People are overconfident. Overconfidence affects financial markets. How depends on who in the market is overconfident and on how information is distributed. This paper examines markets in which price-taking traders, a strategic-trading insider, and risk-averse market-makers are overconfident. Overconfidence increases expected trading volume, increases market depth, and decreases the expected utility of overconfident traders. Its effect on volatility and price quality depend on who is overconfident. Overconfident traders can cause markets to underreact to the information of rational traders. Markets also underreact to abstract, statistical, and highly relevant information, while they overreact to salient, anecdotal, and less relevant information.
Analyzing volume can help you look deep inside trends, identify shifts more rapidly, and earn higher profits with less risk. Now, award-winning stock analyst Buff Pelz Dormeier shows exactly how to make volume analysis work for you. Analyze volume responsiveness, reliability, risk, and returns & mdash;and use your insights to optimize every trade!
Learn how to translate the "language" of volume! Mark Leibovit, a leading market strategist and technical analyst with more than 35 years of trading experience, possesses a solid track record of predicting important movements in the financial market—including Black Monday of 1987, the bear markets of 2000 and 2008, and the “flash crash” of May 2010. Now, with The Trader’s Book of Volume, his secrets are yours! Focusing exclusively on volume technical analysis, The Trader’s Book of Volume describes the basics of volume, explains how to use it to identify and assess the strength of trade-worthy trends, and provides in-depth techniques and strategies for trading volume indicators for profit. With more than 400 charts and graphs, The Trader’s Book of Volume also exhaustively illustrates how readers can profit from a wide array of volume indicators, including: Broad Market Volume Indicators—Cumulative Volume Index, ARMS Index, Upside-Downside Volume, Nasdaq/ NYSE Volume Ratio, Yo-Yo Indicator Volume Indicators—Accumulation/ Distribution, Intraday Intensity, Negative Volume Index, On-Balance Volume, Open Interest Volume Oscillators—Klinger Oscillator, Chaikin Money Flow, Ease of Movement, Volume Oscillator Leibovit Volume Reversal IndicatorTM, the author’s proprietary methodology Under the author’s expert guidance, you can seamlessly incorporate Volume Analysis into your day-to-day trading program. Without a proper approach to Volume Analysis, Leibovit asserts, you’re essentially trading in the “land of the blind.” Use The Trader’s Book of Volume to gain the clearest view possible of market trends and react to them with the confidence and smarts for consistent trading success—and avoid every market crash the future holds.
The “decimalization” of financial markets, has killed market visibility and, some believe, encouraged price manipulation. The only way investors and traders can now avoid becoming victims of insiders and manipulators is to use techniques that detect their moves. In Value in Time, Pascal Willain provides breakthrough new technical analysis tools that show you how to see through market manipulations and become a better, smarter trader. This unique guide contains insights that will take your trading to the next level.
This publication aims to fill the void between books providing an introduction to derivatives, and advanced books whose target audience are members of quantitative modelling community. In order to appeal to the widest audience, this publication tries to assume the least amount of prior knowledge. The content quickly moves onto more advanced subjects in order to concentrate on more practical and advanced topics. "A master piece to learn in a nutshell all the essentials about volatility with a practical and lively approach. A must read!" Carole Bernard, Equity Derivatives Specialist at Bloomberg "This book could be seen as the 'volatility bible'!" Markus-Alexander Flesch, Head of Sales & Marketing at Eurex "I highly recommend this book both for those new to the equity derivatives business, and for more advanced readers. The balance between theory and practice is struck At-The-Money" Paul Stephens, Head of Institutional Marketing at CBOE "One of the best resources out there for the volatility community" Paul Britton, CEO and Founder of Capstone Investment Advisors "Colin has managed to convey often complex derivative and volatility concepts with an admirable simplicity, a welcome change from the all-too-dense tomes one usually finds on the subject" Edmund Shing PhD, former Proprietary Trader at BNP Paribas "In a crowded space, Colin has supplied a useful and concise guide" Gary Delany, Director Europe at the Options Industry Council
What do Charles Dow, Jesse Livermore, and Richard Ney have in common? They used volume and price to anticipate where the market was heading next and so built their vast fortunes. For them, it was the ticker tape; for us, it is the trading screen. The results are the same and can be for you, too. I make no bones about believing I was lucky to start my own trading journey using volume. To me it just made sense. The logic was inescapable. And for me, the most powerful reason is very simple. Volume is a rare commodity in trading - a leading indicator. The second and only other leading indicator is price. Everything else is lagged. There's ONLY one question! As traders, investors, or speculators, all we are trying to do is to forecast where the market is heading next. Is there any better way than to use the only two leading indicators we have at our disposal, namely volume and price? In isolation, each tells us very little. After all, volume is just that, no more no less. A price is a price. However, combine these two forces, and the result is a powerful analytical approach to forecasting market direction with confidence. What you will discover This book will teach you all you need to know from first principles. So whether you're a day trader or a longer-term investor in any market, instrument, or timeframe, this book is the perfect platform to set you on the road to success and join those iconic traders of the past. All you need to succeed is a chart with volume and price…simple.
It takes a special set of trading skills to thrive in today's intensely volatile markets, where point swings of plus or minus 200 points can occur on a weekly, sometimes daily, basis. The Volatility Course arms stock and options traders with those skills. George Fontanills and Tom Gentile provide readers with a deeper understanding of market volatility and the forces that drive it. They develop a comprehensive road map detailing how to identify its ups and downs. And they describe proven strategies and tools for quantifying volatility and confidently developing plans tailored to virtually any given market condition. The companion workbook provides step-by-step exercises to help you master the strategies outlined in The Volatility Course before putting them into action in the markets.
Volume can be the key to understanding what is relly happening in the stock market. Volume is a dynamic aspect of the market, reflective of supply and demand, and thus crowd behaviour. This work gives a complete explanation of volume and how it can be used to trade more effectively. It shows that volume behaviour and changes can provide important clues to price movement, in direct contrast to such established theories as random walk and efficient markets that state that price is essentially unpredictable. The book explains how volume discloses the amount and type of interest in a stock. By examining and understanding the dynamics of volume, the trader can pinpoint the rise, climax and fall of the activity of market participants (behavioural finance), which provides an extremely reliable indicator of price reversal in real time. Knowing this helps the trader get out near stock or market tops and buy near stock or market bottoms.
Get the E*Trade experts' inside track on playing the markets For retail traders, knowing which possible strategies to employ when has always been a challenge. That is, until now. For the first time, popular E*Trade educators Rick Swope and Shawn Howell introduce their two-dimensional scoring system for determining how bullish/bearish a trade setup looks by reading charts. In Trading by Numbers, they present a scoring system that uses a trend score and a volatility score, removing the guesswork and giving you a solid guide to the markets. Based on the score, the authors provide a toolkit of option strategies that are best to execute in each specific situation. Using common indicators and patterns, the book provides analysis for choosing your right strategy while managing risk. Authors Swope and Howell are accomplished market educators and their partners are the leaders in trading and investing, including E*Trade, CBOE, OIC, NYSE, NASDAQ OMX, CME and ISE An easy-to-use guide that will help you make the best decisions in any situation, the book is essential for traders at all levels Trading by Numbers outlines a proprietary market scoring system that helps traders determine the best option strategies to execute in any market climate.
