A Resume of Short-range Forecasting Techniques

A Resume of Short-range Forecasting Techniques

Author: Joe S. Restivo

Publisher:

Published: 1971

Total Pages: 18

ISBN-13:

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Certain techniques applicable to improve short-range forecasting are discussed briefly and references are furnished from which the reader can obtain detailed information on the various methods. (Author).


Some Techniques for Short-range Terminal Forecasting

Some Techniques for Short-range Terminal Forecasting

Author: Clay G. Russell

Publisher:

Published: 1970

Total Pages: 56

ISBN-13:

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The report describes several techniques applicable to short-range terminal forecasting. Areas discussed are procedures for graphical extrapolation, nephanalysis, forecasting frontal precipitation, and the lowering of ceilings during precipitation. The use of FPS-77 rada and weather satellite data is shown as they pertain to short-range forecasting. (Author).


Renewable Energy Forecasting

Renewable Energy Forecasting

Author: Georges Kariniotakis

Publisher: Woodhead Publishing

Published: 2017-09-29

Total Pages: 388

ISBN-13: 0081005059

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Renewable Energy Forecasting: From Models to Applications provides an overview of the state-of-the-art of renewable energy forecasting technology and its applications. After an introduction to the principles of meteorology and renewable energy generation, groups of chapters address forecasting models, very short-term forecasting, forecasting of extremes, and longer term forecasting. The final part of the book focuses on important applications of forecasting for power system management and in energy markets. Due to shrinking fossil fuel reserves and concerns about climate change, renewable energy holds an increasing share of the energy mix. Solar, wind, wave, and hydro energy are dependent on highly variable weather conditions, so their increased penetration will lead to strong fluctuations in the power injected into the electricity grid, which needs to be managed. Reliable, high quality forecasts of renewable power generation are therefore essential for the smooth integration of large amounts of solar, wind, wave, and hydropower into the grid as well as for the profitability and effectiveness of such renewable energy projects. Offers comprehensive coverage of wind, solar, wave, and hydropower forecasting in one convenient volume Addresses a topic that is growing in importance, given the increasing penetration of renewable energy in many countries Reviews state-of-the-science techniques for renewable energy forecasting Contains chapters on operational applications


The Use of Digital Radar in Short-range Forecasting

The Use of Digital Radar in Short-range Forecasting

Author: H. Stuart Muench

Publisher:

Published: 1976

Total Pages: 64

ISBN-13:

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As part of a program to improve short-range forecasts of weather conditions at aircraft terminals, a digital radar system was established at Air Force Geophysics Laboratory, Bedford Mass. The system, consisting of AN/FPS-77, digital interface, microwave transmitter-receiver, video integrator and computer, was installed in late 1972. Since that time the system has been used in conjunction with a network of 26 automated weather stations to make experimental forecasts of visibility and severe-weather conditions. The radar output of digital maps of radar intensity was found to be very convenient, but the inability of the radar to detect small water droplets limits the use in low visibility forecasting primarily to heavy rain storms and snow storms. In severe storms modest success was attained forecasting gusts, using digital maps. The large amounts of weather information from the network and radar frequently saturated the forecaster making forecasts at 15-min intervals, and relief was sought in the form of objective aids. Preliminary relationships between radar intensity, extinction coefficient (visibility) and rainfall rate have been formulated. In addition, a technique was developed using digital radar maps to obtain motion vectors and make probability forecasts of severe weather conditions. The calibration procedure relies on intensity of ground targets (hills and towers) for day-to-day relative calibration, and absolute calibration has been limited to Z-R relations. (Author).


Weather Analysis and Forecasting

Weather Analysis and Forecasting

Author: Christo Georgiev

Publisher: Elsevier

Published: 2005-07-05

Total Pages: 198

ISBN-13: 0080455263

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Weather Analysis and Forecasting is a practical guide to using potential vorticity fields and water vapor imagery from satellites to elucidate complex weather patterns and train meteorologists to improve operational forecasting. In particular, it details the use of the close relationship between satellite imagery and the potential vorticity fields in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere. It shows how to interpret water vapor patterns in terms of dynamical processes in the atmosphere and their relation to diagnostics available from weather prediction models. The book explores topics including: a dynamical view of synoptic development; the interpretation problem of satellite water vapor imagery; practical use of water vapor imagery and dynamical fields; significant water vapor imagery features associated with synoptic dynamical structures; and use of water vapor imagery for assessing NWP model behavior and improving forecasts. Applications are illustrated with color images based on real meteorological situations. The book's step-by-step pedagogy makes this an essential training manual for forecasters in meteorological services worldwide, and a valuable text for graduate students in atmospheric physics and satellite meteorology. * Shows how to analyze current satellite images for assessing weather models' behavior and improving forecasts * Provides step-by-step pedagogy for understanding and interpreting meteorological processes * Includes full-color throughout to highlight "real-world" models, patterns, and examples