Time Varying Risk Premia in Futures Markets
Author: Mr.Manmohan S. Kumar
Publisher: International Monetary Fund
Published: 1990-12-01
Total Pages: 32
ISBN-13: 145194196X
DOWNLOAD EBOOKThis paper undertakes an econometric investigation into the presence of risk premium in commodity futures markets. The statistical tests are derived from a formal model of asset pricing and are applied to futures prices in a variety of commodity markets. The results suggest that for several commodities there is evidence of a time varying risk premium, particularly in futures contracts maturing six months ahead. The implications of the study for the efficiency of the futures markets and the costs of using these markets for hedging are also noted.