Forecasting Tourism Demand
Forecasting Tourism Demand

Author: Douglas Frechtling

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2012-05-23

Total Pages: 279

ISBN-13: 113640242X

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'Forecasting tourism demand' is a text that no tourism professional can afford to be without. The tourism industry has experienced an overwhelming boom over recent years, and being able to predict future trends as accurately as possible is vital in the struggle to stay one step ahead of the competition. Building on the success of 'Practical Tourism Forecasting' this text looks at 13 methods of forecasting and with a user friendly style, 'Forecasting Tourism Demand' guides the reader through each method, highlighting its strengths and weaknesses and explaining how it can be applied to the tourism industry. 'Forecasting Tourism Demand' employs charts and tables to explain how to: * plan a forecasting project * analyse time series and other information * select the appropriate forecasting model * use the model for forecasting and evaluate its results Ideal for marketing managers and strategic planners in business, transportation planners and economic policy makers in government who must project demand for their products among tourists. Executives who rely on forecasts prepared by others will find it invaluable in assisting them to evaluate the validity and reliability of predictions and forecasts. Those engaged in analysing business trends will find it useful in surveying the future of what has been called the largest industry in the world.

Tourism Forecasting and Marketing
Tourism Forecasting and Marketing

Author: Kevin Wong

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2012-10-12

Total Pages: 160

ISBN-13: 1136411550

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Stay up to date with the most effective practices in tourism demand forecasting! Tourism Forecasting and Marketing presents vital, up-to-date research on the latest practice and applications of tourism demand modeling and forecasting. The book addresses both econometric and time series approaches to forecasting, focusing on the concepts, model specification, data analysis, and methodologies used in day-to-day tourism planning. An international panel of practitioners and academics call on a diverse range of empirical research findings to discuss commonly used theoretical frameworks for forecasting and future directions tourism demand is likely to take. Tourism Forecasting and Marketing presents research findings from the United States, the United Kingdom, Asia, and Australia that are invaluable for guiding government and private sector tourism investment and development decisions. The book addresses traditional versus modern forecasting techniques; evaluations of current and past forecasting methods; modeling and forecasting destination choice; and the impact of forecasting and marketing on tourism demand. Topics include: using time series models to forecast inbound tourism demand for China and Greece determining the economic factors that influence tourism demand in Hong Kong, Indonesia, and Malaysia examining domestic travel expenditures in South Korea developing a model to forecast ski tourism using the Palmore cohort analysis for tourism forecasting and much more! Tourism Forecasting and Marketing is an important textbook for educators and students working in tourism policy planning and management, and tourism marketing. The book is equally effective as a reference for travel and tourism researchers, and for professionals dealing with tourism demand analysis and forecasting.

Forecasting: principles and practice
Forecasting: principles and practice

Author: Rob J Hyndman

Publisher: OTexts

Published: 2018-05-08

Total Pages: 380

ISBN-13: 0987507117

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Forecasting is required in many situations. Stocking an inventory may require forecasts of demand months in advance. Telecommunication routing requires traffic forecasts a few minutes ahead. Whatever the circumstances or time horizons involved, forecasting is an important aid in effective and efficient planning. This textbook provides a comprehensive introduction to forecasting methods and presents enough information about each method for readers to use them sensibly.

Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting
Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting

Author: Haiyan Song

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 2000

Total Pages: 183

ISBN-13: 0080436730

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A textbook for a graduate or final-year undergraduate course in tourism studies that might also find interest among researchers and practitioners who want to apply recent developments in econometric modeling and forecasting to tourism demand analysis. Song and Witt (both management in the service sector, U. of Surrey, Britain) begin with the fundamentals of tourism demand analysis, and the problems of traditional modeling and forecasting. Then they explore the general- to-specific approach, the time-varying parameter model, and the panel- data approach. Annotation copyrighted by Book News, Inc., Portland, OR

Qualitative Forecasting in Tourism
Qualitative Forecasting in Tourism

Author: Haiyan Song

Publisher: Goodfellow Publishers Ltd

Published: 2012-01-09

Total Pages: 28

ISBN-13: 1906884579

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Part of the Contemporary Review Series. Contemporary Tourism Reviews will provide you with critical, state-of-the-art surveys of all of the major areas of tourism study to people who are coming to a topic for the first time. Written by leading thinkers and academics in the field they provide flexible, current and topical information as an instant download.

