The Kiplinger Washington Letter, America's preeminent business forecasting publication, has an unmatched record of accuracy over its 75 years of publication, giving its readers early notice of high-impact trends in demographics, technology and government that would change the way America lives and does business. In 1989, when most analysts were warning of a grim decade ahead, Kiplinger dissented. In America in the Global '90s. Knight Kiplinger predicted America would set the world pace for economic success, with declining inflation and interest rates, soaring exports, a shrinking budget deficit, and a Dow of at least 6000 by the end of '99 (a forecast that sounded crazy just 18 months after the "87 crash. with the Dow a little over 2000).Now Knight Kiplinger broadens his lens to the century ahead. Will the 21st century be marked by fierce global competition and falling wages in manufacturing and farming, excessive population growth and famine in the developing nations, and declining living standards in the U.S. and other advanced nations? Or will accelerating growth in the Third World -- with the spread of technology, the empowerment of women and emergence of an immense new world middle class -- create unprecedented opportunities for American business? Kiplinger makes a persuasive case for the latter scenario, with many examples of how it will happen, and how U.S. business can profit.
Predicting the decline of Japan and the re-emergence of the United States as the most powerful economy on the planet, the Harvard economist offers readers practical advice on taking advantage of the situation.
"Plunkett demonstrates that we are on the verge of a period of major economic growth, and presents a panorama of carefully documented developments in areas including energy, health care, education, demographics, global trade, evolving consumer habits, technologies and the rapidly-growing global middle class."[Source inconnue].
Examines current economic trends in conjunction with general demographic trends in order to predict the continued failure of federal stimulus plans and a near-future deflationary crisis.
The most trustworthy source of information available today on savings and investments, taxes, money management, home ownership and many other personal finance topics.
Following the excesses of the 1980s, many predicted the '90s would be a decade of economic belt-tightening. The recession seems to prove the forecasters were right on the money--but Harvard economist Harry Dent, one of the nation's most respected trend-spotters, says that America is well on its way to being in the money once more.
How trade imbalances spurred on the global financial crisis and why we aren't out of trouble yet China's economic growth is sputtering, the Euro is under threat, and the United States is combating serious trade disadvantages. Another Great Depression? Not quite. Noted economist and China expert Michael Pettis argues instead that we are undergoing a critical rebalancing of the world economies. Debunking popular misconceptions, Pettis shows that severe trade imbalances spurred on the recent financial crisis and were the result of unfortunate policies that distorted the savings and consumption patterns of certain nations. Pettis examines the reasons behind these destabilizing policies, and he predicts severe economic dislocations that will have long-lasting effects. Demonstrating how economic policies can carry negative repercussions the world over, The Great Rebalancing sheds urgent light on our globally linked economic future.
The first and last economic depression that you will experience in your lifetime is just ahead. The year 2009 will be the beginning of the next long-term winter season and the initial end of prosperity in almost every market, ushering in a downturn like most of us have not experienced before. Are you aware that we have seen long-term peaks in our stock market and economy very close to every 40 years due to generational spending trends: as in 1929, 1968, and next around 2009? Are you aware that oil and commodity prices have peaked nearly every 30 years, as in 1920, 1951, 1980 -- and next likely around late 2009 to mid-2010? The three massive bubbles that have been booming for the last few decades -- stocks, real estate, and commodities -- have all reached their peak and are deflating simultaneously. Bestselling author and renowned economic forecaster Harry S. Dent, Jr., has observed these trends for decades. As he first demonstrated in his bestselling The Great Boom Ahead, he has developed analytical techniques that allow him to predict the impact they will have. The Great Depression Ahead explains "The Perfect Storm" as peak oil prices collide with peaking generational spending trends by 2010, leading to a more severe downtrend for the global economy and individual investors alike. He predicts the following: • The economy appears to recover from the subprime crisis and minor recession by mid-2009 -- "the calm before the real storm." • Stock prices start to crash again between mid- and late 2009 into late 2010, and likely finally bottom around mid-2012 -- between Dow 3,800 and 7,200. • The economy enters a deeper depression between mid-2010 and early 2011, likely extending off and on into late 2012 or mid-2013. • Asian markets may bottom by late 2010, along with health care, and be the first great buy opportunities in stocks. • Gold and precious metals will appear to be a hedge at first, but will ultimately collapse as well after mid- to late 2010. • A first major stock rally, likely between mid-2012 and mid-2017, will be followed by a final setdback around late 2019/early 2020. • The next broad-based global bull market will be from 2020-2023 into 2035-2036. Conventional investment wisdom will no longer apply, and investors on every level -- from billion-dollar firms to the individual trader -- must drastically reevaluate their policies in order to survive. But despite the dire news and dark predictions, there are real opportunities to come from the greatest fire sale on financial assets since the early 1930s. Dent outlines the critical issues that will face our government and other major institutions, offering long- and short-term tactics for weathering the storm. He offers recommendations that will allow families, businesses, investors, and individuals to manage their assets correctly and come out on top. With the right knowledge and preparation, you can take advantage of new wealth opportunities rather than get caught in a downward spiral. Your life is about to change for reasons outside of your control. You can't change the direction of the winds, but you can reset your sails!
