An Intensity Model for Credit Risk with Switching Lévy Processes
An Intensity Model for Credit Risk with Switching Lévy Processes

Author: Donatien Hainaut

Publisher:

Published: 2014

Total Pages: 22

ISBN-13:

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We develop a switching regime version of the intensity model for credit risk pricing. The default event is specified by a Poisson process whose intensity is modeled by a switching Lévy process. This model presents several interesting features. Firstly, as Lévy processes encompass numerous jump processes, our model can duplicate sudden jumps observed in credit spreads. Also, due to the presence of jumps, probabilities do not vanish at very short maturities, contrary to models based on Brownian dynamics. Furthermore, as parameters of the Lévy process are modulated by a hidden Markov chain, our approach is well suited to model changes of volatility trends in credit spreads, related to modifications of unobservable economic factors.

Levy Processes in Credit Risk
Levy Processes in Credit Risk

Author: Wim Schoutens

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2010-06-15

Total Pages: 213

ISBN-13: 0470685069

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This book is an introductory guide to using Lévy processes for credit risk modelling. It covers all types of credit derivatives: from the single name vanillas such as Credit Default Swaps (CDSs) right through to structured credit risk products such as Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs), Constant Proportion Portfolio Insurances (CPPIs) and Constant Proportion Debt Obligations (CPDOs) as well as new advanced rating models for Asset Backed Securities (ABSs). Jumps and extreme events are crucial stylized features, essential in the modelling of the very volatile credit markets - the recent turmoil in the credit markets has once again illustrated the need for more refined models. Readers will learn how the classical models (driven by Brownian motions and Black-Scholes settings) can be significantly improved by using the more flexible class of Lévy processes. By doing this, extreme event and jumps can be introduced into the models to give more reliable pricing and a better assessment of the risks. The book brings in high-tech financial engineering models for the detailed modelling of credit risk instruments, setting up the theoretical framework behind the application of Lévy Processes to Credit Risk Modelling before moving on to the practical implementation. Complex credit derivatives structures such as CDOs, ABSs, CPPIs, CPDOs are analysed and illustrated with market data.

A Structural Model for Credit Risk with Markov Modulated Lévy Processes and Synchronous Jumps
A Structural Model for Credit Risk with Markov Modulated Lévy Processes and Synchronous Jumps

Author: Donatien Hainaut

Publisher:

Published: 2014

Total Pages: 18

ISBN-13:

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This paper presents a switching regime version of the Merton's structural model for the pricing of default risk. The default event depends on the total value of the firm's asset modeled by a Markov modulated Lévy process. The novelty of our approach is to consider that firm's asset jumps synchronously with a change in the regime. After a discussion of dynamics under the risk neutral measure, we present two models. In the first one, the default occurs at bond maturity if the firm's value falls below a predetermined barrier. In the second version, the company can bankrupt at multiple predetermined discrete times. The use of a Markov chain to model switches in hidden external factors makes it possible to capture the effects of changes in trends and volatilities exhibited by default probabilities. Finally, with synchronous jumps, the firm's asset and state processes are no longer uncorrelated.

A Multivariate Claim Count Model for Applications in Insurance
A Multivariate Claim Count Model for Applications in Insurance

Author: Daniela Anna Selch

Publisher: Springer

Published: 2018-08-31

Total Pages: 167

ISBN-13: 3319928686

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This monograph presents a time-dynamic model for multivariate claim counts in actuarial applications. Inspired by real-world claim arrivals, the model balances interesting stylized facts (such as dependence across the components, over-dispersion and the clustering of claims) with a high level of mathematical tractability (including estimation, sampling and convergence results for large portfolios) and can thus be applied in various contexts (such as risk management and pricing of (re-)insurance contracts). The authors provide a detailed analysis of the proposed probabilistic model, discussing its relation to the existing literature, its statistical properties, different estimation strategies as well as possible applications and extensions. Actuaries and researchers working in risk management and premium pricing will find this book particularly interesting. Graduate-level probability theory, stochastic analysis and statistics are required.

Credit Risk Frontiers
Credit Risk Frontiers

Author: Tomasz Bielecki

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2011-02-08

Total Pages: 770

ISBN-13: 157660358X

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A timely guide to understanding and implementing credit derivatives Credit derivatives are here to stay and will continue to play a role in finance in the future. But what will that role be? What issues and challenges should be addressed? And what lessons can be learned from the credit mess? Credit Risk Frontiers offers answers to these and other questions by presenting the latest research in this field and addressing important issues exposed by the financial crisis. It covers this subject from a real world perspective, tackling issues such as liquidity, poor data, and credit spreads, as well as the latest innovations in portfolio products and hedging and risk management techniques. Provides a coherent presentation of recent advances in the theory and practice of credit derivatives Takes into account the new products and risk requirements of a post financial crisis world Contains information regarding various aspects of the credit derivative market as well as cutting edge research regarding those aspects If you want to gain a better understanding of how credit derivatives can help your trading or investing endeavors, then Credit Risk Frontiers is a book you need to read.

Credit Risk
Credit Risk

Author: Niklas Wagner

Publisher: CRC Press

Published: 2008-05-28

Total Pages: 600

ISBN-13: 1584889950

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Featuring contributions from leading international academics and practitioners, Credit Risk: Models, Derivatives, and Management illustrates how a risk management system can be implemented through an understanding of portfolio credit risks, a set of suitable models, and the derivation of reliable empirical results. Divided into six sectio

Frontiers in Quantitative Finance
Frontiers in Quantitative Finance

Author: Rama Cont

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

Published: 2009-03-09

Total Pages: 312

ISBN-13: 0470456809

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The Petit D'euner de la Finance–which author Rama Cont has been co-organizing in Paris since 1998–is a well-known quantitative finance seminar that has progressively become a platform for the exchange of ideas between the academic and practitioner communities in quantitative finance. Frontiers in Quantitative Finance is a selection of recent presentations in the Petit D'euner de la Finance. In this book, leading quants and academic researchers cover the most important emerging issues in quantitative finance and focus on portfolio credit risk and volatility modeling.