Econometric Modelling and Forecasting of Tourism Demand
Econometric Modelling and Forecasting of Tourism Demand

Author: Doris Chenguang Wu

Publisher: Taylor & Francis

Published: 2022-10-27

Total Pages: 327

ISBN-13: 1000773442

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This insightful and timely volume provides a succinct, expert-led introduction to the latest developments in advanced econometric methodologies in the context of tourism demand modelling and forecasting. Written by a plethora of worldwide experts on this topic, this book offers a comprehensive approach to tourism econometrics. Accurate demand forecasts are crucial to decision-making in the tourism industry and this book provides real-life tourism applications and the corresponding R code alongside theoretical foundations, in order to enhance understanding and practice amongst its readers. The methodologies introduced include general to specific modelling, cointegration, vector autoregression, time-varying parameter modelling, spatiotemporal econometric models, mixed-frequency forecasting, hybrid forecasting models, forecasting combination techniques, density forecasting, judgemental forecasting, scenario forecasting under crisis, and web-based tourism forecasting. Embellished with insightful figures and tables throughout, this book is an invaluable resource for those using advanced econometric methodologies in their studies and research, including both undergraduate and postgraduate students, researchers, and practitioners.

Practical Tourism Forecasting
Practical Tourism Forecasting

Author: Douglas C. Frechtling

Publisher: Routledge

Published: 1996

Total Pages: 245

ISBN-13: 9780750608770

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Practical Tourism Forecasting is the first step-by-step guide to forecasting tourism demand. It emphasizes how alternative forecasting methods organize information about the past to shed light on the future. It highlights the strengths and weaknesses of each of 13 different forecasting techniques and presents rules for determining the optimum model for a given tourism forecasting project. Using examples from the lodging, destination, airline and international tourism sectors, this book employs charts and tables to explain how to *plan a forecasting project *analyze time series and other information *select the appropriate forecasting model * use the model for forecasting and evaluate its results. 'Practical Tourism Forecasting' is ideal for postgraduate students in tourism and hospitality degree programs specializing in marketing, finance and operations. It is also well-suited to managers and administrators who must project demand for their products among tourists. Executives who rely on forecasts prepared by others will find it will assist them in evaluating the validity and reliability of these predictions. Those engaged in analyzing business trends broadly will find it helpful in surveying the future of what has been called the largest industry in the world. Foreword written by J.Willard Marriott, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Marriott International, Washington DC. Step-by-step guide to forecasting tourism demand Extensive use of practical examples 'The principles can certainly be applied to other industries, so anyone looking for an exemplary textbook on forecasting can benefit from this book.' The Futurist,1997

Neural Networks in Business Forecasting
Neural Networks in Business Forecasting

Author: G. Peter Zhang

Publisher: IGI Global

Published: 2004-01-01

Total Pages: 296

ISBN-13: 1591401771

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Forecasting is one of the most important activities that form the basis for strategic, tactical, and operational decisions in all business organizations. Recently, neural networks have emerged as an important tool for business forecasting. Neural Networks in Business Forecasting provides researchers and practitioners with some recent advances in applying neural networks to business forecasting. A number of case studies demonstrating the innovative or successful applications of neural networks to many areas of business as well as methods to improve neural network forecasting performance are presented.

Crisis Management in Tourism
Crisis Management in Tourism

Author: Eric Laws

Publisher: CABI

Published: 2006

Total Pages: 412

ISBN-13: 184593136X

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The history of modern tourism records many localized and some international crises characterized by extreme and sudden reduction in demand for specific destination areas or types of tourism product. Managerial responses to such events include both problem solving and market recovery steps, but these vary in effectiveness and recovery may be slow to occur after the initial problems are overcome. With examples drawn from the UK, Europe, America, Australia and Asia, this book brings together a range of expert academic analysis of the latest thinking and practice in this increasingly important area of tourism management.