world's leading macroeconomists, its reevaluation of macroeconomic scholarship and assessment of its future constitute an investment worth making. - Serves a double role as a textbook for macroeconomics courses and as a gateway for students to the latest research - Acts as a one-of-a-kind resource as no major collections of macroeconomic essays have been published in the last decade - Builds upon Volume 1 by using its section headings to illustrate just how far macroeconomic thought has evolved


Dynamic Factor Models

Dynamic Factor Models

Author: Siem Jan Koopman

Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing

Published: 2016-01-08

Total Pages: 685

ISBN-13: 1785603523

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This volume explores dynamic factor model specification, asymptotic and finite-sample behavior of parameter estimators, identification, frequentist and Bayesian estimation of the corresponding state space models, and applications.


Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Era of Big Data

Macroeconomic Forecasting in the Era of Big Data

Author: Peter Fuleky

Publisher: Springer Nature

Published: 2019-11-28

Total Pages: 716

ISBN-13: 3030311503

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This book surveys big data tools used in macroeconomic forecasting and addresses related econometric issues, including how to capture dynamic relationships among variables; how to select parsimonious models; how to deal with model uncertainty, instability, non-stationarity, and mixed frequency data; and how to evaluate forecasts, among others. Each chapter is self-contained with references, and provides solid background information, while also reviewing the latest advances in the field. Accordingly, the book offers a valuable resource for researchers, professional forecasters, and students of quantitative economics.


Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova

Essays in Honour of Fabio Canova

Author: Juan J. Dolado

Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing

Published: 2022-09-21

Total Pages: 203

ISBN-13: 1803828315

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

Both parts of Volume 44 of Advances in Econometrics pay tribute to Fabio Canova for his major contributions to economics over the last four decades.


The GVAR Handbook

The GVAR Handbook

Author: Filippo di Mauro

Publisher: OUP Oxford

Published: 2013-02-28

Total Pages: 299

ISBN-13: 0191649082

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

The GVAR is a global Vector autoregression model of the global economy. The model was initially developed in the early 2000 by Professor Pesaran and co-authors, for the main purpose of analysing credit risk in a globalised economy. Starting from mid-2000 the model was substantially enlarged in the context of a project financed by the ECB, to comprise all major economies and the Euro area as a whole. The purpose of this version was to exploit the rich modelisation of international linkages in order to simulate and analyse global macro scenarios of high policy interest. The rich, yet manageable, specification of international linkages has stimulated a vast literature on the GVAR. Since early 2011, the basic model - and its data base - has also available on a dedicated GVAR-Toolbox website with an easy-to-use interface allowing practical applications by an extended audience, as well as more complex analysis by the expert public. The book provides an overview of the extensions and applications of the GVAR which have been developed in recent years. Such applications are grouped in three main categories: 1) International transmission and forecasting; 2) Finance applications; and 3) Regional applications. By using a language which is accessible to not econometricians, the book reaches out to the extended audience of practitioners and policy makers interested in understanding channels and impacts of international linkages.


Handbook of Financial Integration

Handbook of Financial Integration

Author: Guglielmo M. Caporale

Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing

Published: 2024-05-02

Total Pages: 683

ISBN-13: 1803926376

DOWNLOAD EBOOK

This comprehensive Handbook deftly examines key aspects of financial integration, providing an overview of contemporary research and new perspectives. Employing state of the art econometric methods to obtain new empirical evidence, it will be critical for designing optimal policies, and appropriate investment and risk management strategies